Crazy-Restriction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$172

Unrealized P&L

-$115

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

1,096

Trades

1,422

lifetime

Volume

$34.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$1.02K

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 11-09 02:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 218 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 83% +$467

Other

25% 40% -$389

Sports

5% 65% +$104

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	-965	-$825	97¢	$-939	-$114	05-31 18:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-68	-$64	98¢	$-67	-$4	05-24 17:17
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?	Yes	+43	$10	23¢	$10	+$0	07-29 10:16
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+91	$1	5¢	$4	+$3	07-26 04:19
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+5	$2	37¢	$2	$0	11-09 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	8	$1.8K	1,498	988	+509	Yes	+$93	07-13 14:49
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	2	$1.6K	802	802	+0	Yes	+$1	03-03 13:44
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	3	$1.0K	1,086	0	+1,086	No	+$36	06-24 02:11
Will Chelsea be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	3	$1.0K	803	210	+593	No	+$2	04-18 18:42
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	7	$825	0	965	-965	open	—	05-31 18:12
will bitcoin reach 80k june 1 7 2026	3	$771	392	392	+0	No	+$11	06-07 22:48
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	2	$750	754	0	+754	No	+$4	05-30 19:31
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	4	$749	520	316	+205	No	-$46	07-30 07:06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$733	395	395	+0	No	+$3	05-30 06:37
bitcoin above 84k on february 3	5	$678	440	240	+200	No	+$1	02-03 14:14
will bitcoin reach 82k june 1 7 2026	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	06-07 22:49
will bitcoin reach 70k june 8 14 2026	2	$580	587	0	+587	No	+$7	06-13 03:39
will bitcoin reach 74k june 15 21 2026	1	$580	591	0	+591	No	+$11	06-15 21:53
will bitcoin reach 76k june 8 14 2026	1	$540	541	0	+541	No	+$1	06-13 03:40
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	5	$484	270	270	+0	No	+$24	05-29 19:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$484	513	513	+0	open	—	08-19 16:20
will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	2	$443	256	256	+0	No	+$43	06-07 22:49
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$438	591	591	+0	open	—	08-19 16:18
will bitcoin reach 72k july 13 19 2026	2	$420	427	0	+427	No	+$7	07-15 13:09
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 18-24?	2	$408	208	208	+0	No	+$8	05-23 07:01
bitcoin above 86k on february 3	3	$400	200	200	+0	No	+$0	02-03 10:35
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$397	211	211	+0	No	-$3	06-25 08:57
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 20 26 2026	2	$379	394	0	+394	No	+$15	07-23 03:01
will bitcoin reach 65000 by december 31 2026 from june 29	4	$363	210	210	+0	Yes	-$6	07-09 06:21
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$360	180	180	+0	No	$0	02-22 15:47
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	3	$315	165	165	+0	No	+$13	03-06 18:21
bitcoin above 76k on february 5	1	$308	309	0	+309	No	+$1	02-05 12:52
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 18-24?	2	$302	152	152	+0	No	+$2	05-23 02:11
will bitcoin reach 68k july 27 august 2 2026	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	08-01 18:02
will bitcoin dip to 52k june 29 july 5 2026	1	$300	310	0	+310	No	+$10	07-01 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 02:47:37	Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7719ce…
11-08 09:27:42	Will Dalian Yingbo win Chinese Super League?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd80bec…
11-08 01:29:13	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xfe90eb…
11-07 21:56:43	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)	Gen.G	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xcd7fee…
11-07 21:56:28	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x2cafae…
11-07 21:55:24	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x464007…
11-04 05:25:15	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xce8169…
11-03 22:16:07	LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Invictus Gaming	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x13c159…
11-03 21:24:39	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5a0373…
10-31 23:19:46	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xfb872d…
10-31 23:14:33	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xc45249…
10-31 23:12:09	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x4ceaa2…
10-31 12:39:09	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd93908…
10-31 12:03:09	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd1d37f…
10-31 12:02:57	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xab2211…
10-31 12:02:45	Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)	LYON	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xe55bea…
10-30 22:34:52	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1d4554…
10-26 21:36:50	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xaca066…
10-25 22:10:02	cs2 9z tyloo 2026 10 26 map handicap away 1pt5	9z	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa7ff48…
10-25 21:37:20	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	5	67¢	$4	0xe8437f…
10-25 21:06:27	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1de0e6…
10-25 13:59:00	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x8f9b6e…
10-25 13:57:36	Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x30c968…
10-25 11:36:29	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3d8fef…
10-25 11:35:42	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3e914e…
10-25 11:35:32	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x83b7e1…
10-25 11:35:00	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x46837d…
10-25 00:34:54	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7d942c…
10-25 00:21:12	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc4d405…
10-24 22:06:54	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0b567e…
10-24 21:13:08	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe843a0…
10-24 21:12:41	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x725009…
10-24 20:46:29	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc3ff36…
