Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$769
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
5
663 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$682
$59.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$8.87K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 22:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
83% 83% +$2,679
Politics
10% 64% +$36
Sports
6% 78% +$317
Crypto
1% 0% -$130
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026? No — -1,262 -$1,233 98¢ $-1231 +$2 08-13 13:41
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +1,111 $843 92¢ $1.0K +$185 11-04 23:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +1,030 $838 96¢ $986 +$148 10-23 00:32
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +765 $605 98¢ $749 +$144 11-05 09:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +672 $633 97¢ $653 +$20 09-16 22:11
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +614 $553 96¢ $587 +$34 11-03 10:06
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +600 $526 94¢ $564 +$38 10-14 11:52
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No -400 -$392 98¢ $-393 -$2 09-16 11:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $339 88¢ $350 +$11 09-29 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +300 $282 97¢ $290 +$8 09-23 02:42
US recession by end of 2026? No +300 $276 96¢ $286 +$10 09-23 02:36
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? No +295 $272 97¢ $286 +$14 10-29 08:00
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +278 $256 98¢ $272 +$15 10-26 20:32
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -253 -$243 95¢ $-241 +$1 10-30 23:20
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027? No — +231 $153 82¢ $189 +$36 11-05 22:25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +200 $160 92¢ $183 +$23 10-15 11:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +200 $130 90¢ $180 +$50 10-15 11:40
Will XRP dip to $0.40 by December 31, 2026? No — -125 -$109 98¢ $-122 -$14 07-05 21:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -140 -$141 86¢ $-120 +$21 09-16 11:42
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -100 -$113 97¢ $-97 +$16 09-19 11:23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +66 $55 95¢ $63 +$9 09-23 04:32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3 -$4 98¢ $-3 +$0 09-18 08:21