Fake-Guard 0x6ffb43…46a834
whale hot 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$237.2K
Unrealized P&L
-$75.7K
Hit rate
92.5%
Resolved
3,215
Trades
20,072
lifetime
Volume
$20.0M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$994
Open exposure
$11.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 00:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 292 days
Categories
Other
47% 87% +$177,294
Politics
34% 87% +$164,181
Crypto
13% 72% -$112,161
Sports
6% 91% +$7,257
Tech
0% 68% +$582
Pop-Culture
0% 95% +$73
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 3477 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +64,208 $78,859 6¢ $3.5K -$75,327 08-19 21:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,555 $332 88¢ $2.3K +$1,929 06-22 01:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1,950 $25 72¢ $1.4K +$1,388 06-30 15:07
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +2,000 $720 34¢ $670 -$50 10-25 13:53
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,950 $1,728 28¢ $536 -$1,191 06-30 15:03
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7,777 $700 6¢ $506 -$194 07-15 10:52
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +2,000 $320 18¢ $370 +$50 07-09 15:54
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +2,000 $320 16¢ $310 -$10 10-16 19:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +2,000 $319 13¢ $267 -$52 09-28 17:14
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,000 $240 8¢ $255 +$15 10-24 11:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,055 $598 12¢ $236 -$362 09-22 14:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,400 $280 16¢ $231 -$49 10-22 00:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5,556 $549 4¢ $206 -$344 09-16 02:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,720 $260 4¢ $130 -$130 10-24 18:51
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,000 $280 6¢ $130 -$150 10-25 19:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +2,200 $220 4¢ $88 -$132 10-25 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +100 $53 83¢ $83 +$30 08-27 16:42
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +258 $141 29¢ $76 -$65 10-16 17:55
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +3,200 $574 2¢ $64 -$510 10-23 14:31
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +123 $52 42¢ $51 -$1 10-23 17:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +2,550 $189 2¢ $46 -$143 09-17 08:46
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? Yes +876 $104 4¢ $39 -$65 09-08 17:21
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? Yes +1,861 $112 2¢ $34 -$77 10-05 12:49
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $100 0¢ $25 -$75 06-19 09:18
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +126 $24 8¢ $10 -$15 05-09 18:28
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +500 $145 1¢ $7 -$138 10-01 17:59
ilhan omar federally charged by october 31 2026 Yes +134 $6 4¢ $5 -$1 10-13 20:05
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31? Yes +535 $40 1¢ $5 -$36 10-01 21:27
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +51 $2 4¢ $2 -$1 08-30 21:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +0 -$46 2¢ $0 +$46 04-29 14:53