Realized P&L
+$2.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$390
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
80
Trades
649
lifetime
Volume
$58.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$6.49K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 10-30 23:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
82% 83% +$2,679
Politics
10% 60% -$34
Sports
6% 78% +$317
Crypto
1% 0% -$130
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? No +1,030 $838 95¢ $978 +$140 10-23 00:32
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No +1,005 $839 96¢ $968 +$129 09-22 03:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $930 94¢ $945 +$15 10-01 23:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +672 $633 94¢ $635 +$2 09-16 22:11
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +600 $526 92¢ $549 +$23 10-14 11:52
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +559 $408 78¢ $433 +$25 10-30 03:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $339 82¢ $330 -$9 09-29 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +300 $282 94¢ $284 +$2 09-23 02:42
US recession by end of 2026? No +300 $276 94¢ $280 +$4 09-23 02:36
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? No +278 $256 97¢ $269 +$13 10-26 20:32
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -253 -$243 96¢ $-244 -$1 10-30 23:20
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +200 $160 78¢ $157 -$3 10-15 11:36
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +200 $130 70¢ $140 +$10 10-15 11:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No -140 -$141 88¢ $-123 +$18 09-16 11:42
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? No -100 -$113 97¢ $-97 +$16 09-19 11:23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? No +66 $55 89¢ $59 +$4 09-23 04:32
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -3 -$4 97¢ $-3 +$0 09-18 08:21