Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

42.0%

Resolved

2,077

Trades

3,118

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-23

last 08-05 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

71% 16% -$4

Crypto

13% 9% -$8

Sports

11% 7% -$6

Politics

3% 32% -$1

Tech

2% 33% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+8	$0	0¢	$0	$0	06-25 23:54
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?	Yes	+6	$0	0¢	$0	$0	06-28 04:15
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	Yes	+7	$0	0¢	$0	$0	06-25 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will gold gc hit high 4400 by end of june copy 20260609185905943	8	$1	36	33	+3	No	+$1	06-28 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?	4	$1	22	22	+0	No	+$0	06-28 04:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C or higher on June 25?	12	$1	43	37	+6	No	+$0	06-25 03:04
Exact Score: Egypt 3 - 3 IR Iran?	8	$1	34	34	+0	No	+$0	06-27 02:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 26?	4	$1	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-26 00:29
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	4	$1	18	17	+1	No	+$0	06-27 18:12
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?	2	$0	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-27 07:46
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 spread away 5pt5	5	$0	14	14	+0	Ecuador	+$0	06-25 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	6	$0	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-27 23:20
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$0	24	24	+0	No	+$0	06-27 10:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?	5	$0	24	9	+15	No	+$0	06-25 23:47
bitcoin above 66k on june 28 2026	4	$0	18	18	+0	No	+$0	06-27 06:41
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	4	$0	16	16	+0	No	+$0	06-29 23:20
Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$0	31	31	+0	No	+$0	06-28 00:34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	7	$0	24	24	-0	No	+$0	06-28 14:13
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of june from june 23	4	$0	18	9	+9	No	+$0	06-28 18:58
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 25?	2	$0	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 01:28
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?	2	$0	6	6	+0	No	+$0	06-24 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 25?	4	$0	13	6	+6	No	+$0	06-25 03:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 25?	3	$0	12	6	+5	No	+$0	06-25 04:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C or below on June 28?	3	$0	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-27 21:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on June 30?	5	$0	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-28 12:33
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	5	$0	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-28 00:40
Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?	4	$0	26	9	+17	Yes	+$17	06-27 19:40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 28?	2	$0	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-28 01:02
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 28?	5	$0	24	14	+10	No	$0	06-28 04:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 27?	7	$0	31	14	+17	No	$0	06-27 04:01
will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	2	$0	9	9	+0	No	+$0	06-28 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 30?	3	$0	17	8	+9	No	+$0	06-28 09:09
will marcus nordmark be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346501	3	$0	16	7	+9	No	+$0	06-26 23:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 13:31:59	Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x2f570f…
07-28 14:07:41	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xdea753…
07-25 16:29:49	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xed2673…
07-25 16:07:49	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x58c4c7…
07-15 05:03:44	Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x84c95d…
07-14 01:02:08	Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xcce72b…
07-13 22:31:43	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe84180…
07-10 09:18:01	Will LCS (North America) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x4d0908…
07-09 21:26:28	Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x023f5e…
07-09 14:25:58	Will Gregor Kobel win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x534aae…
07-08 09:43:32	Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4baaa1…
07-08 04:31:32	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x0d28a3…
07-06 10:51:52	Will Matt Freese win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x85054b…
07-05 15:56:49	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x40bb0f…
07-05 05:16:29	Will Marlon Scott West win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x8a267e…
07-05 00:19:55	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in July 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x53778b…
07-04 20:49:19	Will 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7ddcac…
07-04 20:43:20	Will Austin Reaves play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x219443…
07-04 20:43:10	Will Austin Reaves play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x5eb627…
07-04 20:42:13	Will Andy Pages have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x98d41a…
07-04 03:11:59	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc68060…
07-03 08:33:23	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 8pt5	Over	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x119857…
07-03 01:40:52	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xc72356…
07-02 14:08:17	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4f756c…
07-02 08:15:11	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Something	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xcb9b59…
07-01 23:40:50	Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xfbac89…
07-01 16:24:56	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread away 3pt5	DR Congo	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x1b92d0…
07-01 11:49:28	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x6fd049…
07-01 11:12:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x24d6ec…
07-01 11:00:08	will openais valuation hit high 950b by june 30	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xe33569…
07-01 02:48:13	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x7f2688…
