Realized P&L
-$543
Unrealized P&L
+$1.77K
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
25
Trades
9,345
lifetime
Volume
$986.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$106
Open exposure
$9.73K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
66% 50% $-5
Other
29% 17% $-687
Sports
2% 67% +$141
Crypto
2% 40% +$8
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +4,174 $2,503 64¢ $2.7K +$147 06-10 06:39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +2,080 $674 80¢ $1.7K +$980 06-09 21:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +1,872 $1,515 84¢ $1.6K +$48 06-09 21:32
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,003 $832 94¢ $938 +$106 06-07 21:49
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +925 $266 76¢ $698 +$432 06-09 19:07
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +691 $409 76¢ $521 +$112 06-08 10:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,365 $431 32¢ $444 +$13 06-09 11:28
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30? No +328 $229 78¢ $254 +$25 06-09 22:06
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +235 $200 91¢ $213 +$13 06-09 11:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -323 $-207 62¢ $-202 +$5 06-09 07:34
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No +218 $150 64¢ $141 $-9 06-09 23:17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -130 $-113 92¢ $-119 $-6 05-28 15:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +445 $200 24¢ $109 $-91 06-08 09:35
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5? Yes +105 $100 95¢ $100 $-0 06-09 07:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +137 $89 62¢ $86 $-3 06-06 18:44
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +81 $43 53¢ $43 +$0 06-07 08:03