Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?
open
Total volume
$717
Trades
53
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$14,482
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-12 08:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $4 | $2 | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $0 | $619 | $618 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 3 | $0 | $619 | $618 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | +552 | $540 | $697 | 20 | 06-12 07:14 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +160 | $4 | $4 | 8 | 06-12 07:13 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +153 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-12 07:14 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +93 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-12 07:14 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +66 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 08:47 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 06:34 |
| Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | +25 | $1 | $3 | 5 | 06-12 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-12 07:13 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-27 21:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 08:47:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6ac830… |
| 06-12 08:47:40 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 66 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6ac830… |
| 06-12 07:14:42 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb5d212… |
| 06-12 07:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xb5d212… |
| 06-12 07:14:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x320f80… |
| 06-12 07:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 82 | 98¢ | $80 | 0x320f80… |
| 06-12 07:14:01 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 36 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x320f80… |
| 06-12 07:13:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb3c270… |
| 06-12 07:13:48 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0xb3c270… |
| 06-12 07:13:48 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb3c270… |
| 06-12 07:13:48 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb3c270… |
| 06-12 07:13:36 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x56842b… |
| 06-12 07:13:36 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x56842b… |
| 06-12 07:13:36 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 51 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x56842b… |
| 06-12 07:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xc1322d… |
| 06-12 07:13:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc1322d… |
| 06-12 07:13:22 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1322d… |
| 06-12 07:13:22 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc1322d… |
| 06-12 07:13:22 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xc1322d… |
| 06-12 07:02:12 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 25 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaf4d17… |
| 06-12 07:02:12 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xaf4d17… |
| 06-12 06:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbf052d… |
| 06-12 06:50:51 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xbf052d… |
| 06-12 06:50:39 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xecaa10… |
| 06-12 06:50:39 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xecaa10… |
| 06-12 06:50:25 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xab5262… |
| 06-12 06:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xab5262… |
| 06-12 06:47:27 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xb102a0… |
| 06-12 06:47:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb102a0… |
| 06-12 06:47:16 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x19286a… |
| 06-12 06:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x19286a… |
| 06-12 06:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0x699e71… |
| 06-12 06:47:06 | Nice-Underwear 0xdbb8…f7de | Yes | BUY | 41 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x699e71… |
| 06-12 06:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x4aa3c5… |
| 06-12 06:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4aa3c5… |
| 06-12 06:34:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2b715e… |
| 06-12 06:34:43 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x2b715e… |
| 06-12 06:34:39 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8ac9f5… |
| 06-12 06:34:39 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x8ac9f5… |
| 06-12 06:34:30 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x25d2da… |
| 06-12 06:34:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x25d2da… |
| 06-12 06:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 70 | 98¢ | $69 | 0x87261a… |
| 06-12 06:34:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x87261a… |
| 06-12 06:34:22 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x87261a… |
| 06-12 06:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xde6c35… |
| 06-12 06:34:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xde6c35… |
| 06-12 06:34:07 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfc09b3… |
| 06-12 06:34:07 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xfc09b3… |
| 06-12 06:34:00 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x407ebb… |
| 06-12 06:34:00 | (anonymous) 0x1515…4320 | No | BUY | 27 | 98¢ | $26 | 0x407ebb… |
| 06-12 06:34:00 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x407ebb… |
| 05-27 21:31:36 | Svelte-Stepson 0xdd3b…f02e | No | SELL | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x65d5e9… |
| 05-27 21:31:36 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x65d5e9… |