Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

+$175

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

1,381

Trades

5,728

lifetime

Volume

$49.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$773

30 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 157 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 87% +$476

Other

27% 75% +$426

Politics

7% 62% +$74

Sports

3% 32% +$60

Pop-Culture

1% 88% +$43

Tech

1% 57% -$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	+156	$58	96¢	$150	+$92	08-27 09:26
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+117	$31	85¢	$99	+$69	08-28 18:46
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	Yes	+38	$11	76¢	$29	+$18	08-07 12:42
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No	+38	$26	72¢	$27	+$2	08-30 02:42
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	No	+38	$25	69¢	$26	+$1	08-31 06:09
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	Yes	+39	$16	66¢	$26	+$9	07-20 22:25
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+36	$24	66¢	$24	$0	10-19 19:08
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?	No	+26	$17	91¢	$24	+$6	07-24 00:01
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?	Yes	+32	$17	74¢	$24	+$7	09-14 10:15
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	+25	$19	88¢	$22	+$3	08-27 12:00
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	No	+21	$19	99¢	$21	+$2	07-29 06:42
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	No	+25	$20	82¢	$21	+$1	10-25 13:55
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+24	$14	84¢	$20	+$6	08-12 20:10
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?	No	+58	$30	34¢	$20	-$10	07-26 05:03
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	+22	$10	89¢	$20	+$10	07-20 01:48
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	+21	$11	86¢	$18	+$8	08-05 06:33
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	+117	$66	15¢	$18	-$48	09-14 01:33
Celonis IPO before 2027?	No	+19	$17	92¢	$18	+$1	08-28 06:28
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	+24	$9	72¢	$17	+$8	10-07 12:56
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	No	+27	$14	62¢	$17	+$3	09-14 01:13
Discord IPO before 2027?	No	+17	$11	94¢	$16	+$5	07-23 10:25
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	+18	$14	88¢	$16	+$2	08-09 12:34
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+25	$7	58¢	$15	+$8	09-08 18:29
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?	No	+21	$10	64¢	$13	+$4	07-25 01:05
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+80	$28	16¢	$13	-$15	07-24 02:40
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+23	$11	56¢	$13	+$2	09-28 16:21
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?	No	+51	$33	24¢	$12	-$21	08-29 20:41
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	+36	$10	34¢	$12	+$2	10-27 18:04
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	+14	$10	85¢	$12	+$2	08-12 20:01
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	No	+15	$10	79¢	$12	+$2	07-15 18:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 19:05 UTC	2	$2.5K	1,304	1,265	+40	Down	+$40	02-12 19:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:55 UTC	5	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	Up	+$47	02-12 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 18:30 UTC	17	$1.7K	1,000	997	+3	Down	+$152	02-12 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:50 UTC	9	$1.5K	1,100	1,100	+0	Down	+$293	02-12 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 18:55 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,252	0	+1,252	Down	+$52	02-12 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:05 UTC	11	$1.1K	600	599	+1	Down	+$18	02-12 16:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:40 UTC	8	$1.1K	723	713	+10	Down	+$162	02-12 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:00 UTC	9	$860	1,100	1,100	+0	Up	+$240	02-12 16:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 15:00 UTC	1	$836	929	0	+929	Up	+$93	02-27 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 23:00 UTC	102	$818	1,802	10	+1,792	Down	+$5	01-01 23:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 15:50 UTC	17	$761	431	427	+3	Down	+$89	02-12 15:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:35 UTC	2	$725	494	488	+7	Up	+$103	02-12 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:30 UTC	5	$655	501	494	+7	Up	+$70	02-12 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:15 UTC	2	$605	1,140	0	+1,140	Down	-$605	02-12 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	5	$468	371	371	+0	Down	+$111	02-12 16:47
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 538	18	$349	236	216	+20	Yes	+$11	03-18 11:18
will starmer say rules based during the next prime ministers questions 526	12	$288	179	179	+0	No	+$13	03-03 06:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 15:55 UTC	5	$288	800	0	+800	Down	-$288	02-12 15:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 18:15 UTC	17	$285	187	157	+30	Down	+$10	01-02 18:29
will starmer say thank you 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	19	$277	210	128	+82	No	+$25	04-15 09:07
will leavitt say president 60 times during the next press briefing 361	13	$273	222	180	+42	No	-$22	02-10 19:07
will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	7	$270	220	220	+0	No	+$24	02-08 22:25
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$267	300	0	+300	No	+$33	05-15 20:33
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 695	23	$263	166	166	+0	Yes	+$9	04-20 18:12
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	14	$248	132	132	+0	Yes	+$3	02-02 14:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 14:30 UTC	2	$240	367	0	+367	Down	+$127	02-04 14:44
will starmer say rules based during the next prime ministers questions	10	$227	167	117	+50	No	+$16	02-21 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-12 15:25 UTC	10	$224	170	146	+24	Up	+$24	02-12 15:29
will starmer say epstein during the next prime ministers questions event 195	13	$209	116	116	+0	No	+$3	04-15 08:01
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	24	$204	126	126	+0	Yes	+$7	04-15 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:00:14	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x663a1d…
10-27 22:00:12	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7cc80b…
10-27 18:48:38	Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x4df12d…
10-27 18:39:18	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x067069…
10-27 18:19:09	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0x5e75b3…
10-27 18:13:29	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0x3bb617…
10-27 18:13:11	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x9842dc…
10-27 18:04:56	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xade382…
10-27 16:09:41	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xd69c73…
10-27 11:01:05	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0x4137ff…
10-27 11:00:29	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	128	22¢	$28	0x8b6f7f…
10-27 10:02:38	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x34b288…
10-27 09:55:41	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x2a4ae3…
10-27 06:27:47	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x25ae94…
