Shameless-Estate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$61

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 07-23 10:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

33% 20% $-2

Politics

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	07-15 14:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	4	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-11 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 01:56
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	07-23 10:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-10 00:25
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 03:29
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 14:33
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 03:28
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	3	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 01:09
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	4	$2	17	17	+0	open	—	07-23 09:15
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 03:28
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	15	15	+0	open	—	05-13 10:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$2	35	2	+33	Up	$-2	05-13 14:28
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	2	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	07-15 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 14:36
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$2	12	12	+0	open	—	05-11 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-13 14:09
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$0	0	5	-5	open	—	07-23 09:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 10:14:58	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa7ff25…
07-23 09:16:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x3993d0…
07-23 09:15:12	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xc32115…
07-19 08:46:06	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe73601…
07-19 08:46:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x85896f…
07-18 10:00:16	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$1	0x4e297e…
07-15 15:57:38	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x5ea051…
07-15 14:55:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa4cf23…
07-15 14:47:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xdd1e50…
05-15 03:29:22	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xcc17a6…
05-15 03:28:56	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0xb25daa…
05-15 03:28:52	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x50acce…
05-15 03:28:49	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x93fd80…
05-14 15:13:00	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd778c1…
05-14 15:10:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2f6d77…
05-14 15:09:33	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xbcec91…
05-14 15:08:35	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf7d2db…
05-14 01:09:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xb1527f…
05-13 14:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x91791d…
05-13 14:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa9f380…
05-13 14:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xb49f48…
05-13 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6ca62f…
05-13 14:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x732539…
05-13 14:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xe1d986…
05-13 14:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xacc5f5…
05-13 14:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xecc745…
05-13 10:35:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x3000b0…
05-13 10:35:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x84c43b…
05-13 09:21:59	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x1b333c…
05-13 08:29:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x483ccd…
05-11 01:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xf2f1dd…
05-11 01:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x244c57…
05-11 01:51:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb66216…
05-11 00:06:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x97d32b…
05-10 20:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x49e933…
05-10 04:20:39	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x002652…
05-10 04:02:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xc4697f…
05-10 00:31:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x30de01…
05-10 00:25:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xdd5c89…
05-09 13:48:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe1e402…
05-09 13:38:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1ce824…