Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.40K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

99.1%

Resolved

458

Trades

1,236

lifetime

Volume

$200.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$3.13K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 134 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 99% +$217

Sports

28% 96% +$691

Politics

17% 97% +$315

Other

15% 90% +$304

Tech

1% 57% -$125

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,020	$2,014	100¢	$2.0K	+$1	10-27 01:28
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+500	$465	92¢	$462	-$2	10-24 08:33
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+300	$281	94¢	$280	$0	10-26 13:02
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+200	$182	90¢	$181	-$1	10-26 12:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+100	$87	96¢	$96	+$9	06-08 05:30
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+76	$50	76¢	$58	+$8	06-28 02:55
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$46	78¢	$39	-$6	10-03 10:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	112	$9.3K	9,616	+9,616	Yes	+$301	05-08 03:45
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?	9	$5.5K	5,500	+5,500	No	+$15	06-23 01:55
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	40	$4.5K	4,500	+4,500	Yes	+$44	06-14 03:38
nba bos den 2026 02 25	2	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	Nuggets	+$4	02-26 05:24
nba min sas 2026 01 17	6	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	Spurs	+$6	01-18 03:35
ethereum up or down on july 17 2026	8	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	Down	+$6	07-17 15:51
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$4.0K	4,000	+4,000	Yes	+$18	03-01 01:36
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	3	$3.5K	3,500	+3,500	No	+$4	01-03 05:46
military action against iran ends by march 21 2026	6	$3.5K	3,462	+3,462	No	+$9	03-23 18:45
nba lal bkn 2026 02 03	1	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	Lakers	+$3	02-04 02:10
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	2	$3.0K	3,000	+3,000	No	+$6	08-01 03:59
will ethereum reach 3200 december 29 january 4	2	$2.5K	2,500	+2,500	Yes	+$4	01-05 06:00
will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 16	5	$2.4K	2,388	+2,388	No	+$2	02-16 17:40
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	5	$2.4K	2,375	+2,375	Yes	+$14	02-28 06:42
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	26	$2.2K	2,298	+2,298	No	+$51	07-31 10:32
military action against iran ends by march 26 2026	5	$2.0K	2,036	+2,036	No	+$4	03-27 14:57
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	8	$2.0K	2,020	+2,020	open	—	10-27 01:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 23	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	02-23 14:59
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$2	04-08 02:34
ethereum up or down on july 19 2026	3	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	Up	+$2	07-19 15:57
ethereum up or down on july 14 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	Up	+$2	07-14 15:54
ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	07-15 15:17
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 31	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	08-01 03:38
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 15	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	01-15 20:11
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 18	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	No	+$2	02-18 13:56
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	1	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	Yes	+$4	01-03 08:13
ethereum up or down on june 22 2026	3	$2.0K	2,000	+2,000	Up	+$9	06-22 15:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	16	$2.0K	2,209	+2,209	No	+$243	07-23 14:38
military action against iran ends by march 20 2026	9	$1.9K	1,950	+1,950	No	+$11	03-22 16:26
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	2	$1.9K	1,855	+1,855	No	+$4	06-30 02:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 02:30:00	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x7831b8…
10-27 02:29:15	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x502df4…
10-27 02:27:03	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x21520e…
10-27 02:25:51	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1d6920…
10-27 02:23:53	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xd48e0e…
10-27 02:23:51	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x49265e…
10-27 02:13:14	Suns vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x41668f…
10-27 02:04:06	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd661fc…
10-27 01:28:14	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x79288b…
10-26 19:00:03	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x6289ae…
10-26 18:58:29	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	1	58¢	$0	0x2c5d7d…
10-26 13:57:36	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	587	100¢	$585	0x047558…
10-26 13:22:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xcf64ce…
10-26 13:20:24	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf5142d…
10-26 13:08:59	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x604ae8…
10-26 13:08:39	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x083a03…
10-26 13:06:42	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$997	0x4cbe92…
10-26 13:05:20	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1115f1…
10-26 13:02:47	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x4c8bbf…
10-26 13:01:26	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x6b09c2…
10-26 12:58:59	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xb236fb…
10-26 12:55:47	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf6aa5b…
10-26 01:25:59	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xdd2d14…
10-25 18:09:03	Will the Kansas City Chiefs make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbf7059…
10-25 15:00:59	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xa9e9cd…
10-25 11:55:32	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x399bc9…
10-24 21:12:08	Will the New York Knicks make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x179d0b…
10-24 21:11:50	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$6	0xbcbe26…
10-24 08:33:38	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	500	93¢	$465	0xcc4f0d…
