Worthy-Lament — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$259

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

6,281

lifetime

Volume

$596.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 03:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

58% 50% $-439

Politics

40% 100% +$180

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	197	$28.5K	20,182	12,868	+7,314	open	—	03-01 05:52
another us government shutdown by february 14	86	$18.4K	12,946	12,543	+404	open	—	02-13 12:24
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	43	$16.0K	9,468	9,468	+0	open	—	03-08 22:00
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	29	$15.2K	12,540	12,540	+0	open	—	03-07 00:36
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	68	$11.3K	10,086	3,891	+6,195	open	—	03-19 02:26
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	80	$10.9K	11,403	127	+11,276	open	—	03-01 07:46
starmer out by july 31 2026	29	$9.5K	6,540	6,540	+0	open	—	06-22 08:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	31	$8.7K	4,617	4,617	+0	open	—	03-31 00:39
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	45	$8.6K	5,694	5,694	+0	open	—	03-30 09:45
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 15 153 144 999 648 116 955 829 149	62	$8.0K	9,677	961	+8,716	open	—	03-08 11:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	20	$7.5K	4,072	4,072	+0	open	—	04-02 17:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$6.9K	3,681	3,669	+13	open	—	04-01 09:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	17	$6.8K	3,900	3,900	+0	open	—	04-24 05:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$6.6K	4,700	4,700	+0	open	—	04-05 02:31
Iran leadership change by April 30?	23	$6.6K	4,271	4,271	+0	open	—	04-26 09:50
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	30	$6.5K	4,050	4,050	+0	open	—	03-21 23:44
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	40	$5.4K	7,014	6,264	+750	open	—	08-05 05:30
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	30	$5.0K	7,881	711	+7,171	open	—	03-06 13:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	14	$5.0K	4,281	3,469	+812	open	—	04-28 07:51
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	21	$4.8K	2,775	3,175	-400	open	—	02-20 06:49
will there be at least 1150 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 917	30	$4.7K	2,454	3,014	-560	open	—	02-28 02:25
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	74	$4.7K	4,438	2,380	+2,058	open	—	03-04 09:57
Will the US strike Somalia next?	11	$4.5K	4,661	0	+4,661	open	—	03-01 16:48
will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	52	$4.5K	2,960	3,411	-451	open	—	02-27 05:55
will iran strike qatar in march	11	$4.4K	2,284	2,284	+0	open	—	03-03 00:27
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	55	$4.4K	5,133	5,133	+0	open	—	03-31 16:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$3.9K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	03-23 11:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	9	$3.8K	3,067	1,525	+1,542	open	—	04-02 11:56
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	17	$3.8K	3,369	3,369	+0	open	—	07-13 14:20
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	20	$3.8K	2,395	2,395	+0	open	—	01-30 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 03:50:36	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	146	95¢	$138	0x29b4cb…
08-09 01:30:34	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	54	90¢	$48	0x076c71…
08-09 01:30:22	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$37	0xee57b2…
08-08 15:10:09	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	25	72¢	$18	0x0bb607…
08-08 15:07:21	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	SELL	59	72¢	$42	0x58be52…
08-08 04:42:27	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	63¢	$20	0x66d5fc…
08-07 22:02:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0x0f2e27…
08-06 22:41:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xc1b5ea…
08-06 22:40:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	64	22¢	$14	0xf4a409…
08-06 22:00:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x270c9c…
08-06 21:59:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x25f668…
08-06 21:40:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x7cd1a0…
08-06 21:36:15	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	58	29¢	$17	0xe0655a…
08-06 21:36:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	402	22¢	$88	0x393091…
08-06 21:32:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x3b6ca6…
08-06 21:31:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	27	68¢	$18	0x7c211d…
08-06 21:30:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xd8586e…
08-06 21:27:35	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdb7aa6…
08-06 10:38:30	us iran hormuz agreement by august 15 20260804222025506	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1fda65…
08-06 10:37:12	iran successfully targets shipping by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x9206b3…
08-06 10:33:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	2,102	9¢	$181	0xe95736…
08-06 10:33:03	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	1,041	34¢	$353	0x25d3a7…
08-05 05:41:45	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x546d2d…
08-05 05:41:36	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	Yes	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x5d92fd…
08-05 05:41:02	iran successfully targets shipping by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xaaa6b0…
08-05 05:39:59	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0x6b0743…
08-05 05:39:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	173	87¢	$150	0xc14a97…
08-05 05:38:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xb32609…
08-05 05:31:14	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	712	19¢	$135	0x7d4cf4…
08-05 05:30:05	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	SELL	750	11¢	$83	0x7059e6…
08-05 05:28:36	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	SELL	45	15¢	$7	0xc16701…
