Flaky-Shadow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$78

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,251

lifetime

Volume

$74.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

$842

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-01 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

54% 100% +$85

Crypto

25% — —

Tech

11% — —

Sports

9% 45% $-7

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	Yes	+258	$179	78¢	$200	+$21	06-07 06:16
Will the New York Mets win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	+191	$189	99¢	$189	$-0	06-07 21:49
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	No	+114	$100	90¢	$102	+$2	05-28 23:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+137	$100	70¢	$95	$-5	06-08 02:26
Will the Detroit Tigers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	+74	$73	98¢	$72	$-1	06-07 21:48
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	+39	$38	92¢	$36	$-2	06-05 23:18
Will the Chicago Cubs win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	+37	$35	94¢	$34	$-1	06-05 23:19
Will the San Diego Padres win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	+39	$38	86¢	$34	$-4	06-05 23:18
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 83.5	+64	$34	44¢	$29	$-5	06-04 07:02
Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 81.5	+17	$16	98¢	$17	+$1	06-04 06:59
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	-42	$-19	36¢	$-15	+$4	06-07 09:32
Will the Seattle Mariners win more than 88.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	O 88.5	+26	$11	42¢	$11	+$0	06-04 07:00
Will the New York Yankees win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	+10	$9	77¢	$8	$-1	06-05 23:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	7	$6.7K	28,562	28,562	+0	open	—	03-30 16:46
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	19	$3.3K	1,663	1,663	+0	open	—	06-30 03:42
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	10	$2.9K	1,573	1,573	+0	open	—	06-30 20:13
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	27	$2.5K	1,541	1,228	+312	open	—	05-22 20:05
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	9	$2.2K	1,196	1,196	+0	open	—	07-01 02:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	6	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	06-15 12:35
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	11	$1.9K	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	+$79	04-29 19:56
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	7	$1.9K	5,931	0	+5,931	open	—	03-08 10:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	11	$1.8K	1,463	548	+915	open	—	04-01 03:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	15	$1.8K	579	1,238	-658	open	—	06-29 08:02
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$1.7K	3,021	200	+2,821	open	—	03-14 19:19
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$1.7K	3,526	3,526	+0	open	—	03-30 16:46
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	11	$1.7K	893	893	+0	open	—	06-30 18:08
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	24	$1.6K	941	860	+81	open	—	05-29 19:23
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	18	$1.5K	1,010	610	+400	open	—	05-29 08:44
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	70	$1.4K	2,193	1,173	+1,019	open	—	03-31 12:07
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	25	$1.3K	2,223	950	+1,273	open	—	03-26 19:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	18	$1.3K	800	635	+165	open	—	05-29 06:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$1.3K	1,693	155	+1,538	open	—	04-07 14:24
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	10	$1.2K	894	508	+386	open	—	04-27 16:15
mlb mil col 2026 06 06	5	$1.1K	620	620	+0	open	—	06-07 03:42
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	35	$956	482	482	+0	open	—	06-27 00:41
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	5	$849	1,808	1,808	+0	open	—	06-12 14:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?	8	$810	751	154	+597	open	—	06-01 01:53
mlb tb mia 2026 06 06	4	$805	415	415	+0	open	—	06-06 23:00
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	17	$788	538	538	+0	open	—	02-27 09:55
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in May?	9	$699	380	336	+44	open	—	05-29 01:36
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 in May?	12	$629	432	262	+170	open	—	05-29 01:38
mlb pit atl 2026 06 06	2	$626	330	330	+0	open	—	06-06 22:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$625	331	331	+0	open	—	06-12 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:06:56	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x326b08…
07-01 04:06:26	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf846c0…
07-01 04:03:08	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x1368c5…
07-01 04:03:07	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x80c5f3…
07-01 04:02:53	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x31c733…
07-01 04:02:52	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x32f0fe…
07-01 03:59:53	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x0188f4…
07-01 03:59:52	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6f7bbd…
07-01 03:58:47	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xedf94f…
07-01 03:41:46	mlb sf ari 2026 06 30	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x714b4a…
07-01 03:40:34	mlb laa sea 2026 06 30	Seattle Mariners	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0xe8b1e1…
07-01 02:52:08	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	557	100¢	$555	0x868293…
07-01 02:51:40	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	240	99¢	$238	0xd954ad…
07-01 02:19:22	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x71deea…
07-01 02:16:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x9874a5…
07-01 02:15:46	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x038548…
07-01 02:13:43	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	213	99¢	$210	0x7addf6…
07-01 01:43:20	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	160	98¢	$156	0xa559a7…
06-30 20:22:01	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0xe1d2be…
06-30 20:13:14	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	758	100¢	$758	0x654021…