10-26 22:02:57	Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xe35beb…
10-26 16:34:57	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x628601…
10-26 11:06:29	Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x27c422…
10-26 10:57:11	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x337d49…
10-26 10:15:05	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	94	23¢	$22	0xbc1f73…
10-26 10:11:33	Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x322a5d…
10-26 07:24:47	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	1	63¢	$0	0xbb9638…
10-26 06:10:11	Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x5dac71…
10-26 04:49:17	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x6ed298…
10-26 03:06:17	Will Lana Del Rey release an album in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x652713…
10-26 01:53:27	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x0cb0d4…
10-26 00:47:26	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xf3fc38…
10-26 00:10:15	Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0xd9f4f2…
10-25 21:24:06	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xd7b063…
10-25 17:59:56	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x139eb8…
10-25 17:59:56	Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x136de6…
10-25 16:12:53	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x7e8a8f…
10-25 15:19:05	Will Trump deport 400-500k people?	Yes	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xb1d810…
10-25 13:55:24	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xb091ee…
10-24 17:48:00	Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	Yes	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x4a9a6f…
10-23 18:56:18	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	52	18¢	$9	0x50dae9…
10-23 18:39:26	Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xc937ed…
10-23 18:36:54	Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x59c400…
10-23 18:35:24	Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf88964…
10-23 18:35:05	Will "Shit" be said 5+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb48b87…
10-22 23:20:06	Will Andy Burnham say "Wales" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf71e32…
10-22 21:42:03	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x9ffbbe…
10-22 20:20:45	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x080cde…
10-22 20:20:24	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	6	56¢	$4	0xa63923…
10-22 16:30:44	Will "Chimp" or "Monkey" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x590dbb…
10-22 16:30:32	Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 26?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x4e1b5d…
10-22 13:55:36	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0x2e345c…
10-22 12:26:50	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbb2ebc…
10-22 08:53:51	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	38	44¢	$16	0x1d9bfe…
10-22 06:20:22	will shit 5 be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of october 26	Yes	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0xb4fbf9…
10-22 01:11:59	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xe8fded…
10-21 15:04:35	Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x9a54d3…
10-21 14:07:48	Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x8e98b3…
10-21 07:43:35	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	SELL	82	73¢	$60	0x1f8db0…
10-20 21:27:11	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xac2b0a…
10-20 21:25:33	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5ef545…
10-20 21:23:57	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x220d6d…
10-20 21:22:23	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdce83b…
10-20 21:20:47	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x568cdb…
10-20 21:19:15	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x35f543…
10-20 21:17:39	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x44cec6…
10-20 21:16:05	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe1a011…
10-20 21:14:30	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9e8b31…
10-20 21:12:57	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x04a974…
10-20 21:11:21	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe6bfb1…
10-20 21:09:47	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x532fe7…
10-20 21:08:12	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x07a7fb…
10-20 21:06:38	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa30d8e…
10-20 21:05:03	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c4455…
10-20 21:03:27	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xeb67d3…
10-20 20:13:02	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x6dfd5d…
10-20 18:54:15	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd398ab…
10-20 17:08:36	Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x0b05e3…
10-20 17:03:18	Will "Elon" or "Musk" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe094e1…
10-20 11:00:36	Will Andy Burnham say "NHS" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	118	27¢	$32	0xbd4266…
10-19 19:08:00	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3d01da…
10-19 14:49:20	Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x202816…
10-19 09:49:24	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x4d5a01…
10-19 08:01:09	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x4d22e6…
10-18 22:14:29	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb64b8b…
10-18 05:40:20	Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xa87364…
10-18 01:27:14	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8a3d21…
10-17 13:42:39	Will "Hundred" or "Thousand" or "Million" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of October 19?	Yes	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x6b9286…
10-17 09:08:47	will elon be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of october 19	No	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x4a9ef9…
10-16 23:59:17	will andy burnham say trump during the next pmq 20261021	No	BUY	76	41¢	$31	0xa9e2df…
10-15 11:18:28	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xfb49d0…
10-15 00:02:45	Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x778d93…
10-14 15:38:13	Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd867f3…
10-10 06:51:00	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	18¢	$2	0xfe9681…
10-09 22:41:20	Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x5a3730…
10-08 12:36:47	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x327180…
10-07 15:44:16	Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4bc712…
10-07 12:56:52	Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x638a49…
10-06 00:45:07	Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9b3c94…
10-05 16:30:11	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x725229…
10-05 14:21:34	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbd14e1…
10-04 15:57:55	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xff734d…
10-04 15:57:55	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x50ddfd…
10-03 20:44:55	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x306b47…
10-03 20:43:29	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x85867f…
09-28 16:21:59	Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xfdb20f…