Realized P&L
-$1.33K
Unrealized P&L
-$940
Hit rate
39.7%
Resolved
73
Trades
708
lifetime
Volume
$18.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$3.46K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Crypto
57% 21% -$612
Other
23% 27% -$1,196
Politics
18% 33% +$535
Sports
2% 33% -$57
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1,631 -$974 82¢ $-1329 -$355 05-24 14:37
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,081 $547 32¢ $351 -$196 10-09 18:18
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -305 -$169 95¢ $-291 -$122 07-29 10:39
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,100 $223 18¢ $202 -$21 09-19 11:30
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +501 $135 38¢ $188 +$53 09-29 17:06
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +2,666 $127 5¢ $133 +$7 09-28 08:11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,200 $167 6¢ $129 -$38 10-13 17:46
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +975 $216 12¢ $112 -$104 09-11 17:22
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +1,576 $135 6¢ $91 -$44 09-26 06:13
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,056 -$148 8¢ $-90 +$58 09-24 10:13
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +400 $60 18¢ $72 +$12 10-20 13:18
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -168 -$84 36¢ $-60 +$24 05-06 18:12
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +105 $42 46¢ $48 +$6 10-13 14:22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,279 $186 1¢ $43 -$144 05-23 14:50
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -80 -$49 46¢ $-37 +$12 05-19 15:09
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $27 4¢ $37 +$10 05-06 12:23
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $46 16¢ $31 -$15 09-21 06:10
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +100 $30 28¢ $27 -$2 09-09 10:15
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? Yes -101 -$41 24¢ $-24 +$18 05-09 11:07
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $26 2¢ $22 -$4 05-06 12:22
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3,000 -$42 1¢ $-20 +$22 05-17 15:20
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? Yes +20 $3 96¢ $19 +$16 09-21 07:21
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? Yes +414 $20 5¢ $19 -$1 08-14 08:43
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +180 $18 10¢ $18 $0 10-27 12:25
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes +505 $76 3¢ $13 -$63 06-02 18:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes +557 $48 2¢ $13 -$34 06-07 04:31
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +711 $31 2¢ $11 -$20 08-25 12:20
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +500 $4 2¢ $10 +$6 05-06 12:27
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +2,500 $26 0¢ $9 -$18 05-17 15:26
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -9 -$8 95¢ $-9 -$1 09-06 15:15