Knobby-Eyelashes — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10.7K

Unrealized P&L

+$33

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

442

Trades

4,414

lifetime

Volume

$611.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

$615

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-23 17:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

59% 79% -$6,972

Crypto

30% 72% +$1,278

Politics

9% 60% +$1,329

Sports

2% 33% -$6,299

Tech

0% 33% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	+361	$317	89¢	$321	+$4	10-23 17:37
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+100	$65	78¢	$78	+$12	05-22 09:32
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	+73	$67	96¢	$70	+$3	10-09 09:20
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	+90	$62	76¢	$68	+$7	08-23 11:21
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	+48	$40	94¢	$45	+$5	10-08 08:10
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+41	$36	77¢	$32	-$4	05-29 22:28
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	+2	-$4	74¢	$1	+$6	06-25 13:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	2	$28.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 12:52
cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	340	$24.2K	21,805	22,565	-759	Punjab Kings	+$636	04-16 14:46
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	72	$22.2K	16,443	24,362	-7,919	Punjab Kings	-$5,210	04-25 09:42
cricipl roy che 2026 04 05	45	$21.9K	16,000	6,000	+10,000	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$36	04-05 17:48
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	193	$21.9K	31,219	33,977	-2,758	Yes	+$1,280	04-05 16:14
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	21	$21.5K	25,000	25,000	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$7	04-30 13:32
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	38	$18.6K	21,414	21,000	+415	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$1,265	04-29 17:52
will ethena dip to 0 in march	20	$15.4K	9,018	6,468	+2,550	No	+$49	03-31 04:33
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	10	$14.8K	12,500	2,453	+10,047	No	+$105	05-04 10:18
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	38	$14.5K	10,081	10,081	+0	No	-$175	04-30 00:41
cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	207	$14.4K	19,280	19,280	+0	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$2	04-15 15:02
cbb ill iowa 2026 03 28	47	$13.3K	25,496	25,496	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$510	03-28 17:08
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	69	$10.9K	6,690	4,898	+1,793	No	+$167	03-31 12:42
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	217	$10.6K	9,718	11,362	-1,644	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$1,001	04-13 13:57
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	11	$10.1K	10,100	0	+10,100	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$47	05-06 18:44
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	26	$9.8K	6,200	3,716	+2,484	No	+$141	03-23 09:36
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	2	$9.6K	18,063	4,063	+14,000	Spurs	-$5,979	04-24 16:19
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	34	$9.2K	4,842	4,842	+0	No	+$210	03-24 15:00
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	14	$8.8K	4,589	4,589	+0	Yes	+$214	04-30 21:29
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	62	$8.6K	10,458	10,455	+2	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$51	04-24 17:28
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	149	$8.5K	4,490	4,490	+0	Yes	+$203	03-06 16:51
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	6	$8.4K	8,061	388	+7,673	Yes	-$35	05-26 10:37
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titans	29	$7.8K	8,055	8,055	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$81	04-26 09:29
cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	38	$7.5K	7,005	7,005	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$35	04-10 15:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	36	$7.3K	3,688	3,688	+0	No	+$66	08-31 11:54
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	24	$7.3K	4,909	4,909	+0	open	—	09-14 10:27
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals	109	$7.2K	10,336	7,235	+3,101	Delhi Capitals	+$17	04-18 10:02
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,850 in May?	1	$7.2K	7,200	0	+7,200	No	+$7	05-29 21:37
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	11	$6.9K	6,940	0	+6,940	Yes	+$56	05-26 19:57
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?	12	$6.8K	6,321	726	+5,595	No	+$100	05-04 08:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 17:37:38	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x09ebab…
10-23 11:23:18	Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xe109ff…
10-23 11:21:24	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x61fc6d…
10-23 11:20:11	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	87¢	$52	0x8241c5…
10-16 15:41:30	Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x906c15…
10-12 21:24:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x1ebc8e…
10-12 08:17:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xbaa49e…
10-12 06:48:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x50a52a…
10-11 14:13:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x918a00…
10-11 11:39:29	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0xfc145d…
10-11 10:21:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa09887…
10-11 10:12:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x05e293…
10-11 09:54:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3f46d1…
10-11 09:37:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbce6fb…
10-11 09:31:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe1f1ca…
10-11 08:47:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?	No	SELL	142	99¢	$141	0xf35c36…
10-11 02:31:23	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in October?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xbebca8…
10-11 02:31:11	Will Ethena reach $0.44 in October?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x0b26cc…
10-09 23:01:02	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0xced69e…
10-09 23:01:02	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x90d399…
10-09 15:51:00	West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	India	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x4b4acf…
10-09 09:40:42	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x81b78c…
10-09 09:40:16	Will Ethena reach $0.48 in October?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xc11eba…
10-09 09:39:58	Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in October?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0xbbb0e6…
10-09 09:39:43	Will Ethena reach $0.44 in October?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xc1502a…
10-09 09:20:25	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0xcda5a5…
