Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f48…5c4883
whale 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$608
Unrealized P&L
+$291
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,210
lifetime
Volume
$1.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$319
Open exposure
$36.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 07-21 20:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
43% — —
Politics
40% 40% +$605
Crypto
17% 100% +$3
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -17,700 $-12,759 88¢ $-15664 $-2,905 06-25 23:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +4,268 $2,882 78¢ $3.3K +$425 07-19 23:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +3,823 $2,839 72¢ $2.7K $-105 07-19 00:32
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +3,348 $2,025 76¢ $2.6K +$537 06-26 06:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -4,019 $-3,399 54¢ $-2150 +$1,249 05-27 23:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,100 $1,455 90¢ $1.9K +$446 06-05 20:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,750 $1,196 86¢ $1.5K +$300 06-26 14:08
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,912 $-1,512 68¢ $-1290 +$222 07-11 14:27
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,208 $892 88¢ $1.1K +$165 06-29 19:30
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1,075 $800 88¢ $941 +$140 07-15 18:39
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,105 $1,612 11¢ $851 $-761 06-28 04:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,224 $220 56¢ $692 +$472 07-01 10:49
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -619 $-542 91¢ $-563 $-21 06-03 23:05
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +499 $334 70¢ $347 +$12 07-15 18:59
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -335 $-292 90¢ $-301 $-9 06-20 14:14
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +272 $220 82¢ $223 +$3 07-21 20:12
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -406 $-227 52¢ $-213 +$14 06-15 16:38
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +328 $154 45¢ $148 $-7 07-12 09:11
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +126 $110 86¢ $109 $-1 07-04 03:38
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -98 $-88 88¢ $-86 +$2 06-07 22:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $35 68¢ $68 +$34 06-26 02:16
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -62 $-53 92¢ $-58 $-5 06-26 03:56
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +31 $19 76¢ $23 +$4 06-25 00:25
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +135 $-55 13¢ $17 +$72 07-21 17:30
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 20:41
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -1 $-1 98¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 20:41
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -1 $-9 96¢ $-1 +$8 06-20 14:14
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 20:41
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 06:08
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 06-28 02:30