Simple-Tradition 0x33e27a…573a1b
whale hot 13W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$37.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.68K
Hit rate
82.2%
Resolved
796
Trades
10,083
lifetime
Volume
$3.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$351
Open exposure
$57.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 10-27 02:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 138 days
Categories
Politics
65% 77% +$19,516
Other
30% 72% +$16,420
Sports
2% 73% -$23
Crypto
2% 76% +$1,342
Tech
1% 65% -$164
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 414 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +10,886 $9,799 98¢ $10.6K +$820 10-17 00:16
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +9,281 $9,123 100¢ $9.3K +$158 10-27 02:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,000 $6,648 90¢ $7.2K +$592 10-24 00:12
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes -10,608 -$7,913 64¢ $-6779 +$1,134 10-23 13:09
Plague pandemic in 2026? No -5,624 -$5,657 98¢ $-5514 +$143 10-12 05:17
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,561 $3,400 60¢ $3.4K -$36 10-21 23:51
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes -10,608 -$3,300 30¢ $-3193 +$107 10-22 06:05
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +2,370 $2,248 100¢ $2.4K +$123 10-27 01:54
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +5,561 -$815 40¢ $2.2K +$3,011 10-24 06:09
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1,987 $1,800 97¢ $1.9K +$133 10-17 06:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +1,811 $1,507 100¢ $1.8K +$304 10-23 14:17
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +754 $666 98¢ $742 +$77 10-19 18:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +532 $275 96¢ $513 +$238 10-20 05:52
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +612 $11 80¢ $486 +$476 10-04 22:30
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +412 $219 98¢ $406 +$187 10-22 06:06
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes -8,621 -$342 3¢ $-233 +$109 10-22 06:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +378 $182 62¢ $233 +$51 10-13 01:44
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +378 $121 38¢ $146 +$25 10-13 00:37
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? No +130 $119 100¢ $130 +$11 10-21 04:11
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +612 $100 20¢ $125 +$26 10-03 10:54
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +33 $14 92¢ $30 +$16 07-31 23:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +26 -$41 96¢ $25 +$66 10-10 08:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +32 $19 74¢ $24 +$4 10-19 09:31
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +532 $27 4¢ $19 -$8 10-20 04:19
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +95 $12 20¢ $19 +$6 10-23 13:33
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +754 $86 2¢ $11 -$75 10-22 04:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +32 $11 26¢ $9 -$3 10-22 06:02
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +277 -$73 2¢ $7 +$79 10-21 23:52
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +412 $114 2¢ $6 -$108 10-02 01:22
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +99 -$8 6¢ $5 +$13 10-23 16:21