Realized P&L
-$18
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,181
lifetime
Volume
$2.91K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$55
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 07-22 07:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
91% 0% $-18
Politics
5%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 207 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +26 $20 86¢ $22 +$2 05-27 21:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +500 $14 $13 $-0 07-17 22:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +230 $12 $13 +$1 07-17 17:03
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 55¢ $-3 $-1 06-14 14:55
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? Yes +10 $2 15¢ $1 $-0 07-10 14:16
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? Yes +30 $1 $1 +$0 06-27 06:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-18 22:46
Revolut IPO before 2027? Yes +12 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 08:51