Young-Melon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.67K

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

340

Trades

1,881

lifetime

Volume

$671.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$357

Open exposure

$10.5K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-09 16:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

48% 91% -$5,239

Crypto

27% 92% +$5,550

Politics

20% 75% -$4,083

Sports

5% 81% +$5,589

Tech

0% 100% +$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	No	-4,678	-$5,806	97¢	$-4554	+$1,253	10-06 21:43
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	-2,650	-$2,608	98¢	$-2594	+$14	08-07 16:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-1,000	-$930	94¢	$-935	-$5	08-21 00:43
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	No	-904	-$883	98¢	$-886	-$4	07-29 20:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1,000	-$1,209	82¢	$-825	+$384	10-09 16:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?	No	-748	-$763	98¢	$-736	+$27	08-07 16:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	150	$29.3K	16,930	17,930	-1,000	open	—	10-09 16:45
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	44	$27.4K	13,770	13,770	+0	No	+$0	06-11 18:56
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?	23	$21.1K	9,792	14,470	-4,678	open	—	10-06 21:43
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	16	$16.2K	8,295	8,295	+0	No	+$411	01-31 17:59
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$15.8K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$134	08-21 00:50
SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	11	$15.2K	9,637	5,783	+3,854	No	+$47	04-17 15:33
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	5	$14.9K	7,583	7,583	+0	No	+$127	08-17 14:46
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	24	$13.4K	0	13,614	-13,614	No	-$177	06-04 19:10
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	15	$13.2K	7,406	7,406	+0	open	—	10-09 16:38
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	18	$11.6K	0	12,983	-12,983	Yes	-$1,428	01-03 17:06
mlb kc wsh 2026 06 16	10	$11.1K	16,849	0	+16,849	Washington Nationals	+$5,770	06-17 00:49
will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of march	20	$9.9K	5,050	5,050	+0	No	+$87	03-19 06:33
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	97	$9.8K	24,559	0	+24,559	Spain	-$9,834	07-19 20:26
will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in august 2026	3	$9.6K	6,166	6,166	+0	Yes	-$2,466	08-21 00:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	7	$9.2K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-21 05:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	14	$9.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	08-21 05:21
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	44	$8.7K	14,148	0	+14,148	No	+$5,455	02-04 04:06
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	7	$8.5K	4,304	4,304	+0	No	+$51	03-26 10:03
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	5	$8.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-07 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$80	10-01 20:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$7.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$123	08-29 17:11
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	13	$7.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$536	01-31 17:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	20	$7.4K	3,758	3,758	+0	No	+$56	05-24 20:43
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	17	$6.9K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$1,086	01-31 17:58
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	13	$6.4K	6,833	1,127	+5,706	No	+$1,504	02-11 05:10
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 8	32	$5.9K	3,000	2,998	+2	No	+$57	04-07 14:27
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	38	$5.8K	3,833	3,833	+0	open	—	09-11 18:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	6	$5.6K	0	5,678	-5,678	No	-$87	06-06 18:23
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	3	$5.5K	0	5,611	-5,611	No	-$102	06-04 18:36
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$5.3K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	+$150	06-04 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 16:45:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,600	84¢	$1,344	0x133ac4…
10-09 16:38:58	SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,406	96¢	$7,091	0x80956a…
10-08 16:20:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	439	85¢	$373	0x64f0e0…
10-08 15:49:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x18aead…
10-08 14:58:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xcfe801…
10-08 14:26:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x75d906…
10-08 13:31:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x20dec6…
10-08 13:14:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xeb2c74…
10-08 13:12:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	265	85¢	$225	0x806d57…
10-08 11:27:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x84eeab…
10-08 10:55:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	298	85¢	$253	0xdc8cc7…
10-08 07:44:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x48ee1a…
10-08 07:14:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0x0f6cdd…
10-08 06:09:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	162	85¢	$138	0x75d56f…
10-08 05:55:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xb5244c…
10-08 05:28:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	118	85¢	$100	0xe63348…
10-08 04:36:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1,600	84¢	$1,344	0xb105ad…
10-08 04:34:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x063f2f…
10-08 04:28:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xf89ac9…
10-08 04:01:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x982238…
10-08 03:17:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x975fd5…
10-08 03:16:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x0d2c80…
