Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
203
lifetime
Volume
$2.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$773
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 07-24 03:08
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
54%
Other
33%
Politics
12%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +115 $111 98¢ $113 +$2 07-23 18:11
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +95 $90 94¢ $90 +$0 07-19 12:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +75 $68 92¢ $69 +$1 07-21 20:19
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +95 $66 70¢ $67 +$1 06-27 08:46
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +66 $56 89¢ $59 +$3 07-11 23:54
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +55 $53 95¢ $52 $-1 07-23 18:10
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +52 $47 92¢ $47 +$1 07-24 03:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No +45 $41 92¢ $42 +$0 07-16 06:27
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +35 $32 94¢ $33 +$1 06-29 22:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 92¢ $32 +$3 06-10 00:57
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 92¢ $32 +$4 06-05 05:13
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +30 $26 84¢ $25 $-1 07-01 17:10
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +25 $22 90¢ $22 $-0 07-14 14:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +28 $27 70¢ $19 $-7 07-16 21:10
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 07-04 12:15
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No +22 $15 63¢ $14 $-1 07-17 00:32
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 06-22 14:31
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$0 06-08 08:52
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +25 $8 38¢ $9 +$2 07-22 11:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +10 $8 72¢ $7 $-1 07-07 05:48
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $3 50¢ $2 $-1 06-04 15:06