Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$57
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
11
lifetime
Volume
$507
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$450
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 05:55
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
72%
Tech
26%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? Yes +252 $180 82¢ $208 +$28 05-06 05:50
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +138 $110 62¢ $86 $-24 05-06 05:50
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +333 $130 24¢ $82 $-48 05-04 20:14
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +62 $50 66¢ $41 $-9 05-06 05:30
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31? No +65 $19 29¢ $19 $-0 05-05 17:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 05-06 05:43
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No +12 $8 47¢ $6 $-2 05-06 05:55