Simple-Tradition 0x33e27a…573a1b
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$36.5K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.52K
Hit rate
80.1%
Resolved
823
Trades
10,508
lifetime
Volume
$3.81M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$362
Open exposure
$79.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-27
last 10-28 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 139 days
Categories
Politics
66% 77% +$19,529
Other
29% 71% +$15,773
Sports
2% 73% -$23
Crypto
2% 76% +$1,342
Tech
1% 65% -$164
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 414 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +19,475 $19,053 99¢ $19.3K +$227 10-28 12:38
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? No +10,886 $9,799 99¢ $10.7K +$950 10-17 00:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +8,883 $7,995 99¢ $8.8K +$803 10-28 06:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +8,000 $6,648 96¢ $7.7K +$1,072 10-24 00:12
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes -10,608 -$7,913 65¢ $-6858 +$1,055 10-23 13:09
Plague pandemic in 2026? No -5,624 -$5,657 98¢ $-5506 +$151 10-12 05:17
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,561 $3,400 66¢ $3.7K +$270 10-21 23:51
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes -10,608 -$3,300 32¢ $-3405 -$105 10-22 06:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +4,596 $2,160 54¢ $2.5K +$299 10-28 08:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +4,596 $2,574 46¢ $2.1K -$437 10-28 08:46
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? No +1,987 $1,800 98¢ $1.9K +$141 10-17 06:59
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? No +5,561 -$815 34¢ $1.9K +$2,705 10-24 06:09
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? Yes +1,630 $1,531 95¢ $1.6K +$25 10-28 20:45
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +754 $666 100¢ $754 +$88 10-19 18:37
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +532 $275 96¢ $512 +$237 10-20 05:52
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +484 -$165 100¢ $484 +$649 10-28 00:16
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +612 $11 78¢ $480 +$470 10-04 22:30
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +412 $219 99¢ $409 +$191 10-22 06:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +378 $182 60¢ $229 +$47 10-13 01:44
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes -8,621 -$342 2¢ $-198 +$144 10-22 06:03
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +500 $225 38¢ $192 -$32 10-29 09:43
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +378 $121 40¢ $149 +$28 10-13 00:37
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes +612 $100 22¢ $132 +$32 10-03 10:54
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? No +2,500 $175 5¢ $115 -$60 10-28 15:34
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +8,882 $621 1¢ $84 -$537 10-28 06:16
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +140 $5 24¢ $34 +$29 10-28 17:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +33 $14 94¢ $31 +$17 07-31 23:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +26 -$41 98¢ $26 +$67 10-10 08:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +32 $19 67¢ $22 +$2 10-19 09:31
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +532 $27 4¢ $20 -$7 10-20 04:19