Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$61
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
408
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$74
Open exposure
$4.06K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-04 02:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
87%
Politics
7%
Sports
6%
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No +823 $794 97¢ $795 +$1 07-01 01:11
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? No -780 $-761 95¢ $-741 +$20 07-03 07:21
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +624 $574 94¢ $583 +$9 07-04 01:05
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +550 $473 87¢ $476 +$3 07-04 09:01
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -700 $-267 52¢ $-368 $-100 06-22 14:22
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +400 $330 80¢ $322 $-8 07-03 07:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $186 96¢ $193 +$7 06-10 03:07
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -169 $-168 97¢ $-163 +$5 07-02 02:43
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No -100 $-95 96¢ $-96 $-1 05-27 23:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No -100 $-96 96¢ $-96 $-0 06-18 09:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +100 $91 94¢ $94 +$2 07-02 02:45
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No +63 $49 80¢ $50 +$1 07-04 02:01
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? No +44 $37 93¢ $41 +$4 06-25 01:47
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? No +20 $15 71¢ $14 $-0 06-17 22:00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $17 28¢ $14 $-3 06-15 18:38
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 95¢ $10 +$0 05-27 20:32
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-22 22:11