Wary-Gentleman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$222

Unrealized P&L

+$4.06K

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

294

lifetime

Volume

$220.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$751

Open exposure

$21.1K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-26

last 06-05 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

95% 100% +$212

Other

4% — —

Crypto

1% 100% +$10

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+26,203	$17,032	80¢	$21.1K	+$4,061	06-01 13:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	17	$42.9K	29,956	14,606	+15,350	open	—	05-20 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$29.6K	14,878	14,878	+0	open	—	05-15 17:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$28.8K	15,574	15,574	+0	open	—	05-20 17:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	2	$17.0K	26,203	0	+26,203	open	—	06-01 13:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	20	$16.3K	15,501	1,034	+14,467	open	—	05-15 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	34	$14.9K	21,854	0	+21,854	open	—	05-31 04:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$14.0K	0	15,583	-15,583	open	—	05-26 00:31
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$14.0K	14,836	0	+14,836	open	—	05-16 09:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$11.1K	8,829	8,829	+0	open	—	03-06 12:50
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$5.7K	15,400	15,400	+0	open	—	03-04 05:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$5.7K	4,250	4,250	+0	open	—	03-05 00:47
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	3	$4.2K	9,200	9,200	+0	open	—	03-10 01:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	20	$3.1K	3,231	0	+3,231	No	+$110	05-10 09:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	13	$3.0K	3,118	0	+3,118	No	+$77	05-08 10:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	12	$3.0K	3,044	0	+3,044	No	+$19	05-07 16:25
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 46m and 50m	3	$2.4K	21,500	264	+21,236	open	—	03-09 17:59
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	4	$1.3K	771	771	+0	open	—	03-08 10:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$5	05-06 13:05
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 11:58
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$512	520	0	+520	Yes	+$7	05-05 14:00
will iran strike cyprus in march	10	$462	825	825	+0	open	—	03-02 10:22
will company b be accused of insider trading	9	$355	304	304	+0	open	—	02-26 08:33
btc updown 5m 1780642500	1	$59	112	0	+112	open	—	06-05 06:58
btc updown 5m 1780642200	1	$57	60	0	+60	open	—	06-05 06:54
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$36	22	22	+0	open	—	03-02 03:55
btc updown 5m 1780641600	1	$35	57	0	+57	open	—	06-05 06:42
btc updown 5m 1780641300	2	$27	36	0	+36	open	—	06-05 06:38
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	06-01 03:56
btc updown 5m 1780635000	2	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	06-05 04:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$14	14	3	+11	open	—	06-01 17:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 06:58:33	btc updown 5m 1780642500	Up	BUY	112	52¢	$59	0xd64911…
06-05 06:54:21	btc updown 5m 1780642200	Up	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x55f4f2…
06-05 06:42:58	btc updown 5m 1780641600	Up	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x28f98a…
06-05 06:38:40	btc updown 5m 1780641300	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x2f05a9…
06-05 06:36:49	btc updown 5m 1780641300	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc35401…
06-05 05:57:28	btc updown 5m 1780638900	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd0afee…
06-05 05:36:03	btc updown 5m 1780637700	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xfd71f7…
06-05 04:51:06	btc updown 5m 1780635000	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcc8c5a…
06-05 04:50:39	btc updown 5m 1780635000	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xc60413…
06-05 04:42:45	btc updown 5m 1780634400	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xcfbd85…
06-05 04:21:03	btc updown 5m 1780633200	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe8d4b7…
06-05 04:20:58	btc updown 5m 1780633200	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x435380…
06-05 04:05:51	btc updown 5m 1780632300	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa1163c…
06-05 03:58:45	btc updown 5m 1780631700	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xcc7abe…
06-04 05:11:51	btc updown 5m 1780549800	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x6f12df…
06-04 05:08:04	btc updown 5m 1780549500	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x291468…
06-03 05:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xea9985…
06-03 05:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcbb670…
06-03 04:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x7b68b4…
06-03 04:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x8a0746…
06-03 04:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xf2671a…
06-03 04:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x76e00c…
06-03 04:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x82e033…
06-03 04:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb27a6b…
06-03 03:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x0c1945…
06-03 03:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xfbef47…
06-03 03:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x5538be…
06-02 17:39:32	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x8a77f4…
06-02 08:30:07	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x931023…
06-02 03:54:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xd647be…
06-02 03:54:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x995f7c…
06-01 17:02:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3df7f7…
06-01 13:57:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xf5d040…
06-01 13:56:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	26,200	65¢	$17,030	0xa7f611…
06-01 13:16:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xc0134b…
06-01 03:56:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8c42b1…
