Hateful-Mastoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.5%

Resolved

Trades

231

lifetime

Volume

$4.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-02 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

78% 67% +$10

Politics

12% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-2

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$157	85	85	+0	open	—	04-08 06:05
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$139	75	75	+0	open	—	05-18 12:50
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$134	93	93	+0	open	—	03-30 06:09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$126	105	105	+0	Yes	$-2	02-27 05:39
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$120	71	71	+0	open	—	03-06 17:45
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$108	132	0	+132	open	—	03-05 05:39
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	2	$56	35	35	+0	open	—	04-08 06:04
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	2	$55	31	31	+0	open	—	02-27 05:38
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$54	54	54	+0	Yes	$-16	04-08 06:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$53	40	40	+0	open	—	04-08 06:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	05-13 08:01
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	07-01 21:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$50	65	0	+65	Yes	+$15	05-08 22:07
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-05 05:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	03-05 05:18
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	1	$50	75	0	+75	open	—	03-06 08:29
will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	2	$50	68	0	+68	open	—	06-25 11:29
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	2	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	06-30 07:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$50	61	0	+61	open	—	05-08 22:03
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	03-05 05:24
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$49	29	29	+0	open	—	01-11 02:19
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	2	$48	41	41	+0	open	—	04-02 11:45
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$48	36	36	+0	open	—	02-27 05:38
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$46	46	46	+0	open	—	04-08 06:04
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$45	29	29	+0	open	—	01-07 18:40
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	2	$44	46	45	+1	open	—	04-02 11:44
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$40	69	0	+69	open	—	07-01 22:02
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$37	66	36	+30	open	—	03-05 05:23
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$36	46	46	+0	open	—	03-30 06:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$36	31	31	+0	open	—	01-10 23:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 20:40:53	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x850efb…
07-02 19:05:34	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x2fa1a6…
07-02 19:04:26	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Austria	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x1e0114…
07-01 22:02:56	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x7fc36c…
07-01 22:01:31	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xa18c4e…
07-01 21:14:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x0e3e3a…
06-30 07:32:19	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x340031…
06-29 23:59:28	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 29 july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x01ecec…
06-29 22:32:25	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x4d6257…
06-25 23:05:05	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xa6e3dc…
06-25 21:40:26	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0xe8e038…
06-25 11:29:05	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x11da0c…
06-25 11:28:02	will canada reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120739	Yes	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x3462f4…
06-25 02:31:25	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x983f3e…
06-25 01:09:37	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x805149…
06-24 22:15:59	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xa9aef9…
06-24 20:36:16	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xed0ea1…
06-24 02:09:19	fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x1422f4…
06-23 23:35:38	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x5e80de…
06-23 17:07:53	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xc4f71a…
06-23 01:39:55	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa3d2a2…
06-23 01:21:13	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	53	36¢	$19	0x7ca70b…
06-23 01:10:40	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x55b2f3…
06-23 00:10:50	fifwc nor sen 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xf2cdf4…
06-22 21:09:28	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x94cd2b…
06-22 17:13:19	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x8f32e5…
06-21 20:21:41	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x137d09…
06-21 16:04:59	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x284998…
06-21 13:31:41	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	New Zealand	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x3988d0…
06-21 13:31:25	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	IR Iran	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x88a02d…
06-20 20:13:04	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x032b34…
06-20 18:39:29	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x566d81…
06-20 18:31:05	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 3pt5	Sweden	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x3ee10a…
06-20 17:51:14	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	Sweden	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x740f7a…
06-20 17:18:34	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x5eae90…
06-19 20:40:04	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xaae48e…
06-19 19:55:11	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x764bef…
06-18 20:36:29	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xe27940…
06-18 11:49:08	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Sweden	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x660095…
06-17 21:30:50	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x021bf4…
06-17 21:26:20	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Australia	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x57455c…
06-17 21:26:10	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x8d9e56…
06-17 20:04:02	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x61b634…
06-16 13:33:19	fifwc aut jor 2026 06 17 spread home 2pt5	Jordan	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x41f12b…
06-16 13:28:04	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Algeria	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0xcaf61b…
06-16 13:25:56	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xbe9942…
06-16 13:20:46	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	Senegal	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x792875…
06-15 17:21:51	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread away 1pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xc9f676…
06-15 06:16:46	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xc156da…
06-14 21:25:52	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x9209f8…
06-14 17:37:42	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xfb131c…
06-14 01:59:28	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0x35194f…
06-13 11:56:42	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Australia	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0xddcb87…
06-13 11:48:06	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x24da99…
06-13 02:20:18	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xfcda50…
05-18 12:50:02	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	75	96¢	$72	0xc2c164…
05-16 14:43:38	Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0xf63b39…
05-16 14:01:18	Spread: Borussia Mönchengladbach (-1.5)	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xf45c12…
05-13 08:05:13	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0867b4…
05-13 08:01:38	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xfce4b6…
05-08 22:20:36	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0x4afe1f…
05-08 22:07:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xee40ed…
05-08 22:03:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x08fd17…
05-03 21:15:08	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Raptors	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x599e61…
05-03 15:37:12	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfca0e6…
05-02 13:46:12	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Club Atlético de Madrid	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x58ecd0…
04-15 20:40:52	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x0b300b…
04-08 18:28:01	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x9ebf50…
04-08 18:27:53	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x8530a9…
04-08 06:05:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	85	98¢	$83	0x67b1f9…
04-08 06:05:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	28	10¢	$3	0x9b865f…
04-08 06:04:53	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	SELL	65	11¢	$7	0x5f7555…
04-08 06:04:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	45¢	$18	0x18f3e0…
04-08 06:04:39	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	46	27¢	$12	0x152694…
04-08 06:04:29	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	54	35¢	$19	0xfdd85d…
04-08 06:04:07	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	35	70¢	$25	0x7fddf4…
04-02 14:35:35	Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?	Yes	BUY	65	37¢	$24	0x23005b…
04-02 14:28:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x18336e…
04-02 13:42:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0x3f89ef…
04-02 12:10:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xb67b29…
04-02 11:45:05	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0x0ad12a…
04-02 11:44:57	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0xab3a2b…
04-01 15:47:49	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	41	75¢	$31	0x8204a2…
04-01 08:41:41	will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	46	76¢	$35	0x491fb4…
04-01 08:33:17	will trump say oil or gas 3 times during address to the nation	Yes	BUY	47	74¢	$35	0xe6613b…
04-01 08:16:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x9c30c7…
03-30 07:00:00	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x00d890…
03-30 06:10:04	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	46	14¢	$6	0x39e4cc…
03-30 06:09:56	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	93	69¢	$64	0xc90574…
03-27 05:45:59	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0xb1c6ed…
03-17 06:33:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	85	87¢	$74	0xe38165…
03-14 07:10:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0x515549…
03-06 17:46:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x653d70…
03-06 17:45:53	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	71	98¢	$70	0x0be7f4…
03-06 08:33:57	will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	Yes	BUY	64	48¢	$31	0xd2f751…
03-06 08:29:39	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x2781d2…
03-06 08:28:25	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xeeeec7…
03-05 05:39:07	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	68	82¢	$56	0x909288…
03-05 05:38:09	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	No	SELL	24	38¢	$9	0x8f744c…
03-05 05:38:09	lib juv dim 2026 03 05 dim	No	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0x48e7b2…