Useless-Marker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$544

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,216

lifetime

Volume

$169.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 08-11 19:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

49% 75% +$102

Other

45% 80% +$307

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% 67% +$135

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	42	$3.7K	3,194	2,131	+1,063	open	—	05-06 22:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	12	$3.2K	3,237	300	+2,938	open	—	03-10 18:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	11	$3.0K	1,686	1,686	+0	open	—	07-30 19:43
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$3.0K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	05-24 23:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	7	$2.5K	1,311	1,311	+0	open	—	04-13 23:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$2.4K	1,900	1,100	+800	open	—	08-12 02:13
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?	16	$2.2K	2,235	0	+2,235	open	—	04-24 23:19
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.1K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	06-02 10:11
will the us invade iran by march 31	20	$2.1K	1,476	1,051	+425	open	—	03-27 11:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	12	$2.1K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	03-26 21:04
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-29 20:42
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	7	$2.0K	900	1,200	-300	open	—	07-01 19:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	13	$1.9K	1,300	901	+399	open	—	05-25 11:36
will partido popular win 32 35 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	3	$1.9K	1,858	0	+1,858	open	—	03-16 16:50
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$1.8K	950	950	+0	open	—	03-23 16:27
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	13	$1.8K	975	975	+0	open	—	06-17 20:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	16	$1.7K	1,000	2,126	-1,126	open	—	07-18 18:29
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	19	$1.7K	1,193	1,193	+0	open	—	04-18 13:39
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	18	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-17 22:29
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	18	$1.6K	2,200	800	+1,400	open	—	05-12 11:03
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	18	$1.6K	893	893	+0	open	—	04-27 20:21
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	28	$1.6K	1,226	1,226	+0	open	—	04-23 16:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	6	$1.5K	1,200	400	+800	open	—	07-18 19:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$1.5K	900	900	+0	open	—	04-21 11:03
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	10	$1.5K	1,100	700	+400	open	—	08-09 11:32
will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	6	$1.5K	832	832	+0	open	—	04-13 18:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	6	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$119	05-06 10:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$1.4K	1,439	0	+1,439	open	—	03-14 23:46
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	6	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-16 17:10
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	17	$1.3K	900	500	+400	open	—	06-29 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 02:13:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x7c61fd…
08-11 19:12:03	will nigel farage up his vote share in clacton 20260707171746907	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x64dfd9…
08-11 11:28:04	Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x2310ad…
08-10 18:26:18	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x2ed9ab…
08-10 17:56:31	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	817	2¢	$19	0x75a44f…
08-10 14:48:07	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	39	19¢	$7	0x3a68fa…
08-10 14:47:00	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	120	19¢	$23	0xf91ff5…
08-10 14:43:09	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	41	19¢	$8	0x013dd7…
08-10 12:12:19	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	187	80¢	$150	0x928b62…
08-10 09:25:04	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0x7618d9…
08-10 00:59:33	Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x0b5307…
08-09 23:01:15	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	14	4¢	$1	0xfd50d1…
08-09 20:40:16	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$16	0xafc1e9…
08-09 15:58:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x8c937b…
08-09 14:51:00	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	371	5¢	$19	0xe6ff0e…
08-09 11:32:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0x2cbc20…
08-09 11:16:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x33d062…
08-09 10:46:31	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	176	40¢	$70	0x81d31e…
08-09 02:58:07	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5b67b9…
08-09 02:54:13	russia elections yabloko clears duma threshold	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xee9147…
08-08 23:59:48	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xa9e1e8…
08-08 22:45:21	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	SELL	43	37¢	$16	0xe65412…
08-08 22:39:25	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	150	25¢	$38	0x935f77…
08-08 21:57:37	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x440afa…
08-08 21:56:46	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	147	32¢	$47	0x7a3677…
08-08 21:56:24	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0x6205ed…
08-08 21:43:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x3b133e…
08-08 21:36:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb1f5ac…
08-08 21:30:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe14f52…
