Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
44.0%
Resolved
100
Trades
132,887
lifetime
Volume
$130.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-30 12:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
59% 44% +$7
Politics
20% 60% +$10
Crypto
12% 27% $-8
Sports
8% 17% $-4
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 4633 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +8 $2 23¢ $2 +$0 06-24 11:19
MagicBlock FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +6 $4 28¢ $2 $-2 06-20 21:11
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter? No +60 $1 $1 +$0 06-29 14:27
US x China Military clash before 2027? Yes +9 $1 $1 $-0 06-15 05:24
Fed abolished before 2027? Yes +16 $0 $0 +$0 06-25 12:52
Maduro guilty of all counts? Yes +2 $-1 16¢ $0 +$1 06-26 06:19
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-17 13:02
Printr FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-15 09:27
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $3 $0 $-3 06-30 14:22
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026? No +10 $1 $0 $-1 06-26 11:57
Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +30 $1 $0 $-1 06-16 20:58
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO? No +57 $6 $0 $-6 06-30 14:25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -42 $1 $-0 $-1 06-14 04:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026? No -18 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-14 17:27
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +0 $1 19¢ $0 $-0 06-23 23:12
Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-29 23:22