Experienced-Carpeting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$993

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

4,217

lifetime

Volume

$1.91M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$452

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-03 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

84% 50% +$50

Politics

13% 0% $-1,042

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1,270	$842.4K	607,143	380,496	+226,646	open	—	01-16 14:21
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	828	$283.2K	203,007	318,488	-115,481	open	—	01-16 14:21
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	139	$90.8K	107,544	35,159	+72,385	open	—	03-06 14:28
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	61	$77.5K	40,000	40,000	+0	open	—	02-17 01:03
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	20	$65.4K	15,474	63,804	-48,330	open	—	03-17 23:56
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	146	$43.1K	47,463	51,651	-4,188	open	—	02-19 19:33
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	31	$24.9K	24,591	357,448	-332,857	open	—	01-16 14:22
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	187	$23.3K	26,558	24,874	+1,684	open	—	02-19 23:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	33	$22.8K	11,704	11,704	+0	open	—	05-15 06:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	4	$20.9K	10,611	10,602	+9	open	—	04-17 13:12
si hit 150 high jan 2026	25	$20.7K	10,784	10,784	+0	open	—	01-27 01:14
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	22	$20.6K	10,490	10,490	+0	open	—	03-30 04:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	25	$20.3K	10,339	10,339	+0	open	—	04-17 13:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$18.8K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	03-12 19:08
will gold gc hit low 3000 by end of february 957 911 432 757 792 499 213 135	30	$17.2K	8,474	9,089	-614	open	—	02-07 13:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	333	$15.7K	40,857	26,089	+14,767	open	—	02-17 01:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	18	$10.8K	4,695	6,295	-1,600	open	—	04-10 02:48
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	10	$9.1K	4,635	4,635	+0	open	—	02-04 23:45
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	13	$8.7K	4,872	4,872	+0	open	—	07-17 12:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	5	$7.5K	3,827	3,827	+0	open	—	04-08 02:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	1	$7.0K	0	7,010	-7,010	open	—	06-23 10:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	8	$6.1K	2,167	4,088	-1,921	open	—	06-28 19:15
2026 us senate election republican odds over 75 by march 31	2	$6.1K	6,211	0	+6,211	open	—	03-13 19:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	13	$6.1K	6,788	0	+6,788	open	—	06-30 03:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$6.1K	0	6,177	-6,177	open	—	06-02 04:44
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	9	$6.1K	5,703	515	+5,188	open	—	03-24 19:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	5	$5.9K	3,086	3,080	+6	open	—	04-12 02:05
2026 us senate election democrats flip republicans by march 31	22	$5.5K	4,014	4,273	-260	open	—	03-13 23:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	11	$4.2K	4,913	0	+4,913	open	—	07-20 19:46
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	6	$4.2K	2,141	2,141	+0	open	—	04-21 06:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 18:03:20	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	BUY	105	40¢	$42	0x965082…
08-03 18:03:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	No	BUY	186	92¢	$172	0x15dd19…
08-03 18:02:57	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xc23a8d…
08-03 18:02:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	234	81¢	$188	0x3d12a4…
08-02 16:18:21	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	BUY	400	57¢	$228	0x3ee056…
08-02 16:17:26	will russia capture kupiansk by september 30 2026	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x409e57…
08-02 16:16:11	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0x12702c…
08-02 16:15:11	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	181	87¢	$157	0x27578c…
07-31 17:59:26	Natural Disaster in 2026?	No	BUY	103	83¢	$86	0xe46f09…
07-31 17:56:09	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	No	BUY	300	88¢	$264	0xd464a5…
07-31 17:55:42	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x9fb447…
07-31 17:55:42	will russia capture orikhiv by september 30 2026	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x9a24b9…
07-31 04:59:05	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by august 31 2026	No	BUY	128	98¢	$126	0x79e0ea…
07-31 04:58:50	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	141	96¢	$135	0x9ddae4…
07-31 04:58:42	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xa3208d…
07-31 04:58:35	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x624f73…
07-31 04:58:03	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x19b071…
07-31 04:57:51	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	160	99¢	$158	0xbae6a3…
07-31 04:57:29	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x448a05…
07-31 04:57:00	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	No	BUY	104	94¢	$98	0x125c8e…
07-31 04:54:39	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb90509…
07-31 04:54:26	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x94f70d…
07-31 04:54:17	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	SELL	842	100¢	$841	0xd04deb…
07-26 04:17:55	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xd97b4d…
07-26 03:24:30	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	149	89¢	$133	0x59900e…
07-26 02:30:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	58	89¢	$51	0x6ded8d…
07-25 23:13:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xb44a8a…
07-25 23:11:01	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	SELL	1,098	91¢	$999	0xe76a10…
07-24 20:45:12	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xa76f58…
07-24 20:44:37	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	798	84¢	$670	0x3e820b…
07-24 20:44:10	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	300	28¢	$84	0xe651b4…
