Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
55
Trades
259
lifetime
Volume
$900
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$42
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 06-30 12:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
83% 50% +$4
Politics
8%
Sports
5% 40% $-15
Crypto
2% 25% +$2
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +80 $4 18¢ $14 +$10 06-26 20:49
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +21 $15 60¢ $12 $-3 06-20 21:23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +23 $4 13¢ $3 $-1 06-23 05:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +16 $3 15¢ $2 $-1 06-25 20:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6 $4 32¢ $2 $-2 06-25 10:45
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +17 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-24 05:35
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes +127 $5 $2 $-3 06-23 22:21
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +800 $8 $1 $-7 06-20 05:53
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes +231 $4 $1 $-3 06-23 22:21
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +938 $5 $1 $-4 06-20 05:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +287 $3 $1 $-2 06-24 19:30
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $5 $1 $-4 06-20 05:55
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? Yes +150 $5 $0 $-4 06-20 20:48
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? Yes +35 $3 $0 $-3 06-29 01:25