Realized P&L
-$259
Unrealized P&L
-$261
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
5,547
lifetime
Volume
$545.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$2.26K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 00:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
60% 50% $-439
Politics
38% 100% +$180
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1,530 $-1,373 100¢ $-1524 $-151 06-21 02:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,897 $184 11¢ $199 +$15 06-22 14:03
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +200 $184 95¢ $190 +$7 06-27 08:37
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +200 $130 76¢ $153 +$23 06-29 00:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -200 $-59 41¢ $-82 $-23 06-14 11:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes -500 $-15 10¢ $-48 $-32 06-14 00:14
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -108 $-29 28¢ $-30 $-1 06-10 22:19
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? Yes +90 $19 20¢ $18 $-1 06-23 01:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -25 $-9 48¢ $-12 $-3 06-14 10:44
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,052 $-93 $-2 +$91 06-15 07:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes -1,650 $-34 $-2 +$32 06-12 10:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes -1,600 $-32 $-2 +$30 06-13 22:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes -850 $79 $-1 $-80 06-14 00:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -250 $105 $-0 $-106 06-13 22:57
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -119 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-12 05:09
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes -77 $9 $-0 $-9 06-12 05:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -100 $17 $-0 $-17 06-12 11:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes -12 $39 $-0 $-39 06-16 22:58