Lost-Fibre — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved

4,601

Trades

15,753

lifetime

Volume

$1.97M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$78

1 position

First seen

2026-05-10

last 11-02 15:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 171 days

Categories

Other

77% 53% +$38,816

Sports

23% 51% -$9,033

Politics

0% 21% -$300

Crypto

0% 40% -$18

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$29

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	—	+134	$75	58¢	$78	+$3	11-02 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	72	$4.5K	4,400	4,400	+0	Yes	-$20	05-17 19:44
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02	3	$4.3K	3,571	3,571	+0	MOUZ	+$2,818	08-02 16:11
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	2	$4.1K	3,125	3,125	+0	Leo Team	+$2,122	08-24 17:29
mlb cws tb 2026 08 02 total 7pt5	2	$4.1K	2,749	2,749	+0	Over	+$1,427	08-02 20:19
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier Playoffs	8	$3.9K	2,857	2,857	+0	Nemiga	+$1,854	09-02 15:59
mlb nyy chc 2026 08 01 total 6pt5	4	$3.5K	4,060	3,244	+816	Over	-$371	08-02 01:49
cs2 echo g1 2026 08 09	3	$3.3K	2,339	2,339	+0	GenOne	+$1,337	08-09 12:20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sinners (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1 Playoffs	2	$3.2K	2,222	2,222	+0	Sinners	+$1,220	09-25 13:49
cs2 nem 1win 2026 09 02	7	$3.2K	2,158	2,158	+0	Team Nemesis	+$1,156	09-02 13:59
cs2 1win tl1 2026 08 09	8	$3.0K	2,273	2,273	+0	1WIN	+$1,520	08-09 12:20
cs2 9ine brute 2026 08 02	8	$3.0K	2,273	2,273	+0	Brute	+$1,520	08-02 13:57
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Asian Qualifier Playoffs	10	$3.0K	1,989	1,989	+0	Chinggis Warriors	+$987	09-02 15:59
mlb cle det 2026 08 11 total 7pt5	8	$2.9K	4,468	1,454	+3,014	Over	-$1,557	08-11 23:14
cs2 ence fal 2026 09 14	12	$2.8K	1,786	1,786	+0	ENCE	+$784	09-14 12:56
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs	18	$2.7K	1,749	1,749	+0	BESTIA	+$748	09-21 00:15
cs2 fut tyloo 2026 08 12	6	$2.7K	1,695	1,695	+0	FUT Esports	+$693	08-12 11:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	32	$2.7K	5,581	5,581	+0	No	-$51	05-12 02:38
cs2 ts7 mouz 2026 08 02 map handicap away 1pt5	5	$2.6K	1,829	1,829	+0	MOUZ	+$1,059	08-02 13:57
mlb phi bal 2026 07 31 total 8pt5	6	$2.6K	5,333	0	+5,333	Over	-$593	07-31 22:01
cs2 100t bbl1 2026 09 25	6	$2.5K	1,516	1,516	+0	100 Thieves	+$522	09-25 13:49
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	56	$2.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	Yes	-$2	05-17 19:07
cs2 vit lgc 2026 08 30	2	$2.4K	1,429	1,429	+0	Vitality	+$427	08-30 20:52
atp borges cilic 2026 06 10	5	$2.4K	2,477	1,200	+1,277	Marin Cilic	-$1	06-12 12:47
cs2 sparta justpl 2026 07 30	6	$2.4K	1,596	1,596	+0	Just Players	+$803	07-30 11:40
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	108	$2.4K	2,531	2,531	+0	Yes	-$74	05-18 02:01
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?	131	$2.4K	3,078	3,078	+0	No	-$11	05-18 02:01
Counter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	9	$2.3K	1,351	1,351	+0	BET-M 33	+$350	08-24 11:29
cs2 bmb ff 2026 08 02	10	$2.3K	1,596	1,596	+0	Fire Flux Esports	+$844	08-02 16:11
wta bejlek siegemu 2026 06 22	2	$2.3K	1,562	1,562	+0	Sara Bejlek	+$795	06-23 15:03
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek	6	$2.3K	1,786	1,786	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$1,284	05-31 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:14:58	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	134	56¢	$75	0xf8673b…
11-02 10:55:04	Luanda: Isabella Shinikova vs Dune Vaissaud	Dune Vaissaud	BUY	124	48¢	$60	0x515c36…
11-02 08:55:04	Counter-Strike: maybe vs Honvéd (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #13 Group A	maybe	BUY	144	51¢	$74	0x4fc8b7…
11-02 04:51:19	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	56	60¢	$34	0xbd6368…
11-02 04:50:18	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	124	60¢	$74	0x61085b…
11-02 04:49:55	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x872c8b…
11-02 04:49:54	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x52fecb…
11-02 04:49:40	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x379c73…
11-02 04:49:21	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xda6d31…
11-02 04:49:16	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0xa168fc…
11-02 04:49:09	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	98	60¢	$59	0xd3811f…
11-02 04:49:09	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x016dba…
11-02 04:48:39	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Boulter	Katie Boulter	BUY	46	59¢	$27	0xc18ee8…
11-01 23:32:40	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x391a75…
11-01 23:22:12	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	21	44¢	$9	0x93ca29…
11-01 23:12:48	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	Natus Vincere	BUY	104	44¢	$46	0x639c9d…
11-01 21:13:54	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xed0f21…
11-01 21:13:31	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xb51abc…
11-01 21:13:30	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xe08602…
11-01 21:13:30	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xa10b54…
11-01 21:10:45	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x94b111…
11-01 21:10:43	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4e7dfd…
11-01 21:10:39	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x7bf17f…
11-01 21:09:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf6cef4…
11-01 21:09:39	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe96c5c…
11-01 21:09:39	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1627a6…
11-01 21:09:27	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x4edcc9…
11-01 21:09:25	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x7a3860…
11-01 21:09:22	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x37fbb1…
11-01 21:09:22	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1116b4…
11-01 21:09:07	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5e99db…
11-01 21:09:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xb71987…
11-01 21:08:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x91f5a1…
