Realized P&L
-$993
Unrealized P&L
+$437
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,184
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$454
Open exposure
$22.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-20 19:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
84% 50% +$50
Politics
13% 0% $-1,042
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +6,788 $6,108 94¢ $6.4K +$256 06-30 03:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +4,913 $4,250 86¢ $4.2K $-0 07-20 19:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +3,253 $2,862 90¢ $2.9K +$50 07-01 00:00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $1,246 94¢ $1.3K +$77 06-05 14:20
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? No -1,020 $-999 99¢ $-1008 $-9 06-29 17:48
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $920 96¢ $962 +$42 06-05 14:20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +967 $749 78¢ $759 +$10 06-28 22:24
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +1,000 $679 70¢ $700 +$21 06-11 20:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +663 $603 96¢ $633 +$30 06-04 05:08
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +500 $449 97¢ $484 +$35 06-30 23:35
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No +453 $349 72¢ $326 $-22 07-01 21:02
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +300 $288 96¢ $289 +$1 07-01 21:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $279 96¢ $287 +$8 06-05 07:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-255 92¢ $-275 $-19 06-06 22:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-223 90¢ $-268 $-45 06-05 15:59
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +300 $246 86¢ $256 +$11 06-11 08:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +300 $273 78¢ $232 $-40 06-30 23:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? No +243 $223 94¢ $230 +$7 07-01 20:48
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +229 $183 90¢ $206 +$23 06-04 05:33
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December? No +203 $174 90¢ $184 +$9 06-30 23:35
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +200 $140 74¢ $148 +$8 07-01 21:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? No +129 $114 90¢ $117 +$3 06-05 07:18
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +269 $133 42¢ $112 $-22 06-11 20:47
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +250 $125 44¢ $111 $-14 06-04 05:04
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? No +142 $103 76¢ $107 +$4 06-11 08:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +93 $88 97¢ $91 +$3 06-05 07:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +69 $52 79¢ $55 +$2 07-01 00:02
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 06-04 05:29
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? Yes +33 $23 68¢ $22 $-1 06-11 20:44
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +6 $-5 70¢ $4 +$10 07-19 13:38