07-24 20:43:33	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	No	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0xd1c81a…
07-24 20:42:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xbe8706…
07-20 19:46:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	250	87¢	$217	0xf165ce…
07-20 18:00:28	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	2,174	87¢	$1,892	0x4d780b…
07-20 16:42:49	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x2f6b13…
07-20 16:42:43	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0x05019c…
07-20 15:52:46	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc17045…
07-20 15:36:45	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	300	87¢	$261	0x710907…
07-20 14:41:58	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xd71228…
07-20 14:37:36	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x1a2e02…
07-20 12:40:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	244	54¢	$132	0xfe8bcb…
07-20 11:53:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0xc3ffca…
07-19 22:05:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x82742c…
07-19 19:42:51	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	1,000	83¢	$830	0x289fa4…
07-19 19:42:01	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	1,069	64¢	$684	0xbe124b…
07-19 17:12:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa41678…
07-19 15:48:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x05d9fe…
07-19 13:39:18	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	No	BUY	110	54¢	$59	0x74bf91…
07-19 13:39:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	No	BUY	831	64¢	$532	0x4582c8…
07-19 13:38:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169	No	BUY	135	84¢	$113	0xe0bcbc…
07-19 13:38:07	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	SELL	600	75¢	$452	0xba3a10…
07-17 22:06:43	will gas hit 4pt50 high by july 31 20260630204749448	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xacf298…
07-17 12:14:12	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0x84be78…
07-17 12:13:52	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	4,872	91¢	$4,434	0x196049…
07-06 08:39:35	will gas hit 3pt70 low by july 31 20260630204749452	Yes	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x41e82b…
07-06 08:38:29	will gas hit 4pt50 high by july 31 20260630204749448	No	BUY	239	97¢	$231	0xb1f90c…
07-06 08:38:22	will gas hit 5pt00 high by july 31 20260630204749447	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x4d3541…
07-02 07:30:07	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	600	87¢	$522	0xbe37f1…
07-02 07:24:53	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6a6682…
07-02 07:10:47	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x97b322…
07-02 06:57:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0xfbc312…
07-02 03:24:08	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x920c97…
07-02 02:30:17	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	278	87¢	$242	0x429f50…
07-02 00:15:25	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x7f2388…
07-02 00:11:44	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x20f631…
07-01 22:54:17	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x0ac992…
07-01 22:05:34	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x7d6a65…
07-01 21:05:58	will ukraine agree to cede territory to russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5fa6a1…
07-01 21:03:38	will russia enter havrylivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	87	94¢	$82	0x7b91e8…
07-01 21:02:11	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?	No	BUY	453	77¢	$349	0xa4330a…
07-01 21:00:40	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x4d5e5b…
07-01 21:00:31	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$288	0x69f182…
07-01 21:00:17	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x74f011…
07-01 20:59:50	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	2,272	87¢	$1,977	0x1840a0…
07-01 20:57:41	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by october 31 2026	No	BUY	50	87¢	$44	0x0dea4d…
07-01 20:57:31	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by august 31 2026	No	BUY	60	95¢	$58	0x536244…
07-01 20:57:20	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0x53aa12…
07-01 20:57:19	will elon musk tweet about hyperliquid by september 30 2026	No	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x91ffee…
07-01 20:56:49	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	40	85¢	$34	0x8fb75a…
07-01 20:56:26	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	66	63¢	$41	0x3f23a2…
07-01 20:56:19	trump meets with putin by september 30	No	BUY	94	91¢	$86	0xd40b71…
07-01 20:52:19	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0xdfdf51…
07-01 20:51:49	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x465eb9…
07-01 20:48:47	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x0c53ef…
07-01 20:48:05	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x342185…
07-01 10:14:43	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	93	94¢	$87	0xa30e9b…
07-01 10:09:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	250	96¢	$241	0xf91cbf…
07-01 10:09:43	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	BUY	204	75¢	$153	0x605366…
07-01 00:03:46	Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	BUY	402	73¢	$293	0xd7fbb1…
07-01 00:02:14	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	69	76¢	$52	0xd32324…
07-01 00:00:38	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?	No	BUY	249	89¢	$221	0x794c1b…
06-30 23:58:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	500	96¢	$482	0x9416f2…
06-30 23:57:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xf7f633…
06-30 23:54:32	mike johnson out as speaker by july 31 20260626161802586	No	BUY	236	97¢	$229	0x914a77…
06-30 23:52:40	will trump try to fire powell as fed board member by july 31 2026 20260626181928589	No	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0xccd633…
06-30 23:50:14	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0x88ab14…
06-30 23:36:56	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	526	97¢	$510	0x59267b…
06-30 23:36:49	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xbc6bea…
06-30 23:36:37	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	184	97¢	$178	0xbf7422…