Irresponsible-Bibliography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,723

lifetime

Volume

$87.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-25 23:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 82% +$23

Other

21% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	3	$1.9K	975	975	+0	open	—	07-01 22:54
btc updown 5m 1782348900	3	$1.3K	1,428	169	+1,258	open	—	06-25 00:59
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	2	$1.1K	1,184	0	+1,184	open	—	07-04 00:10
btc updown 5m 1784246700	2	$1.0K	532	532	+0	open	—	07-17 00:09
btc updown 5m 1783036800	3	$1.0K	1,025	15	+1,010	open	—	07-03 00:02
btc updown 5m 1781959500	2	$1.0K	1,022	0	+1,022	open	—	06-20 12:49
btc updown 5m 1782050100	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	06-21 13:59
btc updown 5m 1783109100	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	07-03 20:07
btc updown 5m 1782050400	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	06-21 14:03
btc updown 5m 1782953100	1	$1000	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	07-02 00:48
btc updown 5m 1782951900	1	$1000	1,043	0	+1,043	open	—	07-02 00:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	2	$976	500	500	+0	open	—	07-12 16:42
btc updown 5m 1782779700	1	$900	959	0	+959	open	—	06-30 00:38
btc updown 5m 1782779400	2	$900	927	0	+927	open	—	06-30 00:32
btc updown 5m 1783693200	3	$900	957	0	+957	open	—	07-10 14:23
btc updown 5m 1782946800	1	$900	918	0	+918	open	—	07-01 23:02
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$860	875	0	+875	open	—	07-09 21:35
btc updown 5m 1783692000	2	$810	840	0	+840	open	—	07-10 14:04
btc updown 5m 1782944400	1	$800	869	0	+869	open	—	07-01 22:22
btc updown 5m 1782778800	1	$800	808	0	+808	open	—	06-30 00:24
btc updown 5m 1783644600	1	$800	808	0	+808	open	—	07-10 00:54
btc updown 5m 1783694100	1	$800	808	0	+808	open	—	07-10 14:39
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	2	$708	383	383	+0	open	—	07-04 19:37
btc updown 5m 1784074500	4	$704	721	15	+706	open	—	07-15 00:19
btc updown 5m 1782077400	1	$700	707	0	+707	open	—	06-21 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$672	343	343	+0	open	—	05-17 22:10
sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	11	$669	763	0	+763	open	—	07-19 01:50
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	6	$658	344	344	+0	open	—	05-31 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$625	321	321	+0	open	—	05-19 00:24
andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	4	$621	319	319	+0	open	—	07-22 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 23:39:03	Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	27	92¢	$25	0x579cc5…
07-25 23:39:00	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	36	74¢	$26	0x331db2…
07-25 23:38:43	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0x671e1a…
07-25 23:38:39	will north and south korea engage in direct talks by december 31	No	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xa5f3dc…
07-25 23:38:33	will jordan bardella leave the national rally by march 31 2027 20260709012217845	No	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0x2ba4bb…
07-25 23:38:21	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x59111b…
07-25 23:38:15	Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026?	No	SELL	44	66¢	$29	0x27b3c3…
07-25 23:38:03	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	No	SELL	40	82¢	$33	0x253947…
07-25 23:37:52	will argentina dollarize by december 31 2026 20260628214554778	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0x94d719…
07-25 23:37:37	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	No	SELL	41	81¢	$33	0x5b594f…
07-25 23:37:25	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x3cf28d…
07-25 23:37:15	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x410b61…
07-25 23:36:52	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	89¢	$44	0x95267f…
07-25 23:36:46	will waymo launch in london by december 31 2026 20260626202855281	Yes	SELL	57	74¢	$42	0x817f39…
07-25 23:36:37	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0x09f02e…
07-25 23:36:15	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	Yes	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0x0f6d3c…
07-25 23:36:07	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x25ca6d…
07-25 23:36:00	viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551	No	SELL	84	72¢	$60	0xaccc27…
07-25 23:35:51	will iran hold a presidential election by december 31	No	SELL	67	88¢	$59	0x5ecb1e…
07-25 23:35:45	Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	No	SELL	73	89¢	$65	0x4bde50…
07-25 23:33:57	will argentina make peter thiel a citizen by december 31	No	SELL	80	40¢	$32	0xc49156…
07-25 23:33:42	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x7c410b…
07-25 23:33:33	meloni out as prime minister of italy by december 31	No	SELL	94	88¢	$83	0x93578c…
07-25 23:33:25	António Guterres out by December 31?	No	SELL	97	75¢	$73	0x15b7aa…
07-25 23:33:19	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x91029c…
07-25 23:33:15	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x63e5e0…
07-25 23:32:58	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xe96c49…
07-25 23:32:34	Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	111	74¢	$83	0xabfa37…
07-25 23:32:24	Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	110	60¢	$66	0xa6649c…
07-25 23:31:54	Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0x72c10f…
07-25 23:31:43	Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026?	No	SELL	109	94¢	$102	0xeb22e4…
07-25 23:31:34	will syria recognize israel by december 31	No	SELL	112	92¢	$103	0x78043c…
07-25 23:31:25	will renan santos qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203623448	No	SELL	112	85¢	$95	0x0a08ad…
07-25 23:31:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x44ba18…
07-25 23:31:04	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0x16edaa…
07-25 23:30:55	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	SELL	130	80¢	$104	0x3cf54b…
07-25 23:30:51	will trump speak to miguel diaz canel in july 20260626154217443	No	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0xed13d2…
