Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
135
lifetime
Volume
$1.90K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$491
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-25
last 07-02 17:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
50%
Other
45%
Politics
3%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +85 $82 97¢ $83 +$1 06-29 11:59
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? No +85 $80 93¢ $79 $-1 07-03 10:24
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +95 $66 67¢ $63 $-2 06-27 08:46
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +56 $47 84¢ $47 $-0 07-02 17:09
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +35 $32 94¢ $33 +$0 06-29 22:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $30 90¢ $31 +$2 06-10 00:57
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 88¢ $31 +$3 06-05 05:13
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +30 $26 87¢ $26 $-0 07-01 17:10
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +25 $24 96¢ $24 $-0 07-02 17:10
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +20 $18 88¢ $18 $-1 06-28 23:28
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 $-0 06-02 20:38
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 +$0 06-22 14:31
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +20 $7 51¢ $10 +$4 07-02 07:44
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-08 08:52
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-27 07:39
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $3 58¢ $3 $-0 06-04 15:06