Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.0% before 2027?
closed
Total volume
$32,208
Trades
122
Unique wallets
60
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-01-01
last 02-27 20:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $18.4K
vs crowd: 99% YES on $30.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $18.9K | $15 | +$18.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $8.9K | $131 | +$8.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $2.8K | $17 | +$2.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $70 | $62 | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $18.3K | $30 | +$18.3K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $98 | $3 | +$95 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2.0K | $98 | +$1.9K |
| Median | 6 | $4 | $4 | $0 |
| Below median | 13 | $8.7K | $30 | +$8.6K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $238 | $17 | +$221 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $434 | $1 | +$433 |
| unranked | 22 | $847 | $40 | +$807 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | +18,347 | $18,328 | $18,328 | 2 | 02-27 20:51 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | No | +17,500 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | +8,695 | $8,647 | $8,647 | 1 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | +5,968 | $15 | $15 | 3 | 02-27 20:51 |
| Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | No | +2,388 | $17 | $18 | 3 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Unnatural-Elver 0x5a57…9299 | Yes | +1,259 | $1,225 | $2,791 | 4 | 02-27 13:35 |
| Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | Yes | +800 | $794 | $794 | 1 | 02-27 13:35 |
| Heavy-Gentleman 0x7e01…63be | No | +700 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 01-19 20:46 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | +670 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | +539 | $2 | $15 | 13 | 02-27 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4b01…95a9 | No | +478 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | +454 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | +264 | $237 | $237 | 1 | 02-13 14:26 |
| Terrific-Subprime 0x06af…3741 | No | +189 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 02-27 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3f3a…1e5e | No | +172 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-27 20:52 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | +122 | $3 | $3 | 9 | 02-27 12:50 |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 0xfbfd…0029 | Yes | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 01-04 21:42 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-27 12:50 |
| Greedy-Neighbourhood 0x6ffd…a637 | No | +55 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 01-19 20:46 |
| Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | +40 | $0 | $0 | 6 | 02-27 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c17…0458 | No | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-27 20:49 |
| Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | +26 | $0 | $0 | 5 | 02-27 20:51 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +25 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 02-27 12:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $2 | $4 | 3 | 02-13 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x15e7…23ae | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-27 12:51 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | +13 | $0 | $1 | 6 | 02-24 03:01 |
| Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-27 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 02-13 14:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1af…9d53 | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 02-23 07:20 |
| Fair-Elongation 0xa289…39ae | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 02-24 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa577…a22a | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 01-19 13:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ce8…594b | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-26 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3567…568e | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-26 13:37 |
| Whimsical-Miter 0xfdca…966a | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-26 13:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a24…8acd | Yes | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 02-23 14:48 |
| Frigid-Dig 0x9551…8c45 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 01-21 07:47 |
| Likable-Termite 0xc4bc…7f56 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-26 16:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x7af2…6894 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-26 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x5789…c198 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-26 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x339d…070c | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-23 12:49 |
| Same-Elite 0x46da…d70c | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-23 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6070…7be3 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-23 11:02 |
| Agonizing-Bronze 0x8877…a0f2 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-24 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x4235…479f | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-24 09:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x14ea…e837 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-23 15:26 |
| Warm-Antelope 0xe967…83d8 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-24 09:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4e84…cee6 | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 02-23 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6ae1…19d3 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-27 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e30…db49 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-23 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd322…b125 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 02-27 15:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x866c…070f | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 02-19 22:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 20:52:53 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 172 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7c5251… |
| 02-27 20:52:53 | (anonymous) 0x3f3a…1e5e | No | BUY | 172 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7c5251… |
| 02-27 20:51:31 | Metallic-Guide 0x4058…35b5 | No | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf09a23… |
| 02-27 20:51:31 | Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | BUY | 5,572 | 100¢ | $5,567 | 0xf09a23… |
| 02-27 20:51:31 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 5,555 | 0¢ | $6 | 0xf09a23… |
| 02-27 20:51:31 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf09a23… |
| 02-27 20:49:11 | (anonymous) 0x3c17…0458 | No | BUY | 30 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75c466… |
| 02-27 20:49:11 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75c466… |
| 02-27 20:49:11 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 204 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75c466… |
| 02-27 20:49:11 | Fake-Guard 0x6ffb…a834 | Yes | BUY | 12,774 | 100¢ | $12,761 | 0x75c466… |
| 02-27 20:49:11 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | No | BUY | 12,500 | 0¢ | $12 | 0x75c466… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | No | BUY | 1,893 | 1¢ | $11 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | (anonymous) 0x4b01…95a9 | No | BUY | 478 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | No | BUY | 670 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | No | BUY | 5,000 | 0¢ | $25 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | Sardonic-Cue 0x8a7b…782f | Yes | BUY | 8,695 | 99¢ | $8,647 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 20:49:05 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 650 | 1¢ | $4 | 0x6136b6… |