10-09 00:10:23	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x0deea0…
10-08 17:52:11	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	122	87¢	$106	0xedbb5f…
10-08 08:10:43	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0xb2f12b…
10-01 04:55:02	will xauusd dip to 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	500	95¢	$476	0x7c2850…
10-01 04:54:50	will xauusd dip to 3600 in october 2026	No	BUY	270	95¢	$256	0x53cc02…
09-30 21:43:33	Will Ethena reach $0.36 in September?	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xd9bb5f…
09-30 13:10:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0xdcb52e…
09-30 13:06:39	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xb25a20…
09-29 08:57:42	will xauusd dip to 4100 in september 2026	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xa0b1d2…
09-27 05:37:08	Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in September?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x93ecfd…
09-25 00:36:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in September?	No	BUY	237	99¢	$235	0x4a48a6…
09-25 00:35:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in September?	Yes	BUY	532	1¢	$4	0x087245…
09-25 00:34:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x414ffb…
09-24 13:03:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in September?	No	BUY	426	100¢	$424	0xec02c5…
09-23 11:41:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x1692f2…
09-17 12:26:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe257a0…
09-17 12:26:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xe1ea6e…
09-16 19:13:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in September?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xc36706…
09-16 16:58:39	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$51	0xd9d1e3…
09-16 16:57:21	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in September?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb9aaed…
09-16 16:39:15	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x967507…
09-16 16:34:30	Will BNB reach $1,000 in September?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x5d28fb…
09-16 16:31:59	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in September?	No	BUY	148	99¢	$146	0x74a40e…
09-14 16:15:55	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x9e8ba9…
09-14 15:51:57	Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027?	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0xca5565…
09-14 15:51:36	Will $ANSEM reach $1 before 2027?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xa0a79d…
09-14 14:20:40	Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x407f05…
09-14 10:27:12	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,000	72¢	$720	0x2e5af8…
09-14 10:26:21	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,438	71¢	$1,731	0xe7884e…
09-12 07:50:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xb491b2…
09-10 03:18:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x43e676…
09-09 18:05:58	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x384367…
09-09 18:02:31	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x582fc7…
09-04 23:52:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x467f1d…
09-04 23:51:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x3d8c98…
09-04 08:44:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in September?	No	BUY	339	97¢	$330	0x8ef094…
09-01 16:23:16	Will BNB reach $1,100 in September?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x1da12f…
09-01 16:22:00	Will Ethena reach $0.36 in September?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x584cc0…
09-01 15:29:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x8d7dcb…
08-31 17:05:34	Will BNB reach $800 in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf2e423…
08-31 16:36:21	Will BNB reach $800 in August?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc40bff…
08-31 16:35:40	will bnb dip to 600 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x770ab3…
08-31 16:32:51	Will Ethena reach $0.24 in August?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x0d7642…
08-31 11:54:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	3,236	100¢	$3,233	0xc4ebe3…
08-31 11:26:23	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xbc2dd0…
08-31 05:47:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x3cc634…
08-31 04:39:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbffc77…
08-30 23:50:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0fcd7c…
08-30 23:14:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb8973f…
08-30 23:11:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd6c057…
08-30 22:53:57	will xauusd dip to 4100 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3bb745…
08-30 22:53:21	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7fc127…
08-30 22:50:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x014637…
08-30 16:10:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf936d5…
08-30 15:09:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	186	100¢	$186	0x5f842c…
08-28 23:37:19	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xdb6b12…
08-28 23:35:58	will xagusd reach 74 in august 2026	No	BUY	150	95¢	$142	0xcbb2fa…
08-28 16:36:51	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xfb4fb7…
08-28 16:36:12	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x19bed9…
08-28 16:35:42	will ethena dip to 0pt08 in august 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x129753…
08-28 16:34:55	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbf0be3…
08-28 16:34:10	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	74¢	$31	0x686438…
08-28 16:34:00	Will Ethena reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	73¢	$84	0x032bb2…
08-28 16:32:58	Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	90¢	$117	0x78cf79…
08-28 16:32:16	Will Ethena reach $0.32 in August?	No	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0x58fd40…
08-28 16:29:19	will xauusd reach 4650 by august 24 2026 from august 27	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8f57c1…
08-28 16:28:43	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x53b137…
08-28 16:24:22	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?	No	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x19db69…
08-28 16:23:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in August?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$199	0x4cb13a…
08-28 15:58:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	SELL	985	100¢	$984	0xeb2d4a…
08-28 08:51:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x70dda4…
08-28 08:48:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in August?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x952d03…
08-28 01:02:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbe5377…
08-28 00:05:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x883240…