06-30 20:04:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6530bc…
06-30 19:41:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x2ac388…
06-30 19:26:34	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	571	100¢	$570	0xcf35ff…
06-30 18:08:10	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xcbf620…
06-30 17:18:52	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	409	98¢	$400	0x3a1579…
06-30 09:58:17	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x292a70…
06-30 03:42:20	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xcd2485…
06-30 03:42:20	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x65fb94…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xef386f…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0xed931d…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x926d8b…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x917e60…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x869541…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x840204…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x156cfa…
06-30 03:37:22	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x0447db…
06-29 21:29:56	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	565	100¢	$564	0xeacbb8…
06-29 18:12:10	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	558	100¢	$556	0xf6f489…
06-29 08:02:10	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x80fb07…
06-29 04:55:26	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	63	99¢	$62	0x9eaeab…
06-29 03:02:52	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x3b5645…
06-29 02:36:37	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xd858fc…
06-29 02:19:04	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x50ec38…
06-28 13:20:34	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x0962a3…
06-27 18:30:19	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	639	78¢	$500	0x7392e0…
06-27 17:46:35	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x9d6cfe…
06-27 17:46:25	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xa022aa…
06-27 00:41:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0xe87a46…
06-27 00:37:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3d61ba…
06-27 00:37:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x18ddf9…
06-27 00:37:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x57c909…
06-27 00:37:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x977fd6…
06-27 00:37:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1739ee…
06-27 00:37:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb3cc06…
06-27 00:00:14	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xe440d4…
06-26 19:00:04	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	1,029	97¢	$1,000	0xf09474…
06-26 18:59:35	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	558	90¢	$500	0xae2053…
06-26 17:56:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	426	99¢	$421	0xd60719…
06-26 15:40:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x153088…
06-26 15:27:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc72ab7…
06-26 15:27:25	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2407bb…
06-26 15:27:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xec5580…
06-26 15:27:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd15786…
06-26 15:27:23	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57ad79…
06-26 15:27:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x81064c…
06-26 15:27:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc93368…
06-26 15:27:19	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbba60e…
06-26 15:27:17	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x149146…
06-26 15:16:44	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe6e3aa…
06-26 15:16:43	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7d9c9f…
06-26 15:16:41	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4a26bf…
06-26 15:16:31	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd9100b…
06-26 15:16:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8f7cb7…
06-26 15:15:35	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf8afeb…
06-26 15:03:11	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbccd4d…
06-26 15:01:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd61ee5…
06-26 15:01:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6f408e…
06-26 15:01:01	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x265cb7…
06-26 15:00:59	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x089f2e…
06-26 15:00:58	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x06be9e…
06-26 15:00:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcb6107…
06-26 15:00:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd80d65…
06-26 15:00:55	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7888b1…
06-25 17:59:56	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x8c0bfb…
06-25 17:59:08	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdc8ca1…
06-25 17:59:01	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x99f334…
06-25 13:32:49	will mu reach 1260 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xee96bb…
06-25 12:57:58	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x1d71a9…
06-25 12:43:32	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x25037b…
06-25 08:58:28	will mu reach 1260 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x3f7756…
06-25 07:14:02	will mu reach 1260 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xb740a9…
06-25 05:02:43	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x0ea792…
06-25 05:02:22	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x268826…
06-23 19:55:32	will mu reach 1230 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x6c4ae8…
06-23 19:54:17	will mu reach 1260 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	572	52¢	$300	0x2e7ce6…
06-23 19:53:19	will mu reach 1320 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	131	14¢	$19	0xcb344f…
06-23 19:51:34	will mu reach 1350 by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	737	23¢	$170	0x5e9190…
06-23 17:49:52	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x14e07d…
06-22 19:55:11	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x67b362…
06-22 11:48:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x16d14f…