Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b289…e74ceb
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
11
11 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$946
$946 lifetime
Avg / trade
$86
Open exposure
$808
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-13 09:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
91% — —
Politics
9% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026? Yes -500 $-498 100¢ $-499 $-0 05-13 05:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? No +500 $100 22¢ $108 +$8 05-13 00:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? No +222 $100 44¢ $97 $-3 05-13 04:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +190 $63 32¢ $62 $-1 05-13 09:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +53 $20 38¢ $20 +$0 05-13 08:59
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +38 $12 44¢ $17 +$4 05-13 03:21
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? No +10 $3 32¢ $3 $-0 05-13 03:36
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 38¢ $2 $-0 05-13 04:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 12¢ $1 $-0 05-13 03:11