Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
55
Trades
282
lifetime
Volume
$999
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$25
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-30
last 07-15 13:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
82% 50% +$4
Politics
8%
Sports
7% 40% $-15
Crypto
2% 25% +$2
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +21 $15 63¢ $13 $-2 06-20 21:23
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +80 $4 $5 +$1 06-26 20:49
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +23 $4 10¢ $2 $-1 06-23 05:31
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +16 $3 12¢ $2 $-1 06-25 20:41
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +17 $3 11¢ $2 $-2 06-24 05:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2 $-0 29¢ $-1 $-0 07-15 13:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +6 $4 $0 $-3 06-25 10:45