11-01 21:08:55	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	FURIA	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x7e1637…
11-01 19:59:21	Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs	DENDELE CS	BUY	127	58¢	$74	0x4e8a0c…
11-01 15:54:43	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A	B8	BUY	197	38¢	$75	0xb18760…
11-01 13:55:06	Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs BESTIA (BO3) - FiReSPORTS Last Chance Playoffs	100 Thieves	BUY	93	81¢	$75	0x58959f…
11-01 12:44:15	Spread: Broncos (-3.5)	Chiefs	BUY	455	66¢	$300	0x210218…
11-01 10:45:43	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	BUY	284	55¢	$156	0x50111f…
11-01 02:55:04	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	472	62¢	$293	0x1c25aa…
10-31 21:27:18	LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x742a43…
10-31 19:09:36	Boston College vs. Duke: O/U 45.5	Over	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xbee223…
10-31 15:14:16	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	458	60¢	$276	0x296e93…
10-31 11:30:10	Chennai Open, Qualification: Jensi Dipakbhai Kanabar vs Weronika Falkowska	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	460	89¢	$409	0x3d0f00…
10-31 10:55:06	Chennai Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Shrivalli Bhamidipaty	Viktoria Morvayova	BUY	563	66¢	$372	0x5e1f47…
10-31 04:11:16	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x04958f…
10-31 00:25:12	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0xca78e1…
10-31 00:22:45	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0x01799f…
10-31 00:22:40	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x72f372…
10-30 22:12:45	Queretaro: Nadia Podoroska vs Carole Monnet	Nadia Podoroska	BUY	491	65¢	$319	0x0ac2b4…
10-30 22:11:58	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x7be551…
10-30 14:52:24	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	116	56¢	$65	0x8d6069…
10-30 14:41:03	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6c4cac…
10-30 14:39:42	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xb2afc8…
10-30 14:39:42	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x2764b3…
10-30 14:39:40	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0xe69b89…
10-30 14:38:25	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x704270…
10-30 14:38:24	Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Gold	BUY	237	56¢	$133	0xaa4425…
10-30 12:39:49	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	345	59¢	$203	0x39272c…
10-30 11:55:13	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	357	83¢	$296	0xc94229…
10-30 07:49:52	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jil Teichmann	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	428	57¢	$244	0xd7ba6c…
10-30 01:25:04	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	194	47¢	$91	0x1c0060…
10-30 00:12:04	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xd8d13c…
10-30 00:07:55	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	113	45¢	$51	0xde2c53…
10-29 23:18:34	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maya Joint	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0xfb51c1…
10-29 17:32:23	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd46815…
10-29 17:32:23	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd27306…
10-29 17:32:23	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	59	64¢	$38	0x45f113…
10-29 17:31:47	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x1cb0d0…
10-29 17:31:46	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	235	64¢	$151	0xb86e28…
10-29 16:17:17	Courmayeur: Martyna Kubka vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	BUY	321	43¢	$138	0x9a2253…
10-29 12:26:05	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x5eefa4…
10-29 12:25:32	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	54	72¢	$39	0x37d234…
10-29 12:25:31	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xb2fbcb…
10-29 12:24:29	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0xff6582…
10-29 12:24:29	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0xb1e694…
10-29 12:24:29	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	25	71¢	$18	0x9be858…
10-29 12:24:28	Guangzhou Open: Lilli Tagger vs Magda Linette	Lilli Tagger	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc81f53…
10-29 12:24:14	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	454	67¢	$304	0x469631…
10-29 03:13:16	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0xd2e309…
10-28 23:47:20	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0xf3ba5e…
10-28 23:06:04	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	281	73¢	$205	0x90c398…
10-28 21:30:14	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	BUY	155	43¢	$67	0x08c03a…
10-28 21:28:52	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider	Alexandra Eala	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x85f587…
10-28 20:33:44	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	266	49¢	$130	0x3d02ea…
10-28 20:31:50	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x8574ba…
10-28 20:16:37	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	105	49¢	$51	0x5bb744…
10-28 20:16:35	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	477	49¢	$234	0x368dbf…
10-28 20:13:32	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x9a8967…
10-28 20:12:53	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	96	49¢	$47	0x99bf59…
10-28 16:45:04	Courmayeur: Linda Klimovicova vs Noma Noha Akugue	Linda Klimovicova	BUY	254	44¢	$112	0xec02ee…
10-28 14:42:44	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x9594e4…
10-28 11:50:08	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	457	36¢	$165	0x840627…
10-28 11:49:34	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	99	36¢	$35	0xba432c…
10-28 07:46:05	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	208	52¢	$108	0x23b3d2…
10-28 06:37:11	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x67440e…
10-28 06:11:41	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	685	73¢	$500	0xa81543…
10-28 05:38:29	Boston College vs. Duke: O/U 45.5	Over	BUY	125	59¢	$74	0x6ae286…
10-28 01:03:41	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2a1bf0…
10-28 00:15:53	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd05b39…