Wary-Gentleman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

543

lifetime

Volume

$279.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$514

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 07-20 18:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

92% 100% +$212

Other

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% 100% +$10

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	17	$42.9K	29,956	14,606	+15,350	open	—	05-20 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$29.6K	14,878	14,878	+0	open	—	05-15 17:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$28.8K	15,574	15,574	+0	open	—	05-20 17:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$18.6K	29,031	0	+29,031	open	—	06-12 02:14
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	22	$17.2K	9,548	9,548	+0	open	—	06-17 11:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	20	$16.3K	15,501	1,034	+14,467	open	—	05-15 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	34	$14.9K	21,854	0	+21,854	open	—	05-31 04:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$14.0K	0	15,583	-15,583	open	—	05-26 00:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$14.0K	14,836	0	+14,836	open	—	05-16 09:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$11.1K	8,829	8,829	+0	open	—	03-06 12:50
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	8	$10.6K	6,487	4,540	+1,947	open	—	06-16 10:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$8.3K	4,295	4,491	-196	open	—	06-16 10:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$6.6K	3,706	3,700	+6	open	—	06-25 01:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$5.7K	15,400	15,400	+0	open	—	03-04 05:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$5.7K	4,250	4,250	+0	open	—	03-05 00:47
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	3	$4.2K	9,200	9,200	+0	open	—	03-10 01:13
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	5	$3.9K	4,563	0	+4,563	open	—	06-29 10:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	9	$3.5K	4,033	133	+3,900	open	—	06-24 02:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	20	$3.1K	3,231	0	+3,231	No	+$110	05-10 09:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	13	$3.0K	3,118	0	+3,118	No	+$77	05-08 10:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	12	$3.0K	3,044	0	+3,044	No	+$19	05-07 16:25
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 46m and 50m	3	$2.4K	21,500	264	+21,236	open	—	03-09 17:59
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	4	$1.3K	771	771	+0	open	—	03-08 10:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$5	05-06 13:05
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 11:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$900	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	06-19 12:16
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	4	$717	417	417	+0	open	—	07-07 17:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$704	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	07-04 01:18
bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	2	$577	462	462	+0	open	—	07-04 17:33
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$512	520	0	+520	Yes	+$7	05-05 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 18:27:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	997	1¢	$7	0x5a0aab…
07-18 16:30:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	275	95¢	$261	0x3f9564…
07-14 13:24:37	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4f8b41…
07-10 07:01:28	bitcoin above 64k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xaefa8a…
07-09 06:45:23	bitcoin above 64k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x73afb9…
07-07 17:32:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	389	93¢	$360	0xbadeb2…
07-07 17:27:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	409	88¢	$360	0x16d1bf…
07-07 17:27:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x36e5a1…
07-07 17:27:53	bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	Yes	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x08efd1…
07-07 12:10:35	bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	417	84¢	$350	0x0b3bd9…
07-06 11:36:07	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	7	94¢	$7	0x441f0b…
07-04 17:40:02	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	323	93¢	$300	0xe58924…
07-04 17:33:10	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	462	65¢	$300	0xe23cf3…
07-04 07:21:17	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	89	79¢	$70	0x5827d5…
07-04 03:58:37	fifwc can mar 2026 07 04 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1b641e…
07-04 03:19:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	462	60¢	$277	0x98e1c4…
07-04 01:18:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	3,500	0¢	$4	0xda18e5…
07-03 18:28:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	2,324	20¢	$465	0xbc8021…
07-03 18:28:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1,176	20¢	$235	0xf6e429…
07-03 18:28:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x40f18d…
07-02 11:42:52	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	368	58¢	$213	0x596c96…
07-02 09:19:43	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe0e1ab…
07-02 08:59:19	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xdc205c…
07-02 08:58:17	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb58593…
07-02 08:45:26	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe99ba9…
07-02 08:45:25	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf01c87…
07-02 08:39:52	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x0ca57a…
07-02 08:39:08	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	89	49¢	$44	0xd9e655…
07-02 08:38:53	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x1f849d…
07-02 08:38:52	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xec02e9…
