Realized P&L
+$608
Unrealized P&L
-$490
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
2,717
lifetime
Volume
$961.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$354
Open exposure
$40.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-01
last 06-30 16:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
42%
Politics
39% 40% +$605
Crypto
18% 100% +$3
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -17,700 $-12,759 78¢ $-13717 $-958 06-25 23:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +5,555 $4,078 90¢ $5.0K +$950 06-26 04:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes -4,019 $-3,399 80¢ $-3235 +$164 05-27 23:02
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +3,052 $2,679 100¢ $3.0K +$359 06-14 14:39
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No +3,348 $2,025 65¢ $2.2K +$152 06-26 06:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,100 $1,455 84¢ $1.8K +$320 06-05 20:28
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel? No -1,250 $-1,146 99¢ $-1241 $-95 07-01 09:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,750 $1,196 70¢ $1.2K +$37 06-26 14:08
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +1,208 $892 76¢ $912 +$20 06-29 19:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -1,461 $-1,196 58¢ $-854 +$342 06-27 04:12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,105 $1,612 11¢ $851 $-761 06-28 04:07
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No -798 $-778 100¢ $-798 $-20 06-15 23:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -700 $-644 99¢ $-695 $-51 06-14 22:34
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? No -670 $-559 99¢ $-665 $-106 06-13 08:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +775 $543 84¢ $647 +$104 06-24 07:49
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? No +605 $577 100¢ $604 +$28 07-01 08:13
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -619 $-542 90¢ $-554 $-12 06-03 23:05
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -534 $-561 99¢ $-530 +$32 06-28 02:32
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -523 $-410 100¢ $-520 $-110 05-28 19:55
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No -335 $-292 91¢ $-305 $-13 06-20 14:14
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No -280 $720 98¢ $-276 $-996 06-29 02:47
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -406 $-227 60¢ $-245 $-18 06-15 16:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,024 $188 20¢ $210 +$22 06-30 15:06
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +192 $92 56¢ $107 +$15 06-17 16:04
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -98 $-88 82¢ $-79 +$8 06-07 22:09
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? No -62 $-53 86¢ $-53 $-0 06-26 03:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $35 40¢ $40 +$4 06-26 02:16
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +31 $19 77¢ $24 +$4 06-25 00:25
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027? Yes +102 $-44 12¢ $12 +$56 06-30 03:31
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No -6 $-37 100¢ $-6 +$31 06-11 13:18