Realized P&L
-$259
Unrealized P&L
+$495
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
9
Trades
6,086
lifetime
Volume
$580.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$95
Open exposure
$1.60K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 13:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
59% 50% $-439
Politics
40% 100% +$180
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +3,397 $335 22¢ $747 +$412 07-20 10:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -300 $-242 98¢ $-295 $-53 07-06 23:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,000 $105 26¢ $265 +$160 07-20 11:34
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,179 $115 $88 $-27 07-19 07:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +1,000 $65 $76 +$11 07-20 10:17
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -200 $-59 32¢ $-65 $-6 06-14 11:40
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? No -108 $-29 30¢ $-32 $-3 06-10 22:19
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $25 19¢ $27 +$1 07-16 08:22
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -25 $-9 38¢ $-9 $-1 06-14 10:44