Realized P&L
-$993
Unrealized P&L
+$283
Hit rate
46.1%
Resolved
4
Trades
4,127
lifetime
Volume
$1.88M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$456
Open exposure
$40.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-08
last 07-01 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
84% 50% +$50
Politics
13% 0% $-1,042
Crypto
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? No -7,010 $-6,982 100¢ $-7003 $-21 06-23 10:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +6,788 $6,108 92¢ $6.3K +$171 06-30 03:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? No -6,177 $-6,096 100¢ $-6171 $-74 06-02 04:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -3,000 $-2,991 100¢ $-2997 $-6 06-23 10:09
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? No +3,253 $2,862 88¢ $2.9K +$1 07-01 00:00
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -1,693 $-1,672 100¢ $-1689 $-17 05-28 14:17
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? No -1,411 $-1,409 100¢ $-1409 +$0 06-28 19:04
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,400 $1,246 94¢ $1.3K +$77 06-05 14:20
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? No -1,020 $-999 98¢ $-1000 $-2 06-29 17:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? No -1,000 $-1,033 100¢ $-999 +$34 06-28 19:03
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $920 96¢ $955 +$35 06-05 14:20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? No +967 $749 83¢ $802 +$53 06-28 22:24
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +913 $740 86¢ $785 +$45 06-28 19:04
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026? No +776 $764 100¢ $774 +$9 06-28 19:03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No +1,000 $679 68¢ $680 +$2 06-11 20:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +663 $603 92¢ $606 +$3 06-04 05:08
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? No -600 $-594 100¢ $-599 $-5 06-04 05:05
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -500 $-500 100¢ $-500 +$0 06-28 19:09
Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? No +500 $449 90¢ $448 $-2 06-30 23:35
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No -300 $-296 100¢ $-300 $-4 06-05 07:23
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -300 $-289 100¢ $-300 $-11 06-05 13:27
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +402 $293 74¢ $300 +$6 07-01 00:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No +300 $296 100¢ $299 +$4 06-04 05:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +300 $279 96¢ $287 +$8 06-05 07:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +300 $273 90¢ $272 $-2 06-30 23:57
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-255 88¢ $-263 $-7 06-06 22:55
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +300 $246 88¢ $262 +$17 06-11 08:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -300 $-223 84¢ $-250 $-27 06-05 15:59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No -250 $-250 100¢ $-250 +$0 06-28 19:10
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No -227 $-222 100¢ $-227 $-5 06-05 07:19