Outrageous-Tankful — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

597

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-30 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 40% $-37

Other

5% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 257 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$105	59	59	+0	open	—	05-12 01:28
Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?	1	$104	0	105	-105	open	—	06-17 23:15
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	11	$54	54	29	+25	open	—	06-21 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$36	22	22	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 02:38
btc updown 15m 1781582400	5	$35	30	16	+14	open	—	06-16 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 02:54
btc updown 15m 1781142300	1	$25	46	0	+46	open	—	06-11 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	5	$25	32	0	+32	Up	+$7	05-12 02:29
btc updown 4h 1781136000	3	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	06-11 02:15
btc updown 4h 1781524800	3	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	06-15 15:49
xrp updown 4h 1781136000	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	06-11 02:15
btc updown 4h 1782000000	8	$22	73	29	+43	open	—	06-21 03:42
sol updown 4h 1782028800	9	$21	176	172	+5	open	—	06-21 11:33
sol updown 15m 1781583300	3	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	06-16 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$20	123	0	+123	Down	$-20	05-14 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$19	29	14	+14	Up	$-3	05-13 01:32
btc updown 4h 1782028800	6	$18	56	52	+4	open	—	06-21 11:24
eth updown 5m 1781738400	4	$17	15	13	+2	open	—	06-17 23:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$17	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 01:29
eth updown 15m 1781527500	3	$15	27	0	+27	open	—	06-15 12:55
btc updown 15m 1781579700	3	$15	22	0	+22	open	—	06-16 03:19
xrp up or down june 17 2026 7pm et	3	$14	11	7	+4	open	—	06-17 23:35
btc updown 4h 1782043200	6	$14	25	25	+0	open	—	06-21 15:08
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$13	15	0	+15	open	—	05-28 21:12
eth updown 5m 1781748300	3	$12	11	5	+5	open	—	06-18 02:09
btc updown 5m 1781747400	3	$12	13	6	+6	open	—	06-18 01:54
sol updown 5m 1781738400	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	06-17 23:22
sol updown 5m 1781748300	3	$11	12	6	+6	open	—	06-18 02:09
doge updown 5m 1781794500	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-18 14:58
xrp updown 5m 1781738400	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-17 23:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 02:08:23	btc updown 4h 1782777600	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0cee94…
06-29 21:01:49	xrp updown 4h 1782763200	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe775e8…
06-29 04:17:25	xrp up or down june 29 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd8ec7a…
06-29 03:18:40	xrp updown 4h 1782691200	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x79ba59…
06-29 03:18:23	xrp updown 4h 1782691200	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xe81fbb…
06-27 03:12:52	btc updown 4h 1782518400	Down	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0xf488d8…
06-27 02:38:35	btc updown 4h 1782518400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4ee957…
06-25 22:34:16	btc updown 4h 1782417600	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbcf03d…
06-23 14:31:44	btc updown 4h 1782216000	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x74d8ba…
06-23 14:30:20	btc updown 4h 1782216000	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfdf896…
06-22 22:01:17	xrp updown 4h 1782158400	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xa58d4c…
06-22 21:55:25	xrp updown 4h 1782158400	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcd4c9d…
06-22 14:21:43	btc updown 4h 1782129600	Down	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xa37d78…
06-22 13:59:05	btc updown 4h 1782129600	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xab981b…
06-22 06:13:13	btc updown 4h 1782100800	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x348c12…
06-22 06:10:35	btc updown 4h 1782100800	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2091ec…
06-22 05:40:16	eth updown 15m 1782106200	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x17736f…
06-22 05:34:47	btc updown 4h 1782100800	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xcf61ec…
06-22 04:33:02	btc updown 4h 1782100800	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc445f9…
06-22 03:22:08	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd3e581…
06-21 22:37:35	btc updown 4h 1782072000	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x521b06…
06-21 22:23:07	sol updown 4h 1782072000	Up	BUY	135	2¢	$3	0x0cce3b…
06-21 22:22:35	btc updown 4h 1782072000	Up	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x73737b…
06-21 22:21:38	btc updown 4h 1782072000	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xd30d73…
06-21 19:34:13	xrp up or down june 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x85dfb7…
06-21 19:34:02	ethereum up or down june 21 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x56d825…
06-21 19:33:56	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3424ea…
06-21 19:02:28	xrp updown 4h 1782057600	Up	SELL	17	27¢	$4	0xf7bc21…
06-21 18:55:46	xrp updown 4h 1782057600	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb00aef…
06-21 18:54:40	btc updown 4h 1782057600	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1b3f49…
06-21 15:16:04	eth updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb097be…
06-21 15:08:55	btc updown 4h 1782043200	Down	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0x50943b…
06-21 15:07:02	btc updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x92c43b…
06-21 15:01:43	xrp updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd0e7bd…
