Realized P&L
+$59
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
99.6%
Resolved
12
Trades
3,878
lifetime
Volume
$543.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$140
Open exposure
$992
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-19 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
62% 50% $-6
Crypto
31% 100% +$66
Politics
5%
Sports
2%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -409 $-355 82¢ $-337 +$18 06-22 09:02
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -200 $-164 88¢ $-175 $-11 06-30 03:20
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +105 $94 92¢ $97 +$3 07-19 04:44
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-96 97¢ $-97 $-1 06-17 23:58
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +73 $69 98¢ $71 +$2 07-12 04:09
Relay FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -67 $-63 91¢ $-61 +$2 07-05 14:23
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? No -57 $-55 82¢ $-47 +$8 07-01 09:10
Relay FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? No -49 $-46 91¢ $-45 +$1 07-05 14:23
GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch? No +43 $39 95¢ $41 +$2 07-12 04:12
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +21 $18 89¢ $19 +$0 05-29 22:28
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? No -16 $-2 12¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 23:09
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +2 $-4 45¢ $1 +$5 06-25 13:00