Flaky-Shadow 0xd1eed2…42a8ae
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$42
Unrealized P&L
+$143
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved (90d)
4
Trades (90d)
28
28 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$2.19K
$2.19K lifetime
Avg / trade
$78
Open exposure
$1.79K
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 04:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Tech
48% — —
Other
39% 0% $-40
Sports
8% 67% $-2
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +1,802 $504 32¢ $586 +$82 05-08 04:39
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? No -2,369 $-495 18¢ $-415 +$81 05-07 14:41
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? No +220 $200 91¢ $200 +$0 05-08 05:43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.6T and 0.9T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +141 $130 92¢ $131 +$1 05-08 04:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -333 $-120 38¢ $-128 $-8 05-10 04:02
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +196 $100 50¢ $98 $-2 05-10 03:48
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes -555 $-84 15¢ $-85 $-0 05-08 15:16
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? Yes +49 $43 88¢ $43 +$0 05-08 04:39
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? Yes +1,099 $46 4¢ $42 $-4 05-10 03:52
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? Yes +39 $30 75¢ $30 $-0 05-08 05:24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -36 $-14 40¢ $-14 $-0 05-10 03:50
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE? Yes +833 $10 1¢ $10 $-0 05-08 05:20
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? Yes +696 $10 1¢ $9 $-1 05-08 05:20
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +385 $5 1¢ $3 $-2 05-08 05:38
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Chicago Cubs +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 $-1 05-10 01:42