Unfortunate-Tangerine 0x300d4b…07ab3d Create alert
bot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$533
Unrealized P&L
-$295
Hit rate
81.6%
Resolved
113
Trades
596
lifetime
Volume
$10.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.76K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 11-07 21:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
49% 64% +$305
Politics
34% 82% +$227
Crypto
13% 51% -$26
Sports
3% 100% +$27
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -200 -$131 96¢ $-193 -$62 06-15 06:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -200 -$180 92¢ $-183 -$3 11-07 21:54
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No -200 -$176 86¢ $-173 +$3 11-05 07:19
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No -200 -$165 85¢ $-170 -$5 11-01 19:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? No -200 -$146 79¢ $-158 -$12 10-31 17:55
Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027? Yes -200 -$64 67¢ $-134 -$70 10-30 22:21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No -200 -$116 55¢ $-110 +$6 10-31 21:58
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -100 -$82 99¢ $-99 -$17 05-23 07:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -100 -$98 98¢ $-98 $0 11-06 04:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No -100 -$96 97¢ $-97 -$1 11-04 21:36
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes -100 -$72 96¢ $-96 -$25 05-18 02:28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No -100 -$84 93¢ $-93 -$9 05-10 07:06
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes -100 -$91 92¢ $-92 $0 11-06 13:50
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -100 -$59 88¢ $-88 -$30 06-07 02:44
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -100 -$61 88¢ $-88 -$26 05-17 03:32
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No -100 -$65 83¢ $-83 -$18 10-31 15:53
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes -100 -$62 82¢ $-82 -$20 11-01 23:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No -100 -$80 80¢ $-80 $0 11-06 19:55
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? No -100 -$76 77¢ $-77 -$1 11-06 22:59
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? No -100 -$74 74¢ $-74 +$0 11-06 19:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -100 -$35 66¢ $-66 -$32 05-27 14:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No -100 -$66 64¢ $-64 +$2 11-06 23:06
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -100 -$54 64¢ $-64 -$10 11-05 21:22
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? No -100 -$66 62¢ $-62 +$4 11-01 23:29
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$41 45¢ $-45 -$4 11-04 22:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 No -50 -$36 90¢ $-45 -$9 06-22 11:54
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? Yes -100 -$36 38¢ $-38 -$2 11-01 23:20
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -100 -$49 36¢ $-36 +$14 11-05 17:52
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes -100 -$35 36¢ $-36 $0 11-06 22:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -100 -$67 34¢ $-33 +$34 05-23 09:51