Useless-Marker 0x0b651d…e0013e
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$458
Unrealized P&L
+$1.09K
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
767
Trades
5,084
lifetime
Volume
$331.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$8.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 10-30 04:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 188 days
Categories
Politics
51% 62% -$966
Other
44% 58% -$239
Sports
2% 61% -$25
Crypto
1% 71% +$563
Tech
1% 62% +$209
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1,200 -$1,087 94¢ $-1134 -$47 07-23 05:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,100 $738 82¢ $908 +$170 10-01 11:43
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +600 $269 84¢ $501 +$232 09-06 16:14
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -500 -$480 98¢ $-489 -$9 07-03 20:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -500 -$432 97¢ $-486 -$53 05-23 17:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -500 -$440 96¢ $-481 -$41 05-18 04:52
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +539 $166 82¢ $439 +$273 10-21 12:27
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +500 $345 68¢ $342 -$2 09-02 15:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +400 $264 82¢ $330 +$66 09-01 23:53
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +371 $146 84¢ $309 +$164 10-28 09:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +300 $285 94¢ $284 -$2 10-20 00:57
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $216 70¢ $282 +$66 09-10 02:36
US recession by end of 2026? No +300 $267 93¢ $279 +$12 09-25 04:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +300 $258 86¢ $256 -$2 10-10 21:24
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes +300 $234 86¢ $256 +$22 08-22 11:54
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +300 $118 70¢ $212 +$93 10-09 04:35
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? No +200 $160 93¢ $186 +$26 08-10 12:12
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $186 93¢ $186 $0 10-24 19:55
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +200 $125 72¢ $145 +$20 10-20 03:28
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +200 $107 72¢ $144 +$37 09-30 13:15
will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31 Yes +300 $117 45¢ $135 +$18 06-07 19:41
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? No +126 $113 100¢ $126 +$12 09-16 09:45
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +200 $80 58¢ $117 +$37 10-14 22:21
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? No +150 $128 56¢ $84 -$44 10-29 17:54
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -50 -$42 94¢ $-47 -$4 10-23 15:58
Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +100 $56 46¢ $46 -$10 10-23 09:22
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1,000 -$77 2¢ $-25 +$52 05-01 16:38
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $20 5¢ $21 +$1 08-19 07:53
us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026 Yes +153 $15 8¢ $13 -$2 08-14 18:32
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +100 $7 13¢ $13 +$5 09-24 03:54