Realized P&L
+$9.61K
Unrealized P&L
+$22.5K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
22,813
lifetime
Volume
$10.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$458
Open exposure
$83.1K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
79% 100% +$8,687
Other
20% 100% +$926
Crypto
1%
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +27,273 $23,855 92¢ $25.0K +$1,100 07-03 04:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +20,000 $18,150 90¢ $17.9K $-250 07-20 07:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +19,171 $-1,456 46¢ $8.9K +$10,371 07-20 07:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -6,618 $-5,723 86¢ $-5724 $-2 07-20 03:27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +5,918 $5,370 90¢ $5.4K $-15 07-13 18:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -5,130 $-4,521 90¢ $-4591 $-71 06-12 13:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6,000 $-4,850 70¢ $-4230 +$620 07-17 10:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -3,750 $-3,377 93¢ $-3493 $-117 06-12 08:48
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No -3,501 $-3,419 94¢ $-3289 +$130 07-04 09:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,487 $-4,381 99¢ $1.5K +$5,854 07-09 08:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -1,070 $-959 86¢ $-926 +$33 06-24 07:45
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +923 $848 90¢ $831 $-17 07-03 04:54
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +517 $418 94¢ $488 +$70 05-28 13:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -342 $-327 94¢ $-322 +$4 07-07 16:55
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +305 $278 92¢ $282 +$5 07-02 06:47
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +181 $127 82¢ $147 +$21 07-02 06:49
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? No +153 $120 93¢ $141 +$21 06-25 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -8,513 $-4,806 $-81 +$4,725 07-11 22:11