Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$62
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
277
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$1.57K
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 07-01 01:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
81%
Other
15%
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Crypto
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +618 $370 60¢ $374 +$4 06-29 18:39
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +486 $320 72¢ $347 +$27 06-29 03:55
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +499 $288 57¢ $287 $-1 06-26 19:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +147 $100 100¢ $146 +$47 05-30 18:56
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +236 $134 60¢ $143 +$8 06-19 01:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +159 $110 76¢ $120 +$10 06-18 12:15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +143 $102 76¢ $108 +$6 06-21 12:30
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +33 $19 70¢ $23 +$5 06-20 08:45
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? No +18 $15 79¢ $14 $-1 06-18 12:15
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $4 86¢ $5 +$0 06-18 19:15
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +274 $168 $0 $-168 06-20 00:00