Realized P&L
-$648
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
86.4%
Resolved
782
Trades
2,076
lifetime
Volume
$114.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$734
6 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 07-25 23:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Crypto
51%
78%
-$625
Other
32%
79%
+$209
Politics
13%
76%
+$79
Sports
3%
60%
-$148
Tech
2%
62%
-$163
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 | No | +396 | $334 | 90¢ | $358 | +$24 | 07-11 20:39 | |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | +350 | $325 | 96¢ | $334 | +$9 | 07-12 23:39 | |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | -13 | -$12 | 96¢ | $-12 | $0 | 07-13 16:33 | |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | -14 | -$8 | 80¢ | $-11 | -$3 | 07-25 23:39 | |
| Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? | No | -11 | -$10 | 98¢ | $-11 | $0 | 05-24 22:00 | |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | -8 | -$8 | 96¢ | $-8 | $0 | 06-06 23:39 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance | 3 | $1.9K | 975 | 975 | +0 | Belgium | +$34 | 07-01 22:54 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | 4 | $1.8K | 1,795 | 0 | +1,795 | Yes | +$14 | 06-20 18:28 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | 2 | $1.7K | 1,755 | 0 | +1,755 | No | +$35 | 06-20 01:02 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 00:55 UTC | 3 | $1.3K | 1,428 | 169 | +1,258 | Down | -$28 | 06-25 00:59 |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina? | 2 | $1.3K | 1,358 | 0 | +1,358 | No | +$56 | 07-02 01:48 |
| Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 0 Curaçao? | 1 | $1.1K | 1,147 | 0 | +1,147 | Yes | +$13 | 06-21 01:55 |
| fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance | 2 | $1.1K | 1,184 | 0 | +1,184 | Argentina | +$56 | 07-04 00:10 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:05 UTC | 2 | $1.0K | 532 | 532 | +0 | Down | +$27 | 07-17 00:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 00:00 UTC | 3 | $1.0K | 1,025 | 15 | +1,010 | Down | +$14 | 07-03 00:02 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:45 UTC | 2 | $1.0K | 1,022 | 0 | +1,022 | Down | +$12 | 06-20 12:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 14:00 UTC | 1 | $1000 | 1,020 | 0 | +1,020 | Down | +$20 | 06-21 14:03 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 13:55 UTC | 1 | $1000 | 1,020 | 0 | +1,020 | Up | +$20 | 06-21 13:59 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 20:05 UTC | 1 | $1000 | 1,020 | 0 | +1,020 | Up | +$20 | 07-03 20:07 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 00:45 UTC | 1 | $1000 | 1,063 | 0 | +1,063 | Up | +$63 | 07-02 00:48 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 00:25 UTC | 1 | $1000 | 1,043 | 0 | +1,043 | Down | +$43 | 07-02 00:28 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | 1 | $1000 | 1,019 | 0 | +1,019 | Down | +$19 | 07-02 00:18 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31 | 2 | $976 | 500 | 500 | +0 | No | -$2 | 07-12 16:42 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:35 UTC | 1 | $900 | 959 | 0 | +959 | Down | +$59 | 06-30 00:38 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:30 UTC | 2 | $900 | 927 | 0 | +927 | Down | +$27 | 06-30 00:32 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:20 UTC | 3 | $900 | 957 | 0 | +957 | Down | +$57 | 07-10 14:23 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 23:00 UTC | 1 | $900 | 918 | 0 | +918 | Down | +$18 | 07-01 23:02 |
| Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran? | 1 | $869 | 870 | 0 | +870 | Yes | +$1 | 06-21 21:00 |
| fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance | 1 | $860 | 875 | 0 | +875 | France | +$15 | 07-09 21:35 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | 1 | $831 | 944 | 0 | +944 | Yes | +$113 | 06-25 22:45 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | 1 | $820 | 860 | 0 | +860 | Yes | +$40 | 06-26 19:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:00 UTC | 2 | $810 | 840 | 0 | +840 | Down | +$15 | 07-10 14:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 22:20 UTC | 1 | $800 | 869 | 0 | +869 | Up | +$69 | 07-01 22:22 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 00:50 UTC | 1 | $800 | 808 | 0 | +808 | Down | +$8 | 07-10 00:54 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 00:20 UTC | 1 | $800 | 808 | 0 | +808 | Down | +$8 | 06-30 00:24 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 14:35 UTC | 1 | $800 | 808 | 0 | +808 | Up | +$8 | 07-10 14:39 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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