Hateful-Mastoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$5.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-09 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

75% 67% +$10

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$157	85	85	+0	open	—	04-08 06:05
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$139	75	75	+0	open	—	05-18 12:50
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	3	$136	171	51	+120	open	—	08-09 13:46
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$134	93	93	+0	open	—	03-30 06:09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$126	105	105	+0	Yes	$-2	02-27 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$120	71	71	+0	open	—	03-06 17:45
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$108	132	0	+132	open	—	03-05 05:39
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	3	$95	131	72	+58	open	—	07-17 14:58
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	2	$71	72	72	+0	open	—	07-05 22:31
will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	2	$56	33	33	+0	open	—	08-05 18:19
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	2	$56	35	35	+0	open	—	04-08 06:04
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	2	$55	31	31	+0	open	—	02-27 05:38
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$54	54	54	+0	Yes	$-16	04-08 06:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	04-08 06:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-13 08:01
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$50	81	0	+81	open	—	07-19 20:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	03-05 05:18
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-05 05:30
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$50	75	0	+75	open	—	03-06 08:29
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	1	$50	66	0	+66	open	—	07-13 19:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$50	65	0	+65	Yes	+$15	05-08 22:07
will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	2	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	06-25 11:29
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	06-30 07:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	05-08 22:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-05 05:24
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	01-11 02:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	2	$48	41	41	+0	open	—	04-02 11:45
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 05:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$46	46	46	+0	open	—	04-08 06:04
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	2	$45	37	37	+0	open	—	08-08 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 13:46:36	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	120	59¢	$70	0x45e0ca…
08-09 13:33:34	bl2 fce h96 2026 08 09 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x20758f…
08-08 14:40:04	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0xaf0c87…
08-08 14:39:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	54¢	$20	0x28edca…
08-08 14:39:33	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x243708…
08-08 14:39:27	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0xfa8ea9…
08-08 14:39:21	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0x5291bb…
08-08 14:11:21	swe org aik 2026 08 08 spread home 1pt5	AIK	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x46b58b…
08-08 13:47:54	kor any dae1 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	FC Anyang	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2362bb…
08-08 13:22:22	chi ygb tie 2026 08 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xbbc1c8…
08-08 11:23:58	kor any dae1 2026 08 08 spread away 1pt5	FC Anyang	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x58be7e…
08-08 06:18:34	ja2 con tok 2026 08 08 spread home 1pt5	Tokushima Vortis	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xa8ab6a…
08-06 17:18:26	uel jag ran1 2026 08 06 spread home 1pt5	Rangers FC	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x7dbd3f…
08-05 18:41:32	ucl agf sf 2026 08 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xee56f5…
08-05 18:26:11	ucl agf sf 2026 08 05 spread home 1pt5	Sabah FK	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x9c2614…
08-05 18:19:35	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0x4c014a…
08-03 12:28:06	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	51	61¢	$31	0x768cd7…
08-02 12:28:18	will xauusd reach 4300 in august 2026	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xaf8dff…
08-02 12:22:35	will xauusd dip to 4000 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xebcdff…
08-02 12:20:03	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x00bf38…
08-02 12:19:53	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x2f1e8c…
08-01 15:42:05	fin1 lah jar 2026 08 01 spread home 1pt5	FF Jaro	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x61f8fb…
08-01 15:31:45	scop fal stm 2026 08 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x491f32…
08-01 15:02:44	isl1 ves frr 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x1bb7de…
08-01 11:48:17	chi bgu zhe 2026 08 01 spread home 1pt5	Zhejiang Zhiye FC	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x560c5c…
08-01 10:53:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	SELL	42	21¢	$9	0xced322…
08-01 10:08:18	clf cfc tot 2026 08 01 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x2da406…
07-31 17:32:14	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x0858f5…
07-31 13:08:38	chi hen ygb 2026 07 31 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x053399…
07-31 11:47:14	chi hen ygb 2026 07 31 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xf3ae47…
07-31 00:41:20	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x05202a…
07-31 00:40:42	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	38	67¢	$25	0x93fe1e…
07-31 00:02:08	bra cor1 cap 2026 07 30 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xedb207…
