Realized P&L (7d)
-$73
Unrealized P&L
-$618
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
32
32 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.94K
$1.94K lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$1.47K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-13 01:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53% 0% $-73
Politics
47%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No -800 $-539 86¢ $-692 $-153 05-10 12:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-236 66¢ $-266 $-30 05-11 14:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +2,332 $536 $152 $-385 05-10 04:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -200 $-134 62¢ $-125 +$9 05-11 08:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes -100 $-59 62¢ $-62 $-4 05-12 23:08
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May? Yes -57 $-18 78¢ $-44 $-27 05-12 18:37
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? No -200 $-22 18¢ $-36 $-13 05-11 08:20
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes -244 $-25 12¢ $-30 $-5 05-12 22:38
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? Yes -20 $-13 68¢ $-14 $-0 05-13 01:11
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May? No +50 $18 25¢ $12 $-6 05-11 15:29
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? No -50 $-4 16¢ $-8 $-5 05-12 23:08
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? Yes +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 05-11 14:02
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? No -20 $-10 40¢ $-8 +$1 05-12 22:07
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May? No -18 $-7 40¢ $-7 $-1 05-12 22:07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 28¢ $-1 $-0 05-10 04:27