Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae07…a5a80c
whale cold 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$2.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
83.5%
Resolved
1,393
Trades
4,959
lifetime
Volume
$170.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$453
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-09 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 174 days
Categories
Other
58% 92% -$1,010
Crypto
40% 85% -$1,513
Sports
2% 90% +$56
Tech
0% 91% +$94
Politics
0% 76% -$29
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? No +152 $146 98¢ $149 +$3 10-09 00:48
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +155 $119 86¢ $134 +$16 09-24 00:39
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $51 99¢ $99 +$48 09-11 03:16
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No -20 -$14 99¢ $-20 -$6 06-09 00:46
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 10-04 00:18
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 09-20 18:01
US recession by end of 2026? No -10 -$8 92¢ $-9 -$1 06-01 03:30
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-05 18:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$5 96¢ $-5 $0 07-28 01:31
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5 -$4 95¢ $-5 $0 05-17 04:16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$1 08-25 00:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5 $3 34¢ $2 -$1 05-18 02:07
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $48 1¢ $1 -$47 09-11 03:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -10 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 08-14 04:18
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 00:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 00:42