07-30 23:31:42	arg riv1 cah 2026 07 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7af3d4…
07-30 22:41:03	arg riv1 cah 2026 07 30 spread home 1pt5	CA Huracán	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x622d7c…
07-30 22:06:44	arg riv1 cah 2026 07 30 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x9e49fb…
07-29 17:05:05	ucl kai omo 2026 07 29 team to advance	Qairat FK	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x55e042…
07-28 18:38:08	ucl din thu 2026 07 28 spread away 1pt5	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xde3e15…
07-28 16:39:38	ucl kps sf 2026 07 29 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7cb402…
07-28 06:35:13	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 27 august 2 2026	Yes	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x6317c0…
07-23 12:54:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x2c04ce…
07-22 10:24:15	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0x987826…
07-21 17:56:01	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x15ca68…
07-20 18:53:06	will xauusd dip to 3900 in july 2026	No	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x5a7da5…
07-20 18:51:43	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x664ab3…
07-19 20:48:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x451bee…
07-18 22:53:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x49f411…
07-18 22:45:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	18	65¢	$12	0x7c8f00…
07-18 22:14:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x9a6913…
07-18 22:14:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 2pt5	France	BUY	21	57¢	$12	0x8d701f…
07-17 14:58:34	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x3acf75…
07-17 14:58:12	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026 from july 16	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x631db4…
07-17 14:50:04	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x2389aa…
07-17 14:49:46	will bitcoin reach 66k july 13 19 2026	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$5	0xe421c2…
07-15 22:36:52	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	SELL	72	28¢	$20	0x9155b8…
07-14 20:45:31	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc01900…
07-14 20:21:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xf93846…
07-13 19:07:56	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x6e676e…
07-13 19:07:17	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in july 20260706151220612 754	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x98fe59…
07-09 21:31:41	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x87cd3f…
07-07 17:28:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	43	74¢	$32	0x63a752…
07-05 22:31:35	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	72	29¢	$21	0xa07cb5…
07-02 20:40:53	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x850efb…
07-02 19:05:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x2fa1a6…
07-02 19:04:26	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x1e0114…
07-01 22:02:56	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7fc36c…
07-01 22:01:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa18c4e…
07-01 21:14:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x0e3e3a…
06-30 07:32:19	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x340031…
06-29 23:59:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x01ecec…
06-29 22:32:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x4d6257…
06-25 23:05:05	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xa6e3dc…
06-25 21:40:26	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xe8e038…
06-25 11:29:05	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x11da0c…
06-25 11:28:02	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x3462f4…
06-25 02:31:25	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x983f3e…
06-25 01:09:37	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x805149…
06-24 22:15:59	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xa9aef9…
06-24 20:36:16	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xed0ea1…
06-24 02:09:19	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x1422f4…
06-23 23:35:38	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x5e80de…
06-23 17:07:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xc4f71a…
06-23 01:39:55	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa3d2a2…
06-23 01:21:13	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x7ca70b…
06-23 01:10:40	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x55b2f3…
06-23 00:10:50	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xf2cdf4…
06-22 21:09:28	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x94cd2b…
06-22 17:13:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x8f32e5…
06-21 20:21:41	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x137d09…
06-21 16:04:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x284998…
06-21 13:31:41	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	New Zealand	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x3988d0…
06-21 13:31:25	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x88a02d…
06-20 20:13:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x032b34…
06-20 18:39:29	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x566d81…
06-20 18:31:05	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 3pt5	Sweden	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x3ee10a…
06-20 17:51:14	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Sweden	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x740f7a…
06-20 17:18:34	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x5eae90…
06-19 20:40:04	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xaae48e…
06-19 19:55:11	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x764bef…
06-18 20:36:29	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe27940…