Appropriate-Handrail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

4,463

lifetime

Volume

$153.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$1

Crypto

44% — —

Sports

2% 67% $-7

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	7	$8.1K	4,090	4,050	+40	open	—	01-16 03:09
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	17	$8.1K	4,254	4,219	+35	open	—	01-27 00:43
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	7	$5.4K	4,165	4,165	+0	open	—	07-18 22:49
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	4	$5.0K	4,997	0	+4,997	open	—	04-26 14:49
btc updown 15m 1768860900	64	$4.9K	3,511	3,509	+2	open	—	01-19 22:28
btc updown 15m 1768795200	23	$4.1K	2,400	2,000	+400	open	—	01-19 04:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	9	$3.7K	1,922	1,911	+11	open	—	03-18 01:30
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	14	$2.9K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	07-18 22:18
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 5pm et	27	$2.8K	1,548	1,548	+0	open	—	03-22 21:50
eth updown 15m 1768861800	18	$2.8K	1,428	1,428	+0	open	—	01-19 22:43
will sofr hit 3pt60 low between march 1 and march 31 663 536 798	41	$2.5K	2,441	148	+2,293	open	—	04-01 11:54
btc updown 15m 1768861800	41	$2.4K	2,036	1,991	+46	open	—	01-19 22:44
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?	11	$2.3K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	05-28 02:22
will sofr hit 3pt72 high between march 1 and march 31 928 985	32	$2.2K	2,206	0	+2,206	open	—	03-31 23:24
btc updown 15m 1768862700	81	$2.1K	1,989	1,972	+17	open	—	01-19 22:55
btc updown 15m 1768777200	16	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	01-18 23:14
btc updown 15m 1770611400	8	$2.0K	1,199	1,000	+199	open	—	02-09 04:38
btc updown 15m 1768701600	51	$2.0K	3,013	0	+3,013	open	—	01-18 02:14
btc updown 15m 1770610500	70	$2.0K	1,057	1,010	+47	open	—	02-09 04:25
btc updown 15m 1768748400	32	$1.9K	1,200	1,000	+200	open	—	01-18 15:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.9K	1,867	7	+1,860	open	—	03-18 01:54
will nvda dip to 136 in december	2	$1.8K	1,820	0	+1,820	open	—	01-01 01:55
btc updown 4h 1775736000	18	$1.7K	850	850	+0	open	—	04-09 15:44
30 year mortgage rate below 6 by december 31	1	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	01-01 01:14
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	32	$1.5K	1,147	634	+513	open	—	07-18 23:02
btc updown 15m 1768107600	4	$1.5K	1,535	0	+1,535	open	—	01-11 05:15
will sofr hit 3pt62 low between march 1 and march 31 673 762 957	45	$1.5K	1,229	280	+949	open	—	03-21 16:47
btc updown 15m 1768860000	56	$1.4K	1,095	1,094	+1	open	—	01-19 22:11
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 team total ne 10pt5	1	$1.2K	1,248	0	+1,248	open	—	02-09 03:21
btc updown 15m 1768749300	17	$1.2K	1,538	0	+1,538	open	—	01-18 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 23:23:41	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	No	BUY	230	95¢	$219	0x5f0af2…
07-28 09:35:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	209	70¢	$146	0x2c6f9d…
07-28 01:31:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x20e3a1…
07-24 13:14:57	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x88c23e…
07-24 13:10:45	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xe68e91…
07-24 00:42:10	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xf3e703…
07-24 00:42:01	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf7b925…
07-24 00:40:30	Obama divorce before 2027?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x0e9fdf…
07-24 00:39:55	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2c4e95…
07-24 00:39:13	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x8e163a…
07-18 23:02:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	513	100¢	$512	0x720a99…
07-18 23:01:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	No	BUY	1,200	100¢	$1,199	0x1efa74…
07-18 22:49:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	1,660	94¢	$1,562	0x48ea01…
07-18 22:48:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0xa1c5d0…
07-18 22:48:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	1,400	92¢	$1,288	0x693b1d…
07-18 22:31:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	2,500	47¢	$1,175	0x88a73b…
07-18 22:30:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2,500	43¢	$1,075	0xc92d9e…
07-18 22:18:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	33	21¢	$7	0x933b32…
07-18 22:17:33	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	2,934	20¢	$587	0x3f17a3…
07-18 22:17:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	SELL	33	30¢	$10	0x5e27b4…
07-18 22:11:43	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x33f740…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	909	76¢	$691	0xf18cb6…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	1,013	76¢	$770	0xdba343…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xc7a5d1…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xc6540d…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0xc5f766…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0x7b0523…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x6939d5…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x034882…
07-18 22:10:31	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0x022fba…
07-18 22:10:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	150	76¢	$114	0x65f5ce…
07-18 22:10:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	139	76¢	$105	0x2cf0a6…
07-18 21:50:54	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	260	98¢	$254	0xfe5ddc…
07-18 21:45:57	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	41	91¢	$38	0xf7df40…