07-02 08:38:50	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8044d2…
07-02 08:38:50	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x1de601…
07-02 08:31:55	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x3f73bb…
07-02 08:25:28	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x5c6e2a…
07-02 08:25:25	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x778519…
07-02 08:25:23	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	38	49¢	$19	0xf36afd…
07-02 08:25:23	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x11d5fc…
07-02 08:22:14	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbeec8f…
07-02 08:17:41	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9e2c28…
07-02 08:17:32	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0dbc81…
07-02 08:15:50	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	174	49¢	$85	0x0da01f…
07-02 01:58:35	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb00dc8…
07-01 18:21:05	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5915e5…
07-01 06:00:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0x98d9d6…
07-01 03:39:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xa3db42…
07-01 01:12:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x4f4479…
06-30 17:39:23	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x293656…
06-30 11:22:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xb110d0…
06-30 11:17:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	75	95¢	$71	0x38ce5b…
06-30 09:07:41	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb8a162…
06-29 10:25:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	4,098	85¢	$3,483	0xcd014c…
06-29 07:58:23	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2127e6…
06-29 07:38:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8961d8…
06-29 07:38:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe91930…
06-29 07:38:07	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x3890ad…
06-29 07:38:05	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	456	84¢	$383	0x9f6ea8…
06-28 17:44:59	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x36118c…
06-27 03:50:01	ethereum above 1400 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x6af969…
06-27 03:49:44	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc96400…
06-27 03:49:34	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x9e6113…
06-27 03:49:28	will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x9ed258…
06-27 03:43:02	itf sa nugroho 2026 06 27	Priska Madelyn Nugroho	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0xde55a5…
06-27 03:34:02	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8ff3f0…
06-27 03:33:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc6efc6…
06-27 03:33:22	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe012f9…
06-27 03:33:14	will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xb3f5d6…
06-27 03:33:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x4d54ce…
06-27 03:31:26	Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xdb1382…
06-27 03:31:19	Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x06901b…
06-27 03:30:52	Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xe3b415…
06-27 03:30:44	Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xc96a7e…
06-27 03:25:46	Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x6ee589…
06-27 03:25:37	Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xa3fd7e…
06-27 03:24:26	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xd45797…
06-26 06:05:08	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x8eb468…
06-26 05:54:41	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	4	98¢	$3	0x7d7649…
06-26 05:54:14	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x7fc6a7…
06-26 05:53:59	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x1bcec6…
06-26 05:52:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0872f1…
06-25 15:58:13	eth updown 15m 1782402300	Down	BUY	211	1¢	$2	0x2e0d37…
06-25 09:01:44	cs2 enjoy jul 2026 06 25	ENJOY	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2764a5…
06-25 06:44:31	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2eb039…
06-25 01:59:35	will the announcers say penalty shootout during the south africa vs south korea fifa world cup match 20260623170033335	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x3e0d92…
06-25 01:55:53	will the announcers say history during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646393	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x68b502…
06-25 01:55:41	will the announcers say record during the switzerland vs canada fifa world cup match 20260623164646391	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc229c0…
06-25 01:51:28	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf7ad67…
06-25 01:51:10	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf8d8d0…
06-25 01:51:01	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc94be4…
06-25 01:49:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6c83da…
06-25 01:49:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e20e3…
06-25 01:49:11	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cc238…
06-25 01:48:20	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x8e64ba…
06-25 01:48:08	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xe91f37…
06-25 01:47:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac5eea…
06-25 01:47:40	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x454fd3…
06-25 01:47:25	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xab74a8…
06-25 01:46:50	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x402f22…
06-25 01:46:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x483632…
06-25 01:46:13	Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf60e31…
06-25 01:42:22	will wti reach 140 in june 2026 374	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x435c17…