Realized P&L
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
5,128
lifetime
Volume
$45.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$353
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 02:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
66%
Other
24%
Politics
5%
Sports
3% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +59 $39 58¢ $34 $-5 07-19 17:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes -80 $-26 38¢ $-30 $-4 06-23 08:07
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +59 $15 42¢ $25 +$10 07-18 18:45
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +30 $10 50¢ $15 +$5 07-15 18:05
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +16 $6 92¢ $15 +$9 06-24 17:36
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +20 $14 68¢ $14 $-1 07-04 12:59
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +16 $9 85¢ $14 +$4 07-04 10:50
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? No +41 $10 32¢ $13 +$4 07-08 10:23
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +20 $10 62¢ $12 +$3 07-15 18:06
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? No +14 $8 84¢ $12 +$4 06-21 10:06
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? No +30 $9 38¢ $12 +$2 06-29 14:15
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No +13 $9 84¢ $11 +$2 06-29 22:32
Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$1 07-21 02:45
Discord IPO before 2027? No +15 $10 68¢ $10 +$0 07-18 19:40
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +13 $10 77¢ $10 +$0 07-20 19:47
Another US debt downgrade before 2027? No +12 $9 82¢ $10 +$0 07-19 11:24
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 +$0 07-21 19:53
Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $10 62¢ $9 $-0 06-25 20:57
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No +17 $10 54¢ $9 $-1 07-18 05:07
Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $9 70¢ $9 $-0 07-19 04:17
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +15 $8 56¢ $9 +$1 07-09 01:58
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? No +13 $5 66¢ $9 +$4 07-06 22:09
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 77¢ $8 +$1 07-18 09:59
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $9 38¢ $8 $-2 07-17 09:43
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +12 $6 61¢ $7 +$1 07-20 03:21
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +10 $5 67¢ $7 +$2 06-25 21:40
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +9 $5 69¢ $6 +$1 06-22 17:47
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 07-07 14:29
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? No +6 $6 90¢ $6 +$0 07-19 13:33
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$1 07-14 10:29