Realized P&L (7d)
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
6
4,965 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$694
$171.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$440
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 02:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
58% 92% -$1,008
Crypto
40% 85% -$1,513
Sports
2% 90% +$56
Tech
0% 91% +$94
Politics
0% 74% -$32
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +399 $331 80¢ $321 -$10 11-05 01:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? No +65 $64 99¢ $64 +$0 11-05 01:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? No -20 -$14 99¢ $-20 -$5 06-09 00:46
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No -10 -$10 99¢ $-10 +$0 09-20 18:01
US recession by end of 2026? No -10 -$8 96¢ $-10 -$2 06-01 03:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-28 01:31
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 07-05 18:29
Trump out as President before 2027? No -5 -$4 97¢ $-5 $0 05-17 04:16
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -10 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 08-14 04:18
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -10 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 00:42
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 00:42