Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$4.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$925
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 07-04 06:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Politics
33%
Tech
3%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +537 $534 100¢ $536 +$2 07-03 23:16
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +101 $99 100¢ $101 +$1 07-04 08:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +66 $63 96¢ $63 $-0 07-04 09:48
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +66 $62 96¢ $63 +$1 06-17 21:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -48 $-40 94¢ $-44 $-5 06-02 20:27
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +38 $36 94¢ $36 $-0 07-04 09:53
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +31 $30 95¢ $30 $-0 07-04 09:53
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +7 $6 86¢ $6 $-0 07-04 09:49
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +6 $6 94¢ $6 $-0 07-04 09:53
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 07-04 09:47
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-07 01:55
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-23 00:38
Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 $-0 07-04 09:49
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 $-0 07-04 09:57
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 07-04 09:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +23 $3 12¢ $3 $-0 07-04 09:57
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 $-0 07-04 09:49
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 07-04 09:57
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 $-0 07-04 09:58
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-04 09:58
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No +2 $2 93¢ $2 $-0 07-04 09:58
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 07-04 09:57
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 07-04 09:58