Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$219
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$2.19K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$2.05K
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 04:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
48%
Other
39%
Sports
8% 0% $-10
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +1,802 $504 38¢ $694 +$190 05-08 04:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No -2,369 $-495 18¢ $-415 +$81 05-07 14:41
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No +220 $200 91¢ $200 +$0 05-08 05:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +141 $130 94¢ $132 +$2 05-08 04:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -333 $-120 38¢ $-128 $-8 05-10 04:02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres +106 $100 100¢ $106 +$6 05-10 01:52
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +196 $100 50¢ $98 $-2 05-10 03:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes -555 $-84 15¢ $-85 $-0 05-08 15:16
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? Yes +49 $43 88¢ $43 +$0 05-08 04:39
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes +1,099 $46 $43 $-3 05-10 03:52
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? Yes +39 $30 75¢ $30 $-0 05-08 05:24
Thunder vs. Lakers Thunder +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 05-10 02:16
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants Pittsburgh Pirates +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 05-10 02:17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -36 $-14 40¢ $-14 $-0 05-10 03:50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? Yes +833 $10 $10 $-0 05-08 05:20
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? Yes +696 $10 $9 $-1 05-08 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +385 $5 $3 $-2 05-08 05:38
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Minnesota Twins +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$2 05-10 02:50
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Chicago Cubs +1,000 $2 $1 $-1 05-10 01:42
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers +83 $10 $0 $-10 05-10 02:00
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-09? Yes +50 $40 $0 $-40 05-10 02:37