Realized P&L (7d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
36.5%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
0
2,756 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$2.61K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 11-04 17:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 131 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 40% -$67
Other
30% 68% +$30
Politics
14% 65% +$5
Sports
6% 43% -$5
Tech
1% 56% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 40% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 15¢ $-3 -$1 04-29 21:40
Celonis IPO before 2027? Yes -40 -$5 4¢ $-2 +$3 06-01 20:17
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -10 $0 12¢ $-1 -$1 05-27 11:21
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +40 $3 3¢ $1 -$2 05-24 21:50
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0080 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 06:31
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 18¢ $-1 -$1 05-01 05:16
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 20¢ $-1 -$1 05-19 03:35
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -40 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 05-13 07:12
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes -20 -$2 5¢ $-1 +$1 05-08 22:55
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 $0 15¢ $-1 -$1 05-09 06:24
Modi out by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 2¢ $1 -$2 05-17 05:35
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $3 2¢ $1 -$3 07-05 04:53
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? Yes -20 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 05-05 15:17
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 11¢ $-1 $0 05-11 23:31
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 10¢ $-1 $0 05-09 02:32
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $0 $0 08-15 05:20
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 05-12 08:37
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? Yes -19 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 01:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$2 04-30 09:25
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -9 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 06:08
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-12 19:08
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -5 $0 6¢ $-0 $0 05-09 04:41
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? Yes -10 $0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-08 07:23
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 05-12 10:14
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes -5 $0 5¢ $-0 $0 05-09 07:44
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-11 18:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 11:06
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? Yes -40 -$6 1¢ $-0 +$6 05-03 02:20
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 $0 05-08 22:56
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +40 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-10 07:02