10-08 03:14:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xdcd82d…
10-08 03:13:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x9d7a37…
10-08 03:11:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xeb554b…
10-08 02:23:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$8	0x5fb843…
10-08 02:15:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x1ec421…
10-08 02:13:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x5b32fb…
10-08 01:53:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6345a7…
10-08 01:30:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0xd0825b…
10-08 01:30:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x0cc5dd…
10-08 01:22:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xe036c5…
10-08 00:47:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x5438b6…
10-08 00:45:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x45bc69…
10-08 00:37:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xc84fea…
10-08 00:20:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x90f558…
10-08 00:20:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x0c792a…
10-08 00:18:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x188799…
10-08 00:18:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x953249…
10-07 23:56:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xd1bd01…
10-07 23:55:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x97e22f…
10-07 23:39:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	296	85¢	$252	0x7d0b2b…
10-07 23:39:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x6c9801…
10-07 23:39:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	296	85¢	$252	0xd35ae3…
10-07 23:38:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x345082…
10-07 23:38:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x16b28b…
10-07 23:38:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	157	85¢	$134	0xb0ffea…
10-07 23:37:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x8158bf…
10-07 23:08:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xac7588…
10-07 23:05:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xdb4e87…
10-07 22:47:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x365525…
10-07 22:45:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xc55391…
10-07 22:23:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x07c8e7…
10-07 22:21:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	112	85¢	$95	0x0cd4b2…
10-07 22:17:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x522e87…
10-07 22:15:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x31e1fb…
10-07 22:07:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	205	85¢	$174	0xc5e1aa…
10-07 21:31:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0x0ba07a…
10-07 21:09:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	500	75¢	$375	0x59270e…
10-07 21:08:26	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,714	80¢	$2,971	0x4e555b…
10-07 21:06:26	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	2,000	41¢	$820	0x20dc36…
10-07 21:01:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x7bc9bc…
10-07 21:01:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x449a8f…
10-07 20:55:49	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	2,000	42¢	$840	0x8d99fd…
10-07 20:49:48	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	500	34¢	$170	0x1e9649…
10-07 19:55:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	386	85¢	$328	0xccd5d5…
10-07 19:47:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x0af99f…
10-07 19:44:54	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xdbe33c…
10-07 19:42:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	85¢	$2,550	0xc0c7f2…
10-07 19:39:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x11a93c…
10-07 19:36:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xaca09d…
10-07 18:21:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0xb2aad2…
10-07 18:06:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x9ebb79…
10-07 18:00:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	62	85¢	$53	0xfe73d4…
10-07 17:01:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x229f4d…
10-07 16:47:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x80c2bc…
10-07 16:42:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x2126a4…
10-07 16:42:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x1c342a…
10-07 16:38:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xd90a31…
10-07 16:36:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x9216da…
10-07 16:36:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	471	85¢	$400	0xeb8001…
10-07 16:34:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	24	85¢	$20	0xce75fd…
10-07 16:34:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xbcc030…
10-07 16:34:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x793522…
10-07 16:34:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,685	85¢	$1,433	0x350456…
10-07 16:33:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x274673…
10-07 16:33:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xdf1e29…
10-07 16:33:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x52932c…
10-07 16:33:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xdd6243…
10-07 16:24:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x4f37a2…
10-07 16:23:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xd09948…
10-07 16:18:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x83fd0a…
10-07 15:52:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xedf2d8…
10-07 15:42:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x2a6652…
10-07 15:33:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xa0c727…
10-07 14:40:02	Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	81¢	$52	0x3d37f4…
10-07 14:12:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	260	85¢	$221	0x2a6a87…
10-07 13:58:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0xd9fa42…
10-07 13:46:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0x8c3442…
10-07 13:19:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbb3767…