Wary-Gentleman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

654

Trades

1,095

lifetime

Volume

$308.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$282

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 10-23 16:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 120 days

Categories

Politics

89% 75% -$12,143

Other

7% 84% -$3,277

Tech

3% 88% -$3,283

Crypto

1% 76% +$177

Sports

0% 25% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	17	$42.9K	29,956	14,606	+15,350	No	+$1,141	05-20 17:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	12	$29.6K	14,878	14,878	+0	No	+$83	05-15 17:36
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$28.8K	15,574	15,574	+0	No	+$178	05-20 17:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$28.0K	15,583	15,583	+0	No	$0	05-26 00:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	3	$18.6K	29,031	0	+29,031	Yes	-$18,632	06-12 02:14
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	22	$17.2K	9,548	9,548	+0	No	+$21	06-17 11:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	20	$16.3K	15,501	1,034	+14,467	No	+$153	05-15 17:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	34	$14.9K	21,854	0	+21,854	No	+$6,925	05-31 04:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$14.0K	14,836	0	+14,836	No	+$834	05-16 09:37
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	10	$14.0K	7,285	7,285	+0	No	-$138	06-16 10:56
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$11.1K	8,829	8,829	+0	Yes	+$5	03-06 12:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	10	$8.5K	4,497	4,497	+0	Yes	+$213	06-16 10:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$6.6K	3,706	3,700	+6	No	+$263	06-25 01:48
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	24	$5.7K	15,400	15,400	+0	No	+$0	03-04 05:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$5.7K	4,250	4,250	+0	No	$0	03-05 00:47
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	3	$4.2K	9,200	9,200	+0	No	-$1,554	03-10 01:13
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	5	$3.9K	4,563	0	+4,563	Yes	-$3,873	06-29 10:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	9	$3.5K	4,033	133	+3,900	No	+$586	06-24 02:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	20	$3.1K	3,231	0	+3,231	No	+$110	05-10 09:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	15	$3.1K	3,126	5	+3,121	No	+$77	05-08 15:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	12	$3.0K	3,044	0	+3,044	No	+$19	05-07 16:25
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 46m and 50m	3	$2.4K	21,500	264	+21,236	No	-$2,336	03-09 17:59
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 1?	4	$1.3K	656	656	+0	Yes	+$27	07-01 15:49
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	4	$1.3K	771	771	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$32	03-08 10:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$5	05-06 13:05
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$1.0K	512	512	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 11:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$900	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$900	06-19 12:16
bitcoin above 62k on july 9 2026	4	$717	417	417	+0	Yes	+$17	07-07 17:27
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	4	$704	3,500	3,500	+0	No	-$696	07-04 01:18
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 13?	3	$584	334	334	+0	No	+$84	07-13 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 16:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 22?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x92ca2d…
10-22 04:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 22?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xa6d051…
10-17 03:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 17?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x9652ad…
10-16 08:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 16?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x9b4324…
10-15 02:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 15?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x068be2…
10-14 03:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x8293b7…
10-13 00:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 13?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x9e4ca3…
10-12 02:17:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 12?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x71b3da…
10-11 02:42:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	91	98¢	$89	0x3e5d23…
10-09 03:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 10?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0xfe8872…
10-08 04:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 8?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x9ce21c…
10-06 02:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x3d2395…
10-05 03:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x77ce6c…
10-05 03:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2c176a…
10-04 05:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x18814a…
10-04 05:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 4?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xfd9b3a…
10-02 18:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x729789…
10-02 18:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 3?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x1c339f…
09-30 11:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 30?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x221432…
09-29 15:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 30?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$93	0x0be0c2…
09-27 11:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 28?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xe75fd7…
09-26 03:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on September 26?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x50e10e…
09-25 03:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 25?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x6fedde…
09-24 03:50:17	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 24?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x15c53e…
09-23 05:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x7e22f2…
09-22 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 22?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x69cda8…
09-20 16:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe7cfa2…
09-20 16:32:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x665fac…
09-20 16:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 21?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x6405ee…
09-20 16:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 20?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0cabba…
09-19 07:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x9f8056…
09-17 06:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 17?	No	BUY	89	98¢	$88	0xedfadc…
09-16 03:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 16?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x3036a2…
09-15 02:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 15?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x6cfa04…
09-14 03:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 14?	No	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xc6e9b5…
09-12 03:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 13?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$84	0x6d06d4…
09-11 03:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 11?	No	BUY	84	99¢	$83	0xfb3b6b…
09-09 04:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x3b8b0d…
09-09 04:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xa1a324…
09-07 07:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xee2fc8…
09-07 07:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x706977…
09-05 09:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0x473553…
09-03 07:08:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$81	0xa519ec…
09-01 09:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x531730…
09-01 09:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 2?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x2cd26f…
08-31 10:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 31?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xb0ce57…
08-30 09:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x72e8fd…
08-28 17:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 29?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc61ff0…
08-25 12:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on August 27?	No	BUY	48	84¢	$41	0xb30c9a…
08-21 16:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x2f90f5…
08-21 16:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x4ec535…
08-21 04:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x92cfcf…
08-21 04:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x38e7d9…
08-21 04:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4942ef…
08-21 04:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xcaf42a…
08-11 05:07:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x01e9f2…
08-10 08:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xacd741…
08-10 08:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x2f30e0…
08-10 08:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x8fd956…
08-10 08:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xad069b…
08-10 08:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x381d8b…
08-07 11:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 9?	No	BUY	33	58¢	$19	0x38b5ca…
08-06 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	143	62¢	$89	0xa8225e…
08-06 06:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xf62af0…
08-05 06:39:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	87	71¢	$61	0xb7c316…
08-05 06:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1ba437…
08-02 17:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	26	75¢	$20	0xc0b8e9…
08-02 17:26:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x4e6e90…
08-02 17:24:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xdedceb…
08-01 08:23:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb2c3cc…
08-01 08:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x45ab01…
08-01 08:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf7a274…
08-01 08:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b3c15…
08-01 08:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xab58f9…
08-01 08:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa3bf58…
07-31 19:08:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc83beb…
07-31 13:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x3d7b1d…
07-30 18:31:08	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	72	67¢	$48	0xbd8207…
07-30 18:30:32	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	25	67¢	$16	0xa438a1…
07-30 17:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 1?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x752e26…
07-29 12:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd4c960…
07-29 04:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xa2efab…
07-29 02:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x97e0ba…
07-28 17:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x989b5d…
07-28 17:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xb60f5d…
07-28 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x84f0f8…
07-28 04:56:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8ad9f6…
07-27 02:42:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xe7b04e…
07-27 02:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	43	38¢	$16	0x95e893…
07-27 02:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xcfd092…
07-26 17:57:39	arg cat riv1 2026 07 26 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1713bd…
07-26 04:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	43	45¢	$19	0xd022be…
07-26 04:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0x202c9d…
07-26 04:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	43	9¢	$4	0xf9de61…
07-25 19:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xfe4708…
07-25 18:14:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xecbad6…
07-25 18:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8adc7f…
07-25 18:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$12	0x086f9c…
07-25 18:01:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 26?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe6843b…
07-25 17:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xaf046e…