10-23 20:48:45	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x340adc…
10-23 20:48:44	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$14	0xfb1e3c…
10-23 17:00:48	Will the Detroit Pistons make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x3b2c60…
10-23 05:34:09	Will the Miami Heat make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xab1a3c…
10-23 03:10:47	Patriots vs. Bears	Bears	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xbc268a…
10-23 01:53:33	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xfcddde…
10-22 10:42:33	Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0x9c0d4b…
10-22 10:42:33	Will the Houston Rockets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0x096e60…
10-22 02:59:27	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xfae450…
10-22 02:54:02	Will the Toronto Raptors make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x922a0b…
10-22 02:52:54	Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe2019e…
10-22 02:39:59	Mavericks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	500	99¢	$497	0x25f926…
10-04 10:38:31	NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x44175f…
10-03 10:34:14	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x3ea21a…
10-03 08:47:23	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x85ba2a…
10-03 02:52:45	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 2?	Yes	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x104e0d…
08-21 22:04:03	will dogecoin reach 0pt1 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x001262…
08-20 09:07:40	Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	87¢	$21	0x552745…
08-03 02:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x943cd9…
08-03 02:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x7d1f8a…
08-02 14:58:17	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x7f816a…
08-02 14:57:56	will bitcoin dip to 56k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	500	100¢	$500	0xbfda1d…
08-02 13:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	390	1¢	$3	0x13353b…
08-01 14:52:50	ethereum above 1800 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0xc6d289…
08-01 14:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbbbbc1…
08-01 03:59:53	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0x7acbea…
08-01 03:44:15	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 31	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x343686…
08-01 03:38:15	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 31	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x7d5a38…
08-01 03:37:20	ethereum above 1700 on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$994	0xd6854c…
08-01 03:37:00	bitcoin above 60k on august 1 2026	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xeb9234…
08-01 03:34:59	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 31	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x36f821…
08-01 02:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x240856…
08-01 02:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x0683e6…
08-01 02:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3a498d…
08-01 02:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x73a78d…
08-01 02:35:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0x19a5fe…
08-01 02:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xbb0a28…
08-01 02:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xcd3012…
08-01 02:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xe53d2d…
08-01 02:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xd275e8…
08-01 02:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x4eeb09…
08-01 01:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xa65e01…
07-31 15:13:44	ethereum up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x29a637…
07-31 14:44:35	ethereum up or down on july 31 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x853e03…
07-31 10:32:08	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	724	99¢	$714	0xf5be55…
07-31 10:12:26	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in july 2026	No	BUY	495	100¢	$495	0x6f3e69…
07-31 09:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	97	2¢	$2	0x9d9c05…
07-31 05:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$5	0xca54ee…
07-31 05:08:33	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x522863…
07-30 18:50:29	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in july 2026	No	BUY	146	99¢	$144	0x2ffd2b…
07-30 16:06:38	will dogecoin reach 0pt1 in july 2026	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xdc2175…
07-30 04:47:39	ethereum above 1700 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	431	100¢	$430	0xcf2aa2…
07-30 03:19:59	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 29	No	BUY	487	100¢	$487	0x110d47…
07-30 02:58:44	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8dc916…
07-30 02:58:14	ethereum above 1800 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xab9c39…
07-30 02:57:59	ethereum above 1700 on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x832fc5…
07-30 02:56:05	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 29	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6b07a6…
07-30 02:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x2771cd…
07-30 02:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$10	0x9c0861…
07-30 01:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xc641d4…
07-30 01:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbfd978…
07-30 01:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x17376a…
07-30 01:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfc16a3…
07-30 01:16:54	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in july 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0x4eb2d4…
07-27 14:15:21	will dogecoin reach 0pt1 in july 2026	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0x539292…
07-24 18:53:27	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	228	99¢	$226	0xc8728c…
07-24 18:53:16	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x285578…
07-24 18:53:15	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe5e514…
07-24 18:48:07	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x95a20d…
07-24 18:48:06	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x3e4cb5…
07-24 18:45:48	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x9432ea…