Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
98.7%
Resolved
40
Trades
1,336
lifetime
Volume
$46.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$1.20K
22 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-01 05:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
78% 82% +$23
Other
10%
Politics
10%
Sports
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 226 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +110 $100 93¢ $102 +$2 06-16 23:31
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026? No +109 $100 92¢ $101 +$1 06-30 23:59
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +112 $100 89¢ $100 $-0 06-30 04:28
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No +108 $100 92¢ $99 $-1 06-29 22:43
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? No +109 $100 92¢ $99 $-1 06-30 23:59
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +115 $100 86¢ $99 $-1 06-30 03:41
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No +84 $75 92¢ $77 +$2 06-29 23:57
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? No +75 $59 98¢ $73 +$14 06-19 19:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +79 $70 92¢ $72 +$2 06-01 00:43
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +71 $65 94¢ $67 +$2 06-26 01:33
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$0 06-30 23:40
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? No +44 $41 90¢ $40 $-1 06-30 04:52
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -37 $-37 100¢ $-37 $-1 06-09 00:44
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? No -34 $-32 94¢ $-32 $-1 06-06 23:17
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No -32 $-30 96¢ $-31 $-1 06-06 23:34
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -32 $-30 93¢ $-30 $-0 06-06 23:39
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -33 $-30 86¢ $-28 +$1 06-06 23:15
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? No +27 $25 90¢ $24 $-1 06-29 23:14
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No -17 $-16 94¢ $-16 +$0 06-16 18:02
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -11 $-10 95¢ $-10 +$0 06-13 16:41
Will Donald Trump visit Vermont in 2026? No +9 $7 86¢ $8 +$0 06-30 23:55
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 $-0 06-22 05:37