Bogus-Misrepresentation 0xd0bf18…cf9f9f
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$400
Unrealized P&L
+$173
Hit rate
70.5%
Resolved
524
Trades
16,783
lifetime
Volume
$29.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$888
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 10-27 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Other
70% 42% +$476
Politics
18% 46% +$34
Tech
12% 32% -$105
Crypto
0% 11% -$6
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 506 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +9,404 $47 1¢ $122 +$75 10-24 08:39
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +34,580 $135 0¢ $121 -$14 10-27 16:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +8,000 $88 1¢ $92 +$4 10-22 15:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +567 $84 16¢ $88 +$4 10-27 18:31
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +455 $83 14¢ $64 -$20 10-25 02:47
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +5,323 $26 1¢ $61 +$35 10-23 20:49
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +367 $66 16¢ $57 -$9 10-08 10:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +150 $57 30¢ $44 -$13 10-22 17:22
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +217 $24 17¢ $37 +$13 10-25 22:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +983 $42 3¢ $32 -$10 10-19 17:02
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +8,207 $10 0¢ $29 +$19 10-27 12:37
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +469 $13 3¢ $16 +$3 10-17 19:03
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +300 $8 4¢ $13 +$5 10-16 00:22
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,400 $13 1¢ $13 $0 08-27 10:06
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +700 -$1 2¢ $11 +$12 10-27 22:42
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +582 -$6 2¢ $10 +$15 10-27 12:07
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -250 -$8 3¢ $-8 $0 08-16 15:56
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +3,100 $14 0¢ $8 -$6 10-01 13:38
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes +1,146 -$2 1¢ $7 +$8 10-25 09:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +32 $0 21¢ $7 +$7 10-27 14:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $15 12¢ $6 -$9 09-17 11:22
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +120 $12 5¢ $6 -$6 08-16 04:37
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +1,000 $3 1¢ $6 +$3 10-27 21:02
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $7 1¢ $6 -$1 09-07 01:03
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,248 -$41 0¢ $6 +$46 10-27 06:20
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? Yes +40 $6 12¢ $5 -$1 10-18 09:03
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +908 $2 0¢ $4 +$2 10-24 17:15
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $4 +$0 09-07 08:28
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +156 $4 2¢ $4 $0 09-27 13:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +227 -$6 2¢ $4 +$10 10-27 22:36