Fearful-Massage 0xafe203…aab686
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$357
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
346
lifetime
Volume
$20.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$2.66K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-21 14:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74% — —
Other
22% — —
Tech
3% — —
Sports
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,241 $767 66¢ $825 +$58 07-08 23:48
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +1,381 $751 32¢ $435 $-317 07-08 23:48
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +486 $320 40¢ $192 $-128 06-29 03:55
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +236 $134 64¢ $150 +$15 06-19 01:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +159 $110 77¢ $122 +$13 06-18 12:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +143 $102 76¢ $109 +$8 06-21 12:30
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +87 $67 88¢ $76 +$9 07-09 02:15
Spain snap election called in 2026? No +89 $67 80¢ $72 +$5 07-16 16:56
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +91 $64 75¢ $68 +$5 07-20 13:45
Will the US federal government take a stake in OpenAI? No +92 $69 73¢ $67 $-2 07-09 19:15
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +86 $65 73¢ $63 $-2 07-09 12:45
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +76 $56 76¢ $58 +$2 07-14 07:45
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +85 $60 66¢ $56 $-5 07-15 02:45
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +85 $60 64¢ $54 $-6 07-15 20:15
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +56 $41 76¢ $43 +$2 07-07 19:45
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? No +55 $39 74¢ $41 +$2 07-08 19:15
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No +54 $38 55¢ $30 $-8 07-07 16:15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +33 $19 78¢ $26 +$7 06-20 08:45
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? No +37 $29 59¢ $22 $-7 07-13 12:52
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +26 $20 78¢ $20 $-0 07-17 12:15
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +26 $20 76¢ $19 $-1 07-10 17:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +25 $20 72¢ $18 $-1 07-12 01:15
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -19 $-18 92¢ $-18 +$0 07-15 16:08
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +25 $20 69¢ $17 $-2 07-13 11:15
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +24 $19 64¢ $15 $-4 07-14 04:45
Will the US federal government take a stake in Eli Lilly and Company? No +17 $13 87¢ $14 +$1 07-08 16:01
Will the US federal government take a stake in NVIDIA Corporation? No +12 $9 88¢ $10 +$2 07-21 14:39
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +14 $8 62¢ $9 +$0 07-16 00:15
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +8 $5 68¢ $5 +$1 07-10 18:15
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +8 $5 60¢ $5 $-0 07-08 23:45