07-18 21:32:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x5b9b53…
07-18 21:31:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x85b85d…
07-18 21:31:48	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0x09a33e…
07-18 21:31:42	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0xf567d0…
07-18 21:31:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x66a65a…
07-18 21:31:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x97cd48…
07-18 21:30:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x047c7c…
07-18 21:30:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x4babbc…
07-18 21:27:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x21b40d…
07-18 21:27:16	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	78	79¢	$62	0x530f9b…
07-18 21:20:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	204	82¢	$168	0xf38b37…
07-18 21:20:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	42	82¢	$34	0x52795c…
07-18 21:20:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0x487dc9…
07-18 21:20:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x6f6dd1…
07-18 21:20:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	0	82¢	$0	0x97833a…
07-18 21:20:04	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x196dcc…
07-18 21:18:28	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	92	80¢	$74	0xf19df5…
07-18 21:18:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x3d1b0d…
07-18 21:18:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	150	80¢	$120	0xeda9fe…
07-18 21:18:24	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xdf7fc1…
07-18 21:18:07	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	1	76¢	$0	0xefb41a…
07-18 21:18:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0xb729d0…
07-18 21:18:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	102	76¢	$78	0xad45e7…
07-18 21:18:06	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0x2511cb…
07-18 21:13:27	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x938997…
07-18 21:13:25	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xda5527…
07-18 21:12:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	96	74¢	$71	0x070aa5…
07-18 21:10:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x090dc8…
07-18 21:10:18	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 extra time	No	BUY	14	75¢	$10	0x25a0bb…
07-18 21:09:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xfa8286…
07-18 20:27:51	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3aee00…
07-17 21:37:21	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x032ae2…
07-17 21:36:42	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc3b60e…
07-17 21:35:54	will ethereum reach 1900 in july 2026 from july 16	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x195848…
07-17 21:33:03	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9b2360…
07-17 21:30:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xc711c8…
07-15 20:53:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd81a32…
07-15 20:52:52	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xb52eea…
07-15 20:04:50	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 penalty shootout	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x82bfe0…
07-07 22:50:13	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x49617b…
07-07 22:50:13	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	307	13¢	$40	0x21951a…
07-07 22:49:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	330	85¢	$280	0xd6a3e0…
07-07 19:31:44	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x465791…
07-07 17:57:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	302	97¢	$293	0xeb80fb…
07-07 17:57:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xa83ace…
07-07 17:52:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xfc3528…
07-07 01:38:23	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2dd70a…
07-07 01:36:56	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x009a75…
07-07 01:36:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	32	70¢	$22	0xfd8095…
07-07 00:13:35	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xade996…
07-07 00:13:26	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x76c003…
07-07 00:12:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x45b0d2…
07-07 00:12:17	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	154	88¢	$135	0xcf911b…
07-07 00:12:14	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x241f90…
07-06 20:55:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	157	96¢	$151	0x139fc0…
07-06 20:15:37	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2ddaa8…
07-06 01:47:56	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	124	70¢	$87	0x39a0f0…
07-06 01:43:43	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xfc562c…
07-05 18:35:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0xf0e0ce…
07-05 18:34:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	No	SELL	38	72¢	$27	0x2f3cf9…
07-05 18:33:25	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0x76dfb7…
07-05 18:32:23	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 penalty shootout	No	BUY	97	86¢	$83	0x7659fd…
07-05 18:29:10	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc52f3f…
06-20 02:17:22	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 corners total 12pt5	Under	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0ae91e…
06-20 02:12:52	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 second half team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xd2b513…
06-20 02:12:52	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 team total home 3pt5	Under	BUY	197	13¢	$26	0x55a5fb…