06-21 14:56:29	btc updown 4h 1782043200	Up	SELL	21	34¢	$7	0x917fd2…
06-21 14:32:25	btc updown 4h 1782043200	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb8b2c6…
06-21 14:29:23	btc updown 4h 1782043200	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9779ae…
06-21 14:23:55	sol updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa385ff…
06-21 14:20:25	btc updown 4h 1782043200	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x07cb72…
06-21 14:01:43	sol updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xb39214…
06-21 13:59:53	sol updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xf845d9…
06-21 13:57:14	ethereum up or down june 21 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x202cfe…
06-21 13:45:47	solana up or down june 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf56520…
06-21 13:45:32	ethereum up or down june 21 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x646770…
06-21 13:18:23	sol updown 4h 1782043200	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5b707b…
06-21 11:33:47	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc2df62…
06-21 11:24:22	btc updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4bb744…
06-21 11:21:59	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xe7c932…
06-21 11:20:07	ethereum up or down june 21 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b97c0…
06-21 11:19:44	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcf77bf…
06-21 11:18:08	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xeeeb90…
06-21 11:17:23	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	SELL	54	7¢	$4	0xe3bb03…
06-21 11:16:41	btc updown 4h 1782028800	Down	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0x104cbc…
06-21 11:09:28	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x360baa…
06-21 11:09:23	btc updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x13d4cb…
06-21 11:07:05	btc updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xef0497…
06-21 11:06:49	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x6ea4ee…
06-21 11:06:05	btc updown 4h 1782028800	Down	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x4878f3…
06-21 11:06:01	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0xc32ce2…
06-21 11:04:53	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	65	6¢	$4	0xaa4952…
06-21 11:04:43	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xdc5e33…
06-21 11:04:25	sol updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xd2c6ec…
06-21 11:04:13	btc updown 4h 1782028800	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x72d522…
06-21 03:49:34	sol updown 4h 1782000000	Down	BUY	277	0¢	$1	0x79081d…
06-21 03:42:44	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xce6e64…
06-21 03:39:19	eth updown 4h 1782000000	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xd56b55…
06-21 03:39:13	xrp updown 4h 1782000000	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xff39a0…
06-21 03:38:55	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xbeb5b5…
06-21 03:36:37	xrp updown 4h 1782000000	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3ae7de…
06-21 03:31:29	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x3c6c1c…
06-21 03:30:59	solana up or down june 20 2026 11pm et	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x507515…
06-21 03:30:38	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6cf0dd…
06-21 03:29:32	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	SELL	15	24¢	$4	0x33a68b…
06-21 03:29:17	eth updown 4h 1782000000	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xb18d85…
06-21 03:27:25	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xbbe5e8…
06-21 03:22:35	eth updown 4h 1782000000	Up	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xbda96c…
06-21 03:22:19	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x3fe43a…
06-21 03:07:31	solana up or down june 20 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x89f1e1…
06-21 03:03:22	btc updown 4h 1782000000	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x000ea0…
06-21 03:02:26	eth updown 4h 1782000000	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc34d85…
06-21 02:58:47	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2ff091…
06-21 02:58:23	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0a042b…
06-21 02:57:59	xrp updown 15m 1782009900	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x64cf24…
06-21 02:57:26	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xdf52f7…
06-21 02:55:22	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x87f0aa…
06-21 02:53:53	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xe93459…
06-21 02:53:23	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	24	66¢	$16	0x25c00f…
06-21 02:53:16	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x9612bd…
06-21 02:52:37	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9b9e37…
06-21 02:52:35	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc5e53c…
06-21 02:52:34	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6a98f4…
06-21 02:23:19	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0eca32…
06-20 23:35:32	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x322b3b…
06-20 23:25:16	btc updown 15m 1781997300	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x909814…
06-20 23:25:13	btc updown 15m 1781997300	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd912cd…
06-20 23:24:53	eth updown 15m 1781997300	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5d13c0…
06-20 23:24:38	eth updown 15m 1781997300	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf590fe…
06-20 23:23:40	btc updown 4h 1781985600	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x14d943…
06-20 22:48:26	sol updown 15m 1781995500	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xce80fe…
06-20 22:48:13	sol updown 15m 1781995500	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5a4beb…