Flaky-Shadow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,504

lifetime

Volume

$105.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-11 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$85

Crypto

25% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

7% 45% $-7

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	7	$6.7K	28,562	28,562	+0	open	—	03-30 16:46
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	19	$3.3K	1,663	1,663	+0	open	—	06-30 03:42
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	15	$2.9K	1,777	1,777	+0	open	—	07-31 18:18
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	10	$2.9K	1,573	1,573	+0	open	—	06-30 20:13
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	40	$2.5K	2,010	2,010	+0	open	—	07-28 17:26
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	27	$2.5K	1,541	1,228	+312	open	—	05-22 20:05
will spy reach 770 in july 2026	3	$2.3K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	07-28 17:16
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	9	$2.2K	1,196	1,196	+0	open	—	07-01 02:52
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?	6	$2.0K	1,042	1,042	+0	open	—	06-15 12:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	12	$2.0K	9,180	0	+9,180	open	—	08-11 13:14
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	11	$1.9K	1,090	1,090	+0	Yes	+$79	04-29 19:56
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	7	$1.9K	5,931	0	+5,931	open	—	03-08 10:29
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	3	$1.8K	933	933	+0	open	—	07-28 04:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	11	$1.8K	1,463	548	+915	open	—	04-01 03:50
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?	15	$1.8K	579	1,238	-658	open	—	06-29 08:02
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$1.7K	3,021	200	+2,821	open	—	03-14 19:19
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	6	$1.7K	3,526	3,526	+0	open	—	03-30 16:46
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	11	$1.7K	893	893	+0	open	—	06-30 18:08
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	10	$1.7K	886	886	+0	open	—	07-27 22:37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	24	$1.6K	941	860	+81	open	—	05-29 19:23
mu above 760 on august 31 2026	3	$1.6K	2,042	0	+2,042	open	—	08-07 15:34
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in May?	18	$1.5K	1,010	610	+400	open	—	05-29 08:44
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?	14	$1.4K	508	1,267	-759	open	—	07-16 22:14
will amzn reach 280 in august 2026	8	$1.4K	819	819	+0	open	—	08-03 13:30
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	70	$1.4K	2,193	1,173	+1,019	open	—	03-31 12:07
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	25	$1.3K	2,223	950	+1,273	open	—	03-26 19:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?	18	$1.3K	800	635	+165	open	—	05-29 06:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	8	$1.3K	1,693	155	+1,538	open	—	04-07 14:24
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	10	$1.2K	894	508	+386	open	—	04-27 16:15
will spy reach 760 in august 2026	4	$1.2K	770	770	+0	open	—	08-04 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:31:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x400896…
08-11 13:14:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x884c54…
08-11 13:14:19	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x6be149…
08-11 06:06:15	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	SELL	373	98¢	$365	0x1584b8…
08-11 05:33:06	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x61398f…
08-11 03:09:22	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd49afe…
08-11 01:30:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	89	35¢	$31	0x2e246a…
08-11 00:16:52	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x50771d…
08-10 22:56:40	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	SELL	134	98¢	$131	0x8fa636…
08-10 22:56:25	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	SELL	126	98¢	$124	0xdaa5b0…
08-10 22:36:55	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	815	42¢	$339	0x01dac0…
08-10 22:33:10	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	No	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0xe67695…
08-10 22:01:42	will gold gc hit high 5000 by end of december 2026	Yes	BUY	156	46¢	$72	0x0c7801…
08-10 21:54:46	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	698	25¢	$176	0x4373be…
08-10 21:54:28	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	133	12¢	$16	0x736078…
08-10 21:33:48	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	67¢	$32	0xbfb7f3…
08-07 20:32:57	will spy dip to 720 in august 2026	No	BUY	159	88¢	$140	0xfbe0cc…
08-07 15:34:03	mu above 760 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,358	81¢	$1,100	0xbc548f…
08-07 10:26:22	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Soto	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf2f8cc…
08-05 20:05:56	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac2cb2…
08-05 15:48:35	mu above 720 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	101	89¢	$90	0x581083…
08-05 14:18:15	mu above 880 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa11671…
08-05 14:10:42	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x79fbbb…
08-05 13:31:15	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0x0a3b2b…
08-05 13:30:20	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x9d59f7…
08-05 13:30:17	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0xfede71…
08-05 10:38:23	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0xbb880e…
08-05 09:30:39	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9b0843…
08-05 00:17:12	will bitcoin dip to 60k in august 2026	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0xbc1a6c…
08-04 19:24:36	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x947cdf…
08-04 19:24:18	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0x29412a…
08-04 19:23:11	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	78¢	$62	0xab0a86…
08-04 17:47:11	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xba0a0c…
08-04 17:15:56	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xfa1b5d…