07-01 02:47:43	Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x598e48…
07-01 02:32:14	will databricks valuation hit low 135b by june 30	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x5b9040…
07-01 02:08:05	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xbfe434…
06-30 20:52:50	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x7a2088…
06-30 17:03:47	Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xacfe02…
06-30 16:56:22	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 spread away 5pt5	Norway	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x784851…
06-30 16:46:37	Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x51c33e…
06-30 15:28:55	Will the price of Solana be less than $20 on June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xb029f3…
06-30 15:18:56	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xb86248…
06-30 09:13:29	Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x1b8df8…
06-30 07:47:56	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x12280f…
06-30 06:34:08	aapl above 350 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x2ad6dc…
06-30 04:08:05	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x52ff76…
06-30 03:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xcdf6f0…
06-30 03:48:55	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread away 4pt5	Morocco	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x3873ef…
06-30 01:15:37	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x84f230…
06-29 23:20:55	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xdc5c6a…
06-29 22:40:34	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 spread home 5pt5	Netherlands	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x8169f5…
06-29 22:13:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xbf7b54…
06-29 22:13:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x618348…
06-29 22:13:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa72c78…
06-29 22:00:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc314a4…
06-29 22:00:26	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xa3d131…
06-29 21:38:23	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x5794fd…
06-29 21:18:22	Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x6e942e…
06-29 20:42:49	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x8ec6da…
06-29 20:39:08	Exact Score: Germany 1 - 3 Paraguay?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xa2c4e5…
06-29 20:26:49	Will Michael Bennet win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by more than 15%?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xab4d20…
06-29 20:04:52	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x475e09…
06-29 18:35:14	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3ae4c0…
06-29 17:28:50	Will Senegal be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x53c437…
06-29 17:23:19	Will Michael Bennet win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x814a60…
06-29 16:57:19	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 spread away 5pt5	Japan	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x30b436…
06-29 15:48:14	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x765255…
06-29 14:50:05	Will Anna Kalinskaya be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xa835f7…
06-29 14:42:35	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd1bc3e…
06-29 14:19:55	Will LEC (Europe / EMEA) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xd9cd10…
06-29 14:14:49	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 total 8pt5	Over	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xebc40d…
06-29 13:32:19	will tsla reach 435 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xd9d2eb…
06-29 13:07:32	will marco rubio attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204731	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x91cf08…
06-29 12:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x9edd07…
06-29 11:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on June 29?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x6ca7ac…
06-29 10:27:02	Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x3361a9…
06-29 09:12:11	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xdd4519…
06-29 08:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x0735b9…
06-29 08:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on June 29?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x063df2…
06-29 05:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x842109…
06-29 03:16:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x5ad355…
06-29 02:39:14	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x28326c…
06-29 02:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on June 29?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xae59be…
06-29 02:01:22	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xeda627…
06-29 01:12:13	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x70b6af…
06-29 01:07:19	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xb6108b…
06-29 00:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on June 29?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x25fb5f…
06-28 23:47:41	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xa1cd2a…
06-28 23:15:14	Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x70a27c…
06-28 22:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x9a7057…
06-28 19:46:31	Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Travelers Championship?	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x9aff3f…
06-28 19:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xcfee38…
06-28 19:05:22	100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0xb20091…
06-28 19:05:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x5e2406…
06-28 19:05:22	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x3d290b…
06-28 19:05:22	will ethereum dip to 1350 on june 28	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x22cfa0…
06-28 19:05:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0x02e43c…
06-28 19:05:20	Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x87f3c3…
06-28 19:05:20	Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x2f60fc…
06-28 19:05:20	will xauusd reach 4800 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x06771f…
06-28 19:05:19	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xf7d64e…
06-28 19:05:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xcef378…