Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b289…e74ceb
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$790
Unrealized P&L
-$75
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
52
Trades
61,683
lifetime
Volume
$1.36M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$486
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-20 16:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
72% 10% $-894
Politics
15% 43% +$92
Sports
9% 50% +$11
Crypto
3% 100% +$1
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 811 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +181 $36 99¢ $179 +$143 06-20 16:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -393 $-29 44¢ $-175 $-146 06-20 16:11
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -85 $-55 57¢ $-49 +$6 06-20 16:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +43 $-33 78¢ $34 +$68 06-20 16:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -39 $-21 34¢ $-13 +$8 06-16 07:10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +43 $12 22¢ $9 $-3 06-20 00:32
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -27 $-6 32¢ $-9 $-3 06-20 16:16
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? Yes -30 $-6 27¢ $-8 $-2 06-20 16:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +248 $62 1¢ $3 $-59 06-20 14:42
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +3 $1 56¢ $2 +$0 06-07 11:50
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -18 $-4 9¢ $-2 +$3 05-29 04:41
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -8 $-0 20¢ $-2 $-1 06-20 16:24
Blue wave in 2026? No +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-18 06:12
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -3 $-0 26¢ $-1 $-1 06-20 16:15
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03? No -10 $-2 4¢ $-0 +$2 06-20 16:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -0 $20 26¢ $-0 $-20 06-20 16:11
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -0 $70 24¢ $-0 $-70 06-20 16:13