08-08 21:28:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	113	95¢	$107	0xb691b2…
08-08 20:00:34	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xb3e456…
08-08 20:00:16	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x88a27c…
08-07 23:41:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x0cb7e9…
08-07 23:41:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	No	BUY	209	44¢	$91	0x04414b…
08-07 22:44:06	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 10 20260807213124699	No	BUY	175	98¢	$172	0xc441fe…
08-06 22:01:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	600	82¢	$492	0xba74a9…
08-06 15:50:18	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x459718…
08-06 15:09:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	550	85¢	$468	0x59a5fe…
08-05 23:41:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0x278729…
08-05 23:24:24	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	163	97¢	$158	0x6ca05f…
08-05 23:24:14	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x4a6939…
08-05 23:23:00	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x833f76…
08-05 21:51:14	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	270	67¢	$181	0x68129e…
08-05 21:50:51	will russia enter orikhiv by september 30	Yes	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x1fc34c…
08-05 21:48:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x085942…
08-05 21:23:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x7aa6fc…
08-05 14:57:48	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xdd4b4a…
08-04 21:44:29	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	107	82¢	$88	0x54e0de…
08-04 18:41:00	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc90063…
08-04 11:23:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x119de0…
08-04 05:36:11	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	22¢	$6	0x0a34e9…
08-04 01:15:51	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x6360a1…
08-04 00:38:20	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	192	11¢	$21	0x9a1649…
08-03 20:33:05	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xf7e872…
08-03 18:16:57	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x41b141…
08-03 16:42:09	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xfe9645…
08-03 15:38:00	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	27	12¢	$3	0x271424…
08-03 15:36:03	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x564a2b…
08-03 15:27:39	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0xcb7b63…
08-03 15:27:15	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x578af3…
08-03 15:17:39	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x03846a…
08-03 15:17:30	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xbb3cdd…
08-03 15:17:30	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x355b17…
08-03 14:42:11	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	66	76¢	$51	0xd7ab23…
08-03 13:21:45	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x7d9f8a…
08-03 13:19:30	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	115	42¢	$48	0x34d028…
08-03 13:19:06	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x7a950e…
08-03 13:19:05	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x95405f…
08-03 13:19:05	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x02f291…
08-03 13:18:57	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	13	42¢	$5	0xe8154d…
08-03 13:18:57	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xb34e33…
08-03 13:18:56	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x9f03aa…
08-03 13:18:56	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	No	BUY	43	42¢	$18	0x895f18…
08-03 10:17:18	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	83	76¢	$63	0x309988…
08-03 10:10:09	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	96	76¢	$73	0x7b1449…
08-03 08:41:32	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xe3de88…
08-03 02:39:05	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0xf5e138…
08-03 02:38:51	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	65	82¢	$54	0x32e9b4…
08-02 22:18:47	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x91d385…
08-02 09:36:29	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0x16b9ab…
08-02 07:36:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	550	81¢	$446	0x189420…
08-02 02:00:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0xb357a6…
07-31 23:17:59	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	20¢	$21	0x83ccfb…
07-31 22:39:14	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	294	62¢	$182	0x49a238…
07-31 22:29:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	6	62¢	$4	0xda7581…
07-31 22:10:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x86dc8c…
07-31 22:07:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x2ab42b…
07-31 21:02:26	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	SELL	72	95¢	$68	0x1e1a0f…
07-31 20:38:15	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xff8a09…
07-31 19:56:08	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0xf627a8…
07-31 18:32:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xec1e82…
07-31 18:02:42	nato downs another russian drone by july 31 20260726215001930	No	SELL	90	95¢	$86	0x91ead1…
07-31 11:37:03	nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	No	SELL	200	35¢	$70	0x425257…
07-30 23:40:51	will russia enter moskovka by july 31	No	BUY	239	99¢	$237	0xbdb556…
07-30 21:38:35	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x60cefe…
07-30 21:03:11	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xbf9b40…
07-30 20:59:20	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xd7876d…
07-30 20:56:38	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x9af0f7…
07-30 19:43:09	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	386	93¢	$358	0xd4b9c1…
07-30 17:38:48	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	55	84¢	$46	0x0647c0…