06-01 03:23:22	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x2b8d74…
05-31 04:22:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	922	98¢	$904	0x04194a…
05-31 03:14:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb45ac0…
05-31 02:43:49	Will the Ethereum Volatility Index dip to 40 by May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92c2b8…
05-31 02:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xfc6138…
05-30 13:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf57a27…
05-30 13:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf3e86…
05-30 12:32:55	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9b8168…
05-30 11:49:22	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xde8aed…
05-30 10:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x575ad6…
05-30 06:57:37	Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x53b248…
05-30 06:57:30	Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf6dea6…
05-30 06:36:32	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xb30ab4…
05-30 06:35:04	Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5f3b4c…
05-30 06:30:24	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x22640b…
05-30 06:25:48	Will Hyperliquid dip to $32 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6603aa…
05-30 06:25:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xacdeeb…
05-30 06:23:29	Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa882f6…
05-30 06:21:22	Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3716a0…
05-30 06:03:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x892e04…
05-30 06:03:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf6ec8f…
05-30 06:02:50	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x77578d…
05-30 06:02:31	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x235ddf…
05-30 06:01:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x096936…
05-30 05:24:38	US x China tariff agreement by May 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc137f6…
05-30 05:16:30	Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs FaZe Vegas (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier	FaZe Vegas	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf3cacc…
05-30 05:15:56	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs against All authority (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C	against All authority	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x603d4d…
05-30 05:15:34	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs DEPO (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	DEPO	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7e0d98…
05-30 05:06:45	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x02c47a…
05-30 05:06:21	US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9418a9…
05-30 04:48:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9123cc…
05-30 03:45:24	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x539832…
05-30 03:41:42	Will Trump say "Egghead" in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4f714f…
05-29 17:02:10	Will MrBeast say "Cash" during his next YouTube video?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0f97d3…
05-29 16:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x035e5a…
05-29 16:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x1fb9d1…
05-29 16:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf95df1…
05-29 16:41:48	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Novak Djokovic	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xcad084…
05-29 16:01:33	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x4113ef…
05-29 13:45:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xc00554…
05-29 13:33:09	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xf3b573…
05-26 00:55:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	643	67¢	$430	0x078a04…
05-26 00:53:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5e1ce7…
05-26 00:52:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0xc7289f…
05-26 00:52:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9d2fac…
05-26 00:52:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x655926…
05-26 00:52:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb9d204…
05-26 00:52:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x90ee78…
05-26 00:50:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	67¢	$20	0x77f27c…
05-26 00:48:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x737eeb…
05-26 00:48:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd914c4…
05-26 00:47:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa76a5f…
05-26 00:47:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9b4347…
05-26 00:46:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x63ebd0…
05-26 00:45:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa12f3e…
05-26 00:44:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	67¢	$15	0x227f45…
05-26 00:43:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5d6637…
05-26 00:42:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8f3ac6…
05-26 00:42:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x574206…
05-26 00:41:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdf2a4f…
05-26 00:40:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf47044…
05-26 00:39:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	67¢	$17	0xe01ca9…
05-26 00:38:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xbf59cc…
05-26 00:38:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xc84023…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	55	$158.6K	2,402	06-09 08:23
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	42	$187.2K	18,882	06-09 20:34
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	40	$247.4K	800	06-09 02:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	39	$17.9M	23,088	06-09 20:19
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	39	$476.7K	6,756	06-09 16:39
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	38	$14.3K	1,215	06-08 23:02
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	36	$7.86K	1,226	06-06 06:26
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	35	$51.7K	368	06-08 20:20