Worthy-Lament 0xfe726a…17f18c
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$54
Unrealized P&L
+$517
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (30d)
1
Trades (30d)
21
21 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.70K
$3.70K lifetime
Avg / trade
$176
Open exposure
$3.54K
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-13 12:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
86% 100% +$54
Politics
14% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No +949 $677 92¢ $878 +$201 05-10 03:48
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -1,455 $-887 46¢ $-662 +$225 05-13 12:13
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +750 $630 78¢ $581 $-49 05-12 02:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +400 $288 86¢ $346 +$58 05-10 06:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? Yes +362 $294 70¢ $254 $-40 05-12 22:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +300 $144 68¢ $206 +$62 05-10 03:46
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +200 $170 98¢ $197 +$27 05-10 06:37
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? No -163 $-147 92¢ $-149 $-2 05-13 11:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-1 05-10 03:47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No +100 $35 56¢ $56 +$21 05-07 07:58
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? No -41 $-38 95¢ $-38 $-1 05-13 11:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes +44 $20 54¢ $24 +$4 05-07 07:44
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes -30 $-36 68¢ $-21 +$15 05-11 22:24
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? Yes +36 $19 48¢ $17 $-2 05-10 03:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +25 $6 20¢ $5 $-0 05-10 03:50
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations? Yes -100 $-4 4¢ $-4 +$0 05-13 04:17
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? Yes -5 $-2 56¢ $-3 $-1 05-13 04:17