Plaintive-Terrapin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$677

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

613

Trades

1,419

lifetime

Volume

$719.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$507

Open exposure

$228

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-12 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 245 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 92% +$589

Other

15% 52% +$587

Politics

3% 50% -$1,843

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes		+283	$250	80¢	$228	-$22	10-04 16:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	91	$27.4K	17,412	17,560	-148	No	-$81	04-28 13:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	6	$14.0K	7,014	7,014	+0	No	+$7	05-20 13:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	7	$10.1K	5,679	5,679	+0	Yes	+$386	05-26 12:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 30?	2	$10.0K	5,012	5,012	+0	No	+$7	05-29 17:07
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	2	$9.2K	4,605	4,605	+0	Yes	+$0	06-21 09:25
bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	2	$9.0K	4,505	4,504	+0	Yes	+$0	06-25 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	2	$8.5K	7,000	1,470	+5,530	No	+$4	04-20 05:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 29?	4	$7.8K	3,900	3,900	+0	No	+$1	08-29 14:01
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 27?	1	$7.4K	7,407	0	+7,407	No	+$7	04-26 19:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	Yes	+$7	05-03 15:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-12 05:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$7.0K	7,018	0	+7,018	No	+$18	04-28 19:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 11	1	$7.0K	7,014	0	+7,014	No	+$14	04-11 13:12
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	04-14 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-06 15:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-16 07:15
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	1	$7.0K	7,060	0	+7,060	No	+$60	04-13 15:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 11?	1	$7.0K	7,017	0	+7,017	No	+$17	05-10 21:12
ethereum above 2600 on april 16	2	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$7	04-16 06:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	4	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$21	05-18 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	1	$6.7K	6,693	0	+6,693	No	+$7	05-16 20:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 23	1	$6.3K	6,307	0	+6,307	No	+$7	04-23 05:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 5?	1	$6.3K	6,269	0	+6,269	No	+$6	05-05 14:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	05-07 06:06
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	1	$6.0K	6,018	0	+6,018	No	+$18	04-19 15:59
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 26?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	04-25 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	3	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$3	05-14 13:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	3	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$6	05-14 14:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	2	$6.0K	5,957	0	+5,957	No	+$6	05-19 05:54
ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	4	$5.7K	3,311	3,008	+303	No	-$290	07-14 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 17:41:33	Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	509	77¢	$392	0x8e24c0…
10-04 16:55:17	will jumper launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	283	88¢	$250	0xfb8d14…
10-03 18:02:56	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xfcb12a…
10-02 17:26:26	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x42f30e…
10-02 05:06:33	over 45m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x34e4e6…
10-01 18:39:27	Over $30M committed to the Jumper public sale?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x24e881…
10-01 11:28:24	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0xc57309…
09-29 15:49:38	Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc80ce4…
09-29 11:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x4d34bf…
09-27 17:48:03	Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xe4ce21…
09-27 09:54:09	Gibraltar vs. Andorra: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x988950…
09-27 09:53:56	Will Gibraltar win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x106e37…
09-26 14:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x57e68a…
09-26 13:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x7911a9…
09-26 10:58:09	AD Ceuta FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x87aa73…
09-25 20:27:36	Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	34	26¢	$9	0x9bbc92…
09-25 19:28:50	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	SELL	30	79¢	$24	0x6e6286…
09-25 15:33:54	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x50feb2…
09-25 15:32:50	Will Montenegro win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x0f5b5b…
09-24 14:12:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	79	22¢	$17	0xeda9a2…
09-23 16:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x6e5ce5…
09-23 15:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x797b87…
09-23 15:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	SELL	51	7¢	$4	0x567970…
09-23 05:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xe72e9c…
09-23 05:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe5a4c3…
09-22 16:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7de1e4…
09-21 16:56:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x242a7a…
09-21 15:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0xf57276…
09-21 15:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	40	64¢	$25	0x71bbf5…
09-21 02:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0x9fdf34…
09-21 02:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x427f0a…
09-21 02:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x25f30f…
09-20 06:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x86a7a2…
09-19 15:58:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x743957…
09-17 12:40:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x1d6f9e…
09-17 08:23:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0x608843…
09-17 08:22:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	SELL	401	100¢	$400	0x48dd8e…
09-17 07:58:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17?	No	BUY	401	100¢	$400	0x42db15…
09-16 05:14:10	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 16?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xa944c8…
09-16 05:10:54	Will the price of Solana be above $105 on September 16?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6dbb62…
09-15 15:29:01	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa1f96a…
09-15 05:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0xc22e7f…
09-15 05:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x9661f6…
09-13 17:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x8b29e7…
09-13 11:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x93e5c2…
09-12 21:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x2632ae…
09-12 21:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x05494b…
09-12 20:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xaf0e1f…
09-12 19:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x369f15…
09-12 17:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x1a0cdc…
09-12 17:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x5cbd2c…
09-12 16:36:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x337ec5…
09-12 16:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf94258…
09-12 16:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x9fcdbb…
09-11 21:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x722ac6…
09-11 21:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xca563e…
09-11 21:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x3037e2…
09-11 21:10:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x01e2ed…
09-11 18:14:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa4bcb5…
09-11 05:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xb4f5d6…
09-10 11:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xb09e68…
09-10 08:19:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x5bfec6…
09-09 14:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x656c56…
09-09 13:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x908268…
09-08 21:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	70	14¢	$10	0x6baa02…
09-08 20:40:04	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	37	31¢	$11	0x1320bc…
09-08 15:07:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x023777…
09-08 15:07:24	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xcb4d01…
09-08 11:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	190	3¢	$5	0x2fb4e9…
09-07 22:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd55c7e…
09-07 22:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x301ec0…
09-07 15:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x76caeb…
09-07 12:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x0de1fb…
09-07 05:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xa65d73…
09-06 15:51:24	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x34dbec…
09-05 16:16:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0x75c63d…
09-05 16:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0xd8846c…
09-05 10:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xeaaaa4…
09-05 10:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	169	2¢	$3	0xbdda18…
09-05 08:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	98	7¢	$7	0x037f39…
09-04 22:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0x8212ad…
09-04 22:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	131	23¢	$30	0xd4f7d3…
09-04 17:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	572	99¢	$568	0x0fc1db…
09-04 15:53:00	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xf93840…
09-04 15:50:16	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	1,379	100¢	$1,378	0x2bed0b…
09-04 15:45:03	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd2b529…
09-04 15:45:03	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x222866…
09-04 15:41:06	bitcoin above 78k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1,625	100¢	$1,622	0xbec763…
09-03 15:57:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	2,872	100¢	$2,867	0x06bb23…
09-03 15:56:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0xdd8879…
09-03 15:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0xf17a52…
09-03 12:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x560ee1…
09-03 12:43:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	30	6¢	$2	0x17be63…
09-03 11:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x00193f…
09-03 11:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x0df2f6…
09-02 16:51:36	US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	42	52¢	$22	0xb94462…
09-02 15:43:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 2?	No	BUY	3,247	100¢	$3,244	0xbdc97c…
09-02 15:14:34	US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xc65b33…
09-02 15:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x0cc109…
09-02 14:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x17fb1b…