Obvious-Eyebrow 0x9f66aa…4f3a50
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$543
Unrealized P&L
+$461
Hit rate
60.0%
Resolved
25
Trades
11,238
lifetime
Volume
$1.27M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$113
Open exposure
$3.29K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 21:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
69% 50% $-5
Other
26% 17% $-687
Sports
2% 67% +$141
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% 40% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +865 $746 100¢ $865 +$119 06-27 13:54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +732 $500 70¢ $510 +$10 06-30 20:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +635 $400 70¢ $441 +$41 06-30 07:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2,579 $270 16¢ $425 +$155 07-01 03:34
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -416 $-646 100¢ $-415 +$232 06-22 16:18
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -323 $-207 80¢ $-260 $-53 06-09 07:34
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +389 $150 42¢ $162 +$12 06-12 20:23
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? No -130 $-113 99¢ $-129 $-16 05-28 15:13
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +197 $100 41¢ $81 $-19 06-16 12:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +420 $20 0¢ $0 $-20 06-16 19:33
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes -33 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-19 18:04