Realized P&L
-$226
Unrealized P&L
-$794
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
2,528
Trades
4,123
lifetime
Volume
$344.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$84
Open exposure
$3.98K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-02 11:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Crypto
52% 90% -$1,315
Other
25% 80% +$1,135
Politics
21% 76% +$18
Tech
1% 80% -$5
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$11
Sports
0% 66% -$70
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -744 -$640 88¢ $-659 -$19 06-14 21:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -651 -$522 84¢ $-543 -$22 06-08 19:10
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -480 -$423 94¢ $-449 -$26 06-05 01:31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -447 -$385 92¢ $-409 -$25 06-04 00:12
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -291 -$267 90¢ $-261 +$6 06-11 12:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,732 $257 12¢ $-199 -$456 08-21 08:09
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -257 -$191 62¢ $-158 +$32 06-12 17:32
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -147 -$132 96¢ $-141 -$9 06-03 09:51
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -141 -$133 98¢ $-138 -$5 06-03 09:50
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -7,561 -$76 2¢ $-132 -$57 05-08 00:22
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -128 -$119 97¢ $-124 -$5 06-03 09:50
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No -138 -$74 74¢ $-101 -$28 08-21 08:10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -632 $98 12¢ $-74 -$172 08-21 08:09
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -192 -$57 31¢ $-59 -$2 08-24 00:04
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$119 93¢ $-52 +$67 06-08 10:30
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -52 -$47 99¢ $-52 -$4 06-10 00:04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -54 -$47 94¢ $-51 -$4 06-03 09:42
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes -45 -$25 96¢ $-43 -$18 08-24 00:06
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -42 -$41 98¢ $-42 $0 06-09 23:55
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$38 98¢ $-39 -$2 06-12 17:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -448 $15 8¢ $-34 -$48 08-21 08:10
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? Yes -2,912 -$149 1¢ $-31 +$118 06-16 14:18
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,069 -$138 3¢ $-28 +$111 06-14 22:01
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -28 -$26 96¢ $-27 -$1 06-12 17:32
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? No -28 -$25 94¢ $-26 -$1 06-05 18:18
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,063 -$116 2¢ $-26 +$90 06-14 21:52
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -26 -$24 98¢ $-25 -$1 06-12 17:39
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -24 -$21 96¢ $-23 -$1 06-09 23:56
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? Yes -193 $306 10¢ $-19 -$325 08-21 08:09
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -5,286 -$32 0¢ $-18 +$13 06-12 17:32