Obvious-Eyebrow 0x9f66aa…4f3a50
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$7.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.33K
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
2,118
Trades
15,455
lifetime
Volume
$1.78M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$22.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 286 days
Categories
Politics
64% 66% +$5,815
Other
29% 67% -$306
Sports
3% 64% +$2,991
Crypto
2% 65% -$167
Tech
1% 73% -$950
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +4,500 $3,223 99¢ $4.5K +$1,232 10-29 00:07
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) No +1,304 $1,075 98¢ $1.3K +$196 10-26 13:03
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +1,360 $773 88¢ $1.2K +$430 10-24 08:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -1,202 -$903 95¢ $-1144 -$241 05-27 16:26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,203 $1,100 94¢ $1.1K +$25 10-25 07:45
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +1,500 $1,001 74¢ $1.1K +$109 10-12 21:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +1,023 $802 96¢ $977 +$175 10-27 14:33
will wti dip to 95 in october 2026 from october 15 No +1,000 -$86 98¢ $976 +$1,062 10-27 18:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by december 31 2026 20260922 No +1,498 $608 56¢ $839 +$231 10-19 13:19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,132 $700 68¢ $764 +$64 10-10 20:42
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +988 $700 74¢ $726 +$26 10-29 16:08
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +1,015 $658 72¢ $726 +$68 10-18 21:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +626 -$192 99¢ $620 +$812 10-28 20:40
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +720 $527 86¢ $616 +$89 10-19 18:21
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +516 $315 99¢ $511 +$196 10-23 17:10
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +528 $400 92¢ $488 +$88 10-25 09:52
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +694 $442 69¢ $476 +$34 10-17 13:11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +776 $134 60¢ $468 +$334 09-01 06:30
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +955 $757 48¢ $454 -$303 10-29 16:11
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +484 $340 86¢ $414 +$74 10-09 22:20
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +401 $333 96¢ $385 +$52 10-08 21:19
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +472 $358 81¢ $383 +$25 10-26 12:12
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? No +434 $158 88¢ $379 +$222 10-18 20:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +362 $206 98¢ $355 +$149 10-23 17:10
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +368 $340 93¢ $341 +$1 10-26 13:05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +892 $300 38¢ $334 +$34 10-07 17:33
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +324 $300 95¢ $308 +$8 10-23 03:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +514 $404 59¢ $305 -$99 10-18 20:18
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +461 $14 65¢ $300 +$285 10-22 12:02
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +546 $333 52¢ $284 -$49 10-26 13:06