This-Swath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$306

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

Trades

286

lifetime

Volume

$16.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-20 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 32% $-306

Other

46% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	3	$4.7K	3,227	3,227	+0	open	—	05-15 09:32
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	4	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-18 12:46
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	3	$981	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-15 13:56
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?	1	$798	928	0	+928	open	—	05-18 12:47
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	3	$523	540	540	+0	open	—	05-20 21:00
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	3	$357	1,207	0	+1,207	open	—	05-16 20:23
btc updown 5m 1776049800	4	$351	266	171	+95	open	—	04-13 03:15
btc updown 5m 1776050700	4	$271	283	128	+154	open	—	04-13 03:30
btc updown 5m 1776048300	3	$234	170	115	+55	open	—	04-13 02:50
btc updown 5m 1776051000	3	$217	265	88	+177	open	—	04-13 03:35
btc updown 5m 1776050100	3	$201	238	82	+157	open	—	04-13 03:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	1	$200	801	0	+801	open	—	05-17 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$150	260	0	+260	open	—	05-20 21:58
btc updown 5m 1776049200	5	$149	140	97	+43	open	—	04-13 03:04
btc updown 5m 1776041400	4	$144	152	80	+72	open	—	04-13 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$137	209	78	+130	open	—	05-20 21:53
btc updown 5m 1776042000	4	$136	111	107	+4	open	—	04-13 01:05
btc updown 5m 1776051300	4	$132	146	97	+49	open	—	04-13 03:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	2	$125	2,486	0	+2,486	open	—	05-17 23:14
btc updown 5m 1776043500	4	$121	100	97	+3	open	—	04-13 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$116	237	0	+237	Down	$-116	05-08 02:00
btc updown 5m 1776046500	3	$110	130	52	+78	open	—	04-13 02:19
btc updown 5m 1776036600	2	$110	198	0	+198	open	—	04-12 23:32
btc updown 5m 1776043200	4	$107	106	103	+4	open	—	04-13 01:25
btc updown 5m 1776044400	5	$104	89	86	+3	open	—	04-13 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776037200	3	$100	244	0	+244	open	—	04-12 23:43
btc updown 5m 1776018600	2	$97	58	57	+1	open	—	04-12 18:36
btc updown 5m 1776051600	2	$96	318	0	+318	open	—	04-13 03:42
btc updown 5m 1776044100	4	$96	164	49	+115	open	—	04-13 01:38
btc updown 5m 1776035700	4	$90	195	0	+195	open	—	04-12 23:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x4053cd…
05-20 21:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x905bed…
05-20 21:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x6be89c…
05-20 21:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x77af84…
05-20 21:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	78	16¢	$12	0x92d83f…
05-20 21:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x2bbae6…
05-20 21:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0x72a80e…
05-20 21:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xb6eb65…
05-20 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xe57ad5…
05-20 21:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xf59341…
05-20 21:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xdb59de…
05-20 21:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0xb0912c…
05-20 21:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x9ab23f…
05-20 21:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x224284…
05-20 21:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	21	74¢	$15	0x055bdc…
05-20 21:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x3aeff5…
05-20 21:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	31	53¢	$17	0xb6a614…
05-20 21:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x8d9d6d…
05-20 21:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xfcb9d8…
05-20 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x4d2ce8…
05-20 21:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5b17ff…
05-20 21:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	47	39¢	$18	0x47580a…
05-20 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	39¢	$2	0x5343af…
05-20 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0x447320…
05-20 21:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xb1defe…
05-20 21:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0xde38cf…
05-20 21:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xc46245…
05-20 21:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	417	11¢	$45	0x45ba6a…
05-20 21:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0x8abe22…
05-20 21:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x6b91fa…
05-20 21:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8c5ef2…
05-20 21:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0x42756a…
05-20 21:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x91ff41…
05-20 21:00:49	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	540	58¢	$311	0x193f68…
05-20 14:00:53	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x076d7a…
05-20 13:59:39	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	520	39¢	$203	0x3b48ac…
05-18 12:47:03	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	928	86¢	$798	0xa1312b…
05-18 12:46:32	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	755	97¢	$732	0xac570d…
05-18 12:43:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0xfc8aa8…
05-18 12:43:21	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0x417873…
05-18 10:48:38	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	800	96¢	$769	0x231869…
05-17 23:14:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	1,940	4¢	$83	0x7af2aa…
05-17 23:10:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	801	25¢	$200	0x9d3d1a…
05-17 15:47:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	546	8¢	$42	0xba4e8c…
05-16 20:23:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	750	27¢	$202	0x3798b6…
05-15 18:46:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	450	34¢	$153	0x70264e…
05-15 14:11:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?	No	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x071148…
05-15 13:56:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,500	14¢	$356	0x73e284…
05-15 13:44:14	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,300	25¢	$325	0x05cef2…
05-15 13:44:07	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,200	25¢	$300	0xc7304f…
05-15 09:32:57	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	3,227	100¢	$3,223	0x857b48…
05-13 23:51:13	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,805	46¢	$837	0x3dce05…
05-13 23:44:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	BUY	1,422	46¢	$654	0xf4de8e…
05-08 02:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x0548d0…
05-08 02:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	35¢	$16	0x64899c…
05-08 01:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0xafd2a5…
05-08 01:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	398	20¢	$80	0xe2b540…
05-08 01:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	263	8¢	$20	0xeed2b4…
05-08 01:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	70	29¢	$20	0x4484bc…
05-08 01:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x8610e2…
05-08 01:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x420700…
05-08 01:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xdea883…
05-08 01:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x11ea69…
05-08 00:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x5f763e…
05-08 00:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x47f595…
05-08 00:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xc2f7c4…
05-07 11:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x76501d…
05-07 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd23237…
05-07 11:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	62	65¢	$41	0x94a5c0…
05-07 11:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	48¢	$30	0x9b8ed2…
05-07 11:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xa0286a…
05-07 11:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x7138d7…
05-07 11:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa3c26f…
05-07 11:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xee8dfc…
05-07 11:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2b006d…
05-07 11:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfc3411…
05-07 10:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x6b2f52…
05-07 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc8b0a9…
05-07 10:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf89164…
05-07 10:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x4de4a5…
05-07 10:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xe719f0…
05-07 10:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1be5d1…
05-07 09:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf9de9c…
05-07 09:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe5f4be…
05-07 09:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$15	0x5204e1…
05-07 09:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbc790f…
05-07 09:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1433a7…
05-07 09:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa0863a…
05-07 09:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x501933…
05-07 09:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x8b684c…
04-13 03:42:33	btc updown 5m 1776051600	Down	BUY	174	26¢	$46	0xead270…
04-13 03:40:59	btc updown 5m 1776051600	Down	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x6f13e8…
04-13 03:38:23	btc updown 5m 1776051300	Up	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x65a7f9…
04-13 03:37:35	btc updown 5m 1776051300	Down	SELL	67	70¢	$47	0xde1bd3…
04-13 03:36:21	btc updown 5m 1776051300	Up	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x362c5a…
04-13 03:36:09	btc updown 5m 1776051300	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x84f253…
04-13 03:35:33	btc updown 5m 1776051000	Down	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0xc26eb0…
04-13 03:32:27	btc updown 5m 1776051000	Down	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0xebf06d…
04-13 03:31:41	btc updown 5m 1776051000	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x8f0954…
04-13 03:30:21	btc updown 5m 1776050700	Up	SELL	128	100¢	$128	0x3b2f6e…