Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b873…047bf1
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
40
Trades
1,645
lifetime
Volume
$81.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$2.67K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-22 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 82% +$23
Other
19% — —
Politics
9% — —
Sports
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? No +350 $325 92¢ $324 $-1 07-12 23:39
UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? No +312 $300 96¢ $301 +$1 07-07 01:36
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? Yes +200 $193 96¢ $193 +$0 07-22 00:05
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +187 $169 93¢ $174 +$4 07-13 00:00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +200 $177 86¢ $173 $-4 07-16 20:36
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? No +130 $106 80¢ $105 $-2 07-04 17:52
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +109 $100 95¢ $103 +$3 06-30 23:59
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +108 $100 96¢ $103 +$3 06-29 22:43
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? No +109 $100 94¢ $103 +$3 06-30 23:59
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? No +111 $99 89¢ $99 +$0 07-12 06:17
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No +110 $99 89¢ $98 $-1 07-11 17:10
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +100 $91 92¢ $92 +$1 07-12 11:25
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +100 $88 90¢ $90 +$1 07-19 13:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +115 $100 72¢ $83 $-17 06-30 03:41
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? No +73 $68 93¢ $68 +$0 07-15 11:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +71 $65 94¢ $67 +$2 06-26 01:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +67 $61 92¢ $61 +$0 07-11 20:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +50 $47 96¢ $48 +$1 06-30 23:40
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $45 90¢ $45 $-0 07-22 00:16
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +50 $44 88¢ $44 $-0 07-21 23:18
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? No +44 $41 97¢ $43 +$2 06-30 04:52
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +37 $37 98¢ $36 $-1 07-08 19:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No -38 $-39 92¢ $-36 +$3 07-02 15:30
Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026? No +44 $36 80¢ $35 $-1 07-08 19:27
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No -34 $-32 96¢ $-33 $-1 06-06 23:17
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-30 96¢ $-31 $-1 06-06 23:34
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -32 $-30 96¢ $-31 $-1 06-06 23:39
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No +27 $25 92¢ $25 +$0 06-29 23:14
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No -17 $-15 83¢ $-14 +$1 07-13 16:33
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 06-13 16:41