10-24 19:15:11	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb3370b…
10-24 07:48:17	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdbddf0…
10-24 07:48:06	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xbbed5c…
10-24 07:47:24	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x55f4c6…
10-24 07:47:12	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8b7543…
10-24 07:45:54	Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x07f7a6…
10-24 07:45:00	Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)	FUT Esports	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcfaaa3…
10-23 20:01:36	LoL: Team Secret Whales vs LYON (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x784a59…
10-23 19:16:36	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x27b55f…
10-23 19:15:00	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0x03dcd1…
10-23 17:43:12	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x666db1…
10-22 16:12:26	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x8d6063…
10-22 16:11:59	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1a4c75…
10-21 18:16:57	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xea6e2e…
10-21 15:59:20	Aston Villa FC vs. Viking FK: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x92b7f6…
10-21 15:58:45	Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x3314ba…
10-20 20:55:48	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x672523…
10-20 19:02:17	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x580ea0…
10-20 19:01:50	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x548dd4…
10-20 19:01:35	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd51ee8…
10-17 08:23:05	lol fox1 we 2026 10 17 total games 4pt5	Over	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x942392…
10-16 18:15:24	lol mvk kc 2026 10 16 game handicap home 2pt5	MVK Esports	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2ab95c…
10-14 19:36:49	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x7ce589…
10-14 08:29:11	lol we bro2 2026 10 15	Team WE	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x29e945…
10-14 08:29:04	lol fox1 kt 2026 10 14	KT Rolster	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfae5b1…
10-14 08:28:53	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Liverpool FC	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1362ab…
10-14 08:28:11	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x10da47…
10-13 19:11:30	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x203000…
10-12 09:36:56	Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfe49db…
10-12 07:14:23	Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x90b1f7…
10-12 07:08:29	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xc8e5da…
10-12 07:08:29	LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x62178d…
10-11 17:07:48	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd277cb…
10-10 19:08:48	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	Yes	SELL	91	67¢	$61	0x88bc67…
10-10 14:41:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x81c338…
10-10 14:40:18	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xeb4270…
10-08 17:57:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xd5a227…
10-08 17:57:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8b8b8e…
10-07 22:21:27	Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)	RED Canids	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2dd8db…
10-07 22:21:15	Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	JD Gaming	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6d8554…
10-06 12:47:04	Spread: Spain (-2.5)	Spain	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5f50bc…
10-06 06:46:55	LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x07d62d…
10-06 06:46:40	Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)	RED Canids	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0xc58dcb…
10-06 06:46:18	Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)	HANJIN BRION	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x31a065…
10-05 20:13:23	Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x5c1651…
10-05 20:09:56	Spread: England (-2.5)	England	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x75fb9d…
10-04 08:26:04	Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)	JD Gaming	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x4ed0fc…
10-04 08:25:55	LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	Team WE	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc6ab68…
10-04 08:25:41	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)	KT Rolster	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa80c71…
10-04 07:02:37	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xcd4b8d…
10-04 07:01:47	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x91d515…
10-03 07:39:24	LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	BNK FEARX	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5ee524…
10-02 18:18:12	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x82ecef…
10-02 18:17:42	France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6692dd…
10-02 11:15:09	Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	T1	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd66c07…
10-01 20:16:21	Wales vs. Norway: Norway 2nd Half O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0d8f88…
10-01 18:55:21	Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	T1	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xb22e1a…
10-01 18:55:09	Map Handicap: GE (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)	Global Esports	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x90519b…
09-30 03:49:57	Germany vs. Serbia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe95dc7…
09-30 03:49:44	Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Norway	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc4ce48…
09-30 03:48:57	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xabe3a2…
09-28 03:48:48	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc22d88…
09-28 03:48:27	Belgium vs. France: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa49ae6…
09-26 17:04:51	Will Croatia win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe8e8d8…
09-26 08:43:24	Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xaaa2e6…
09-25 03:14:24	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xda7f94…
09-23 01:08:56	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x41c823…