Realized P&L
+$6.72K
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
77.4%
Resolved
824
Trades
7,082
lifetime
Volume
$650.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$92
Open exposure
$2.72K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 05:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 204 days
Categories
Other
59% 62% +$6,082
Politics
40% 64% +$559
Sports
1% 38% -$154
Pop-Culture
0% 62% -$98
Tech
0% 80% +$310
Crypto
0% 100% +$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +580 $338 64¢ $374 +$36 10-27 10:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,000 -$524 18¢ $-370 +$154 08-17 11:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +500 $285 60¢ $302 +$18 10-25 21:10
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +400 $259 68¢ $274 +$15 10-28 03:45
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +1,000 $139 16¢ $165 +$26 10-17 03:26
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $142 76¢ $153 +$11 10-28 03:39
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +200 $148 70¢ $139 -$9 10-17 05:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +250 $130 50¢ $126 -$3 10-28 05:31
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $170 18¢ $122 -$48 10-25 21:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +300 $141 40¢ $122 -$19 10-28 03:40
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +1,250 $102 10¢ $121 +$18 10-20 06:33
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +250 $104 35¢ $88 -$17 10-28 03:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,000 $114 9¢ $86 -$28 10-17 04:20
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +61 $50 82¢ $50 $0 10-23 22:22
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +200 $62 24¢ $47 -$15 10-17 04:07
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +150 $26 30¢ $45 +$19 10-29 05:18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +50 $22 52¢ $26 +$4 10-17 04:04
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,424 $126 1¢ $25 -$101 10-20 13:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +60 $25 36¢ $21 -$4 10-23 01:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +541 $25 4¢ $19 -$6 10-20 06:02
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +316 $99 6¢ $19 -$80 10-28 03:43
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $20 8¢ $17 -$3 10-17 04:42
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +40 $18 26¢ $10 -$8 10-18 16:47