07-25 23:27:46	António Guterres out by December 31?	No	SELL	65	78¢	$51	0xe80b8f…
07-25 23:27:40	Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	SELL	187	88¢	$165	0xe290fe…
07-25 23:27:12	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	200	95¢	$191	0x112b04…
07-25 23:26:22	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	299	74¢	$221	0xfccb4d…
07-25 23:22:36	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by july 31 20260626205132787	No	SELL	299	66¢	$197	0x32bc08…
07-25 23:22:30	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0x4999dc…
07-25 23:22:25	UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?	No	SELL	312	95¢	$296	0x08b93b…
07-25 23:20:18	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	338	90¢	$304	0x97870b…
07-25 22:14:16	btc updown 5m 1785017400	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x3ce126…
07-25 21:45:25	António Guterres out by December 31?	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x7da751…
07-25 20:33:16	António Guterres out by December 31?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x994b7d…
07-25 20:32:52	António Guterres out by December 31?	No	BUY	116	85¢	$98	0x517f71…
07-25 13:21:48	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xb0561d…
07-25 13:04:04	Modi out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xe723d5…
07-25 13:00:52	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x5e4a70…
07-25 12:59:37	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x2aa0ad…
07-25 12:58:10	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x045666…
07-24 04:31:42	Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x713207…
07-24 01:12:39	btc updown 5m 1784855400	Down	BUY	178	90¢	$160	0x508a4f…
07-24 01:08:27	btc updown 5m 1784855100	Down	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd4ec23…
07-24 01:03:09	btc updown 5m 1784854800	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf0208a…
07-24 00:54:16	btc updown 5m 1784854200	Down	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0x70b5bc…
07-24 00:50:27	btc updown 5m 1784854200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x09a362…
07-24 00:48:34	btc updown 5m 1784853900	Up	SELL	111	96¢	$107	0xf06e71…
07-24 00:46:25	btc updown 5m 1784853900	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xef2bf2…
07-24 00:37:10	btc updown 5m 1784853300	Up	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x1323bb…
07-24 00:35:34	btc updown 5m 1784853300	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x416cc2…
07-24 00:29:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	115	69¢	$79	0x77412e…
07-23 23:50:55	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	126	98¢	$124	0x0503a7…
07-23 18:32:58	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	No	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x01d125…
07-23 14:41:42	Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5766a0…
07-23 03:39:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xb9d8a9…
07-22 23:12:21	btc updown 5m 1784761800	Down	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xeecc2c…
07-22 23:09:27	btc updown 5m 1784761500	Up	SELL	119	97¢	$115	0xcf551f…
07-22 23:07:43	btc updown 5m 1784761500	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x62db5f…
07-22 22:54:33	btc updown 5m 1784760600	Up	SELL	22	80¢	$18	0x9d3d8a…
07-22 22:51:39	btc updown 5m 1784760600	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x6c8cef…
07-22 17:28:21	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x9fcf8e…
07-22 15:58:30	will north and south korea engage in direct talks by december 31	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x04c869…
07-22 13:11:55	andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	No	SELL	263	99¢	$261	0x501f26…
07-22 06:58:27	andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x23611a…
07-22 00:22:21	will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xc976cf…
07-22 00:16:24	Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xd736c4…
07-22 00:05:07	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0xdb14cf…
07-21 23:18:21	Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd5d298…
07-21 22:49:57	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xe9479a…
07-21 21:35:34	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xffe2d6…
07-21 21:04:39	andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x4f1a15…
07-21 20:35:37	will israel election happen as scheduled 20260720204824362	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd0b60e…
07-21 19:16:49	will trump speak to xi jinping in july 20260626154217426	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x9ef8c8…
07-21 18:40:13	will trump speak to luiz inacio lula da silva in july 20260626154217439	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x3a2411…
07-21 17:13:07	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x34d681…
07-21 03:24:07	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0x20cc77…
07-21 02:27:43	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x0c19ac…
07-20 23:58:15	will trump speak to miguel diaz canel in july 20260626154217443	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x981df5…
07-20 23:56:45	andy burnham out as uk pm by august 31 20260720214622942	No	BUY	319	96¢	$306	0x1b8f78…
07-20 23:55:48	will trump speak to miguel diaz canel in july 20260626154217443	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x1abf06…
07-20 18:06:04	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc25d72…
07-20 18:06:01	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x462cd4…
07-20 15:44:43	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	145	99¢	$143	0x76918e…
07-20 12:50:30	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xb111bb…
07-20 10:08:37	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by july 31 20260626205132787	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x2c7721…
07-20 02:56:06	will renan santos qualify for brazils presidential runoff 20260617203623448	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd6cffa…