Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved
100
Trades
131,889
lifetime
Volume
$128.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$22
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-09 23:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
60% 44% +$7
Politics
19% 60% +$10
Crypto
12% 27% $-8
Sports
8% 17% $-4
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4633 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June? Yes +10 $3 100¢ $10 +$7 05-31 07:34
Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Yes +14 $2 33¢ $5 +$2 06-09 17:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +6 $-1 62¢ $3 +$4 05-29 19:21
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +33 $1 $2 +$1 06-08 22:24
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +8 $2 16¢ $1 $-1 05-31 12:39
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 08:22
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-29 19:01
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting? Yes -1 $0 $-0 $-0 06-02 06:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -0 $1 $-0 $-1 06-09 16:38