Useless-Marker 0x0b651d…e0013e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$544
Unrealized P&L
-$196
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
12
Trades
2,048
lifetime
Volume
$155.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$76
Open exposure
$5.14K
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 07-22 00:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
50% 75% +$102
Other
43% 80% +$307
Crypto
3% — —
Sports
3% 67% +$135
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -1,326 $-1,079 78¢ $-1041 +$38 07-18 18:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +800 $580 72¢ $572 $-8 07-17 23:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +586 $534 90¢ $526 $-9 07-20 22:32
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -635 $-384 82¢ $-524 $-140 06-30 22:55
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -500 $-480 96¢ $-482 $-2 07-03 20:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -492 $-405 88¢ $-430 $-25 06-29 19:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -300 $-298 97¢ $-290 +$8 07-01 19:38
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +500 $246 56¢ $278 +$31 07-20 09:55
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes -217 $-211 94¢ $-206 +$5 07-12 22:08
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +300 $192 62¢ $186 $-6 07-21 22:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 92¢ $183 +$9 06-30 05:18
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $148 18¢ $126 $-22 07-04 07:22
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -153 $-77 60¢ $-93 $-16 06-21 07:17
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? No +100 $82 88¢ $88 +$6 07-06 08:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +200 $64 30¢ $61 $-3 07-20 19:09
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +692 $17 4¢ $25 +$8 06-04 21:54
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $-12 23¢ $25 +$36 07-17 16:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $110 1¢ $2 $-108 06-16 21:56