08-05 05:28:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	1,000	10¢	$98	0x1fe5f1…
08-05 05:27:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	15¢	$150	0xb00102…
08-04 08:37:23	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x76bf58…
08-04 08:25:15	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	SELL	0	34¢	$0	0x04ad25…
08-04 05:53:08	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xc59418…
08-04 05:52:45	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x54e96a…
08-03 06:47:18	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	Yes	BUY	36	18¢	$6	0x917deb…
08-03 06:38:57	will iran target a arab country on august 6 2026 20260801004719123	Yes	BUY	464	18¢	$84	0xe9618c…
08-03 04:08:59	will iran target a arab country on august 4 2026 20260801004719121	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5f01ac…
08-03 04:03:35	will iran target a arab country on august 5 2026 20260801004719122	Yes	BUY	500	19¢	$95	0x0e3494…
08-03 04:02:12	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	500	9¢	$45	0x0f3925…
08-03 04:01:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	552	20¢	$110	0x12822c…
08-03 04:01:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	723	9¢	$65	0xa3a7ce…
08-03 00:43:38	israel agrees to board of peace gaza plan by august 7 20260731224133050	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xd0e85e…
08-03 00:40:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x3e49d8…
08-03 00:40:23	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x6f2bab…
08-03 00:40:03	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	319	47¢	$150	0xb9085f…
08-02 08:18:29	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x7902bf…
08-01 21:13:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	417	48¢	$200	0x624e4c…
08-01 21:12:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0x0a5cb7…
08-01 20:37:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x9ce78b…
08-01 20:31:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	225	0¢	$1	0xd4f335…
08-01 14:30:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xd34937…
08-01 11:48:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	225	12¢	$27	0x698cb6…
08-01 06:08:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdb5a35…
08-01 05:55:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	417	6¢	$25	0xbce9c4…
08-01 05:55:29	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xd4c9f3…
08-01 01:18:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x3b1fd1…
08-01 01:17:59	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x453259…
08-01 01:16:29	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3b843b…
08-01 01:15:36	iran full airspace closure by september 30 20260727170320670	Yes	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0x0234b2…
08-01 01:14:57	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	550	2¢	$10	0x2e3111…
08-01 01:13:00	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	4,000	0¢	$8	0x0aa75f…
08-01 01:12:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	1,800	0¢	$4	0x82501d…
08-01 01:02:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0xe081f4…
08-01 01:01:56	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	750	12¢	$90	0xc77161…
08-01 00:59:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	300	37¢	$111	0x9a68ac…
08-01 00:59:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	500	26¢	$130	0xc602cd…
07-28 22:35:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xec5b9f…
07-27 11:19:55	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x99fb15…
07-27 09:26:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	300	25¢	$75	0xe86d35…
07-27 08:33:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0x238655…
07-27 08:32:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	500	47¢	$235	0x2d0c4e…
07-27 08:31:54	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x5ea27b…
07-27 08:31:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	500	46¢	$231	0x97d17f…
07-27 08:30:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0xfc77fb…
07-25 12:22:55	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	SELL	80	96¢	$77	0xbee1c7…
07-25 12:14:42	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	SELL	638	95¢	$606	0x65c3c3…
07-25 06:56:43	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0xafe8f2…
07-25 06:12:33	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	BUY	272	80¢	$218	0x21ae01…
07-25 05:40:24	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x74372f…
07-25 05:29:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	SELL	500	23¢	$115	0x869922…
07-25 05:26:31	will there be houthi military action against saudi arabia by july 31 2026 20260714212508553	Yes	SELL	110	86¢	$95	0x1255a2…
07-23 20:35:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0xf7a0e3…
07-23 20:34:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	500	52¢	$262	0xe54b57…
07-23 20:34:24	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	500	54¢	$270	0x30a9c9…
07-23 20:30:22	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	185	50¢	$92	0x4df2e8…
07-23 20:29:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xb270d8…
07-23 20:28:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	500	97¢	$485	0xadc8e1…
07-23 09:54:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	75	62¢	$46	0x745692…
07-23 09:53:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x8a6430…
07-23 09:51:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	125	61¢	$76	0xb06889…
07-23 09:51:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0x2eef07…
07-23 09:50:21	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x64f81d…
07-23 09:50:09	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x77d7c0…
07-23 09:50:03	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xd1ae82…
07-23 09:48:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x10710d…
07-23 09:48:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x700e79…
07-23 09:46:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987	No	BUY	140	61¢	$85	0x25e105…