Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
59
lifetime
Volume
$566
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$240
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-16 01:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
36%
Crypto
18%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +108 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 06-17 02:58
Trump out as President before 2027? No +83 $75 92¢ $76 +$1 06-17 02:59
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +43 $40 96¢ $41 +$1 06-17 02:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-17 03:00
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 $-0 07-16 01:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-30 07:47
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No -3 $-3 95¢ $-3 +$0 07-16 01:45
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? No -2 $-2 92¢ $-2 $-0 07-16 01:46