Realized P&L
+$544
Unrealized P&L
+$12
Hit rate
89.1%
Resolved
12
Trades
1,816
lifetime
Volume
$135.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$4.35K
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-30 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
52% 75% +$102
Other
41% 80% +$307
Crypto
3%
Sports
2% 67% +$135
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No -895 $-730 70¢ $-631 +$98 06-24 00:51
Spain snap election called in 2026? No -635 $-384 72¢ $-457 $-73 06-30 22:55
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -492 $-405 84¢ $-411 $-5 06-29 19:37
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +400 $355 100¢ $400 +$44 06-29 01:05
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? No +400 $397 100¢ $400 +$2 06-25 20:23
Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? No +300 $296 100¢ $300 +$4 06-28 14:01
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30? No +282 $278 100¢ $281 +$3 06-12 00:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +219 $173 99¢ $217 +$45 06-25 08:41
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +200 $172 100¢ $199 +$27 06-10 23:08
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026? No +200 $185 99¢ $199 +$14 06-19 10:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $174 86¢ $173 $-1 06-30 05:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +200 $160 76¢ $151 $-9 06-27 02:52
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? No +141 $138 99¢ $140 +$2 06-22 23:32
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $242 28¢ $138 $-104 06-30 16:33
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -153 $-77 57¢ $-88 $-11 06-21 07:17
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $30 28¢ $70 +$40 06-23 08:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +200 $110 30¢ $61 $-49 06-16 21:56
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +692 $17 $18 +$2 06-04 21:54
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +17 $16 100¢ $17 +$0 06-17 20:26
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 06-17 06:52
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +300 $18 $0 $-18 06-14 22:22
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes +14 $-1 $0 +$1 06-18 21:14