| 02-27 15:50:23 | (anonymous) 0xd322…b125 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x78b5c4… |
| 02-27 15:50:23 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x78b5c4… |
| 02-27 13:35:29 | Unnatural-Elver 0x5a57…9299 | Yes | SELL | 789 | 99¢ | $783 | 0x44197d… |
| 02-27 13:35:29 | Frivolous-Countryside 0x35e1…f41d | Yes | BUY | 800 | 99¢ | $794 | 0x44197d… |
| 02-27 13:35:29 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x44197d… |
| 02-27 12:51:29 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 6 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc5145d… |
| 02-27 12:51:29 | (anonymous) 0x15e7…23ae | No | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc5145d… |
| 02-27 12:51:29 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc5145d… |
| 02-27 12:51:05 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | Yes | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0x07ada2… |
| 02-27 12:51:05 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07ada2… |
| 02-27 12:51:05 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07ada2… |
| 02-27 12:51:05 | Unnatural-Elver 0x5a57…9299 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 99¢ | $38 | 0x07ada2… |
| 02-27 12:51:01 | Artistic-Firm 0x78d0…a337 | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x63e3ec… |
| 02-27 12:51:01 | Unnatural-Elver 0x5a57…9299 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 99¢ | $26 | 0x63e3ec… |
| 02-27 12:51:01 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x63e3ec… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Terrific-Subprime 0x06af…3741 | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 409 | 2¢ | $9 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Unnatural-Elver 0x5a57…9299 | Yes | BUY | 1,982 | 98¢ | $1,944 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Far-Off-Favor 0x975d…01be | No | BUY | 500 | 1¢ | $6 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 500 | 98¢ | $490 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 12:50:51 | Candid-Nut 0xcb3b…a2b6 | No | BUY | 12 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x142e8e… |
| 02-27 10:09:09 | (anonymous) 0x6ae1…19d3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x046631… |
| 02-27 10:09:09 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x046631… |
| 02-26 17:30:50 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb4a1c5… |
| 02-26 17:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x4ce8…594b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0xb4a1c5… |
| 02-26 16:46:30 | Likable-Termite 0xc4bc…7f56 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x007f4d… |
| 02-26 16:46:30 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x007f4d… |
| 02-26 13:37:18 | (anonymous) 0x3567…568e | Yes | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x6166a9… |
| 02-26 13:37:18 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6166a9… |
| 02-26 13:26:16 | Whimsical-Miter 0xfdca…966a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x98d3b2… |
| 02-26 13:26:16 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 4 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x98d3b2… |
| 02-26 12:30:10 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9a71a9… |
| 02-26 12:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x7af2…6894 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x9a71a9… |
| 02-26 11:02:40 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb07870… |
| 02-26 11:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x5789…c198 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb07870… |
| 02-24 17:51:40 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x23c99f… |
| 02-24 17:51:40 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | Yes | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x23c99f… |
| 02-24 10:43:52 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x215be7… |
| 02-24 10:43:52 | Agonizing-Bronze 0x8877…a0f2 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x215be7… |
| 02-24 10:08:58 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6da7db… |
| 02-24 10:08:58 | Fair-Elongation 0xa289…39ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6da7db… |
| 02-24 09:59:20 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa178c4… |
| 02-24 09:59:20 | (anonymous) 0x4235…479f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xa178c4… |
| 02-24 09:45:04 | Warm-Antelope 0xe967…83d8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xd0425a… |
| 02-24 09:45:04 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0425a… |
| 02-24 03:01:20 | (anonymous) 0x2a8c…239e | Yes | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0xdbcf2d… |
| 02-24 03:01:20 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | SELL | 2 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xdbcf2d… |
| 02-23 15:51:02 | (anonymous) 0x4e84…cee6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xebd11b… |
| 02-23 15:51:02 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xebd11b… |
| 02-23 15:26:10 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf4db52… |
| 02-23 15:26:10 | (anonymous) 0x14ea…e837 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xf4db52… |
| 02-23 15:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x2a8c…239e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x762dcb… |
| 02-23 15:09:56 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x762dcb… |
| 02-23 15:04:32 | (anonymous) 0x2a8c…239e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4c9bd3… |
| 02-23 15:04:32 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | No | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4c9bd3… |
| 02-23 14:48:18 | (anonymous) 0x5a24…8acd | Yes | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0x59b01d… |
| 02-23 14:48:18 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x59b01d… |
| 02-23 12:49:20 | (anonymous) 0x339d…070c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x7be5ef… |
| 02-23 12:49:20 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7be5ef… |
| 02-23 12:34:00 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe8d01c… |
| 02-23 12:34:00 | Same-Elite 0x46da…d70c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xe8d01c… |
| 02-23 12:12:44 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xff3e85… |
| 02-23 12:12:44 | (anonymous) 0x1e30…db49 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xff3e85… |
| 02-23 11:02:36 | (anonymous) 0x6070…7be3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x529989… |
| 02-23 11:02:36 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | No | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x529989… |
| 02-23 07:20:04 | (anonymous) 0xa1af…9d53 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x0858bd… |
| 02-23 07:20:04 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x0858bd… |
| 02-19 22:49:00 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xf0ea04… |
| 02-19 22:49:00 | (anonymous) 0x866c…070f | No | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xf0ea04… |
| 02-18 20:24:34 | (anonymous) 0x9a6b…a116 | No | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdef9ca… |
| 02-18 20:24:34 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdef9ca… |
| 02-13 14:26:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6c1ae2… |
| 02-13 14:26:29 | (anonymous) 0xc092…5428 | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6c1ae2… |
| 02-13 14:26:29 | Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | No | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $20 | 0x6c1ae2… |
| 02-13 14:26:29 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | No | BUY | 29 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x6c1ae2… |
| 02-13 14:26:29 | Wise-Kindness 0xfa8f…d61b | Yes | BUY | 264 | 90¢ | $237 | 0x6c1ae2… |
| 01-21 07:47:44 | Frigid-Dig 0x9551…8c45 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 53¢ | $2 | 0xa9bfb2… |