08-04 17:15:54	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xf756a9…
08-04 17:15:51	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	67¢	$54	0x90e6b3…
08-04 17:01:44	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	65¢	$52	0x2159cc…
08-04 16:48:23	mu above 860 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	607	61¢	$370	0x8597fc…
08-04 16:45:09	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	88	97¢	$85	0x3b2006…
08-04 16:44:27	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	80	62¢	$50	0x09cd1f…
08-04 15:54:32	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xe6ff1b…
08-04 15:52:36	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xef962e…
08-04 15:52:36	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xbd52d8…
08-04 15:22:11	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	54¢	$22	0x3f1bae…
08-04 15:15:59	mu above 740 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	159	82¢	$130	0x30859f…
08-04 15:12:48	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	52¢	$21	0x42758c…
08-04 15:03:41	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x06c041…
08-04 15:01:35	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6b7885…
08-04 14:58:50	mu above 760 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	390	77¢	$300	0x2d08d1…
08-04 14:49:20	will spy dip to 690 in august 2026	No	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x79f5fc…
08-04 14:47:03	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x801d6a…
08-04 14:18:05	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0xcff9c4…
08-04 14:13:11	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xbc1ae4…
08-04 14:06:11	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x1c0a45…
08-04 14:02:12	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0x12bdc0…
08-04 13:29:36	will spy reach 760 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	730	99¢	$723	0x5c1ea8…
08-04 08:35:30	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Soto	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6a29ea…
08-04 08:30:48	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Soto	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xf3e267…
08-03 18:02:53	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x3d12a4…
08-03 14:52:51	will spy reach 770 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0xf0430f…
08-03 14:52:11	will spy reach 760 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	212	87¢	$185	0x2eebb3…
08-03 13:58:41	will spy reach 760 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	84¢	$34	0x0ee53f…
08-03 13:30:54	will amzn reach 280 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	228	98¢	$223	0xb69b96…
08-03 13:00:21	will amzn reach 280 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0xa48ab5…
08-02 22:16:56	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	20¢	$11	0xbbbf83…
08-02 17:11:15	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0xb80c69…
08-02 17:10:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xe017e5…
08-02 16:43:48	will ethereum reach 2000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	470	82¢	$385	0xe80ce2…
08-02 16:21:35	will amzn dip to 224 in august 2026	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc5f0b0…
08-02 16:19:35	will amzn reach 280 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	819	73¢	$600	0xceae6e…
08-02 04:02:03	will spy reach 760 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	558	54¢	$300	0xd4f357…
08-02 04:00:21	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	391	13¢	$51	0x6fdc34…
08-02 00:37:41	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,241	6¢	$80	0xb35381…
08-01 22:24:44	will spy dip to 680 in august 2026	No	BUY	299	94¢	$282	0x5f23d9…
08-01 22:05:59	mu above 860 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	48¢	$144	0x80a62d…
08-01 22:02:06	mu above 840 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	600	54¢	$324	0x1394b5…
08-01 21:57:45	mu above 820 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x7a0189…
08-01 21:56:48	mu above 760 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x9ad91c…
08-01 21:55:54	mu above 700 on august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x80b300…
08-01 13:58:56	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x66079e…
08-01 03:58:14	Will the Philadelphia Phillies win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x7e36e3…
08-01 01:02:32	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,226	24¢	$300	0x50d394…
08-01 01:01:51	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,639	21¢	$1,200	0xe0d03b…
07-31 21:31:38	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	110	73¢	$80	0x775fe5…
07-31 21:29:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	No	BUY	153	94¢	$143	0x6a4362…
07-31 21:28:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x8ae1b6…
07-31 21:24:02	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,813	6¢	$100	0x41158b…
07-31 21:23:44	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,735	7¢	$200	0xe84cc4…
07-31 21:23:17	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,118	18¢	$200	0xa07b9d…
07-31 21:22:57	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x82bb72…
07-31 18:18:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	395	100¢	$394	0x7fc48c…
07-31 18:14:21	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x9ae6e9…
07-31 17:02:44	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1cd3b5…
07-31 16:30:08	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	295	100¢	$294	0x7ccb36…
07-31 13:30:03	will amzn reach 264 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	73	95¢	$69	0x0b2f95…
07-31 09:49:35	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	271	100¢	$270	0x9f0bfd…
07-31 00:45:38	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	132	100¢	$131	0x3b971c…
07-30 19:39:26	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	524	96¢	$500	0xf038b3…
07-30 14:57:02	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x6d48e4…
07-30 14:56:41	will wti reach 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5a152d…