Plaintive-Terrapin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

935

lifetime

Volume

$586.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$628

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 100% +$53

Other

11% 30% $-38

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	91	$27.4K	17,412	17,560	-148	open	—	04-28 13:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 20?	6	$14.0K	7,014	7,014	+0	open	—	05-20 13:55
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	6	$9.2K	4,679	5,679	-1,000	open	—	05-26 12:45
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	2	$9.2K	4,605	4,605	+0	open	—	06-21 09:25
bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	2	$9.0K	4,505	4,504	+0	open	—	06-25 14:51
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	2	$8.5K	7,000	1,470	+5,530	open	—	04-20 05:11
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 27?	1	$7.4K	7,407	0	+7,407	open	—	04-26 19:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	open	—	05-03 15:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-12 05:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$7.0K	7,018	0	+7,018	open	—	04-28 19:11
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 11	1	$7.0K	7,014	0	+7,014	open	—	04-11 13:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	05-06 15:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 14	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	open	—	04-14 15:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	open	—	05-16 07:15
bitcoin above 72k on april 13	1	$7.0K	7,060	0	+7,060	open	—	04-13 15:59
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 11?	1	$7.0K	7,017	0	+7,017	No	+$17	05-10 21:12
ethereum above 2600 on april 16	2	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	04-16 06:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	4	$7.0K	7,000	0	+7,000	open	—	05-18 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 17?	1	$6.7K	6,693	0	+6,693	open	—	05-16 20:05
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 23	1	$6.3K	6,307	0	+6,307	open	—	04-23 05:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 5?	1	$6.3K	6,269	0	+6,269	No	+$6	05-05 14:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	No	+$6	05-07 06:06
bitcoin above 76k on april 19	1	$6.0K	6,018	0	+6,018	open	—	04-19 15:59
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 26?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	open	—	04-25 06:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	3	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-14 13:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14?	3	$6.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	05-14 14:42
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	2	$6.0K	5,957	0	+5,957	open	—	05-19 05:54
ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	4	$5.7K	3,311	3,008	+303	open	—	07-14 14:42
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on april 24	1	$5.6K	5,590	0	+5,590	open	—	04-23 19:51
ethereum above 2600 on april 21	1	$5.5K	5,506	0	+5,506	open	—	04-21 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 15:47:55	bitcoin above 68k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0xf00d97…
07-20 16:00:15	ethereum above 1900 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x5fcd8b…
07-18 16:15:46	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	141	26¢	$37	0x00a3e3…
07-17 14:25:51	solana above 80 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	1,936	100¢	$1,934	0x89cbb6…
07-17 13:58:07	la velada del ano 6 illojuan vs thegrefg 20260708193004008	TheGrefg	SELL	22	70¢	$15	0x307179…
07-17 05:13:22	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x0e4961…
07-16 05:36:52	ethereum above 2100 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	3,232	100¢	$3,229	0xbe5abf…
07-14 14:42:20	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xb4b76b…
07-14 12:57:04	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	SELL	3,008	91¢	$2,725	0xb78a3a…
07-14 07:45:14	will trump accuse mexico of election interference by july 16 20260714013930800	No	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0xc612c0…
07-14 07:23:37	will trump accuse mexico of election interference by july 16 20260714013930800	No	BUY	4	87¢	$4	0xa3c861…
07-14 06:32:23	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	3,003	100¢	$3,000	0x67dc62…
07-14 06:25:53	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9f70df…
07-14 06:24:29	will trump accuse mexico of election interference by july 16 20260714013930800	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xa2ff44…
07-14 05:56:07	will trump accuse mexico of election interference by july 16 20260714013930800	No	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0x08426b…
07-12 14:12:49	will ethereum reach 2000 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x060364…
07-11 15:59:58	bitcoin above 64k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0x9ea943…
07-09 06:40:40	la velada del ano 6 illojuan vs thegrefg 20260708193004008	TheGrefg	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0x59b57b…
07-07 17:38:16	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 btts	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x495e9c…
07-07 17:34:56	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x0c8d2d…
07-07 16:41:23	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 extra time	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe3b440…
07-07 16:35:41	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	SELL	38	40¢	$15	0x37bb02…
07-07 13:43:35	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xaf1ad8…
07-06 15:58:31	bitcoin above 64k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	2,002	100¢	$2,000	0x0104b3…
07-06 15:49:56	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,498	0x5f3401…
07-06 15:49:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x1c4927…
07-05 19:49:37	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x9a147a…
07-05 16:58:50	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x347eac…
07-02 08:20:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	2,400	100¢	$2,398	0x4169ff…
07-02 08:20:23	ethereum above 2000 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	2,056	100¢	$2,054	0x1d763d…
07-02 05:07:55	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	265	100¢	$265	0x0a5ae9…
07-01 18:32:14	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xced618…
07-01 14:03:41	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x110158…
06-30 12:32:31	ethereum above 1700 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	3,504	100¢	$3,500	0x3f8a7c…
06-30 07:59:25	ethereum above 1700 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdde810…
06-30 07:58:59	ethereum above 1700 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	555	100¢	$553	0x4b8464…
06-29 19:22:59	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x3c97b2…
06-29 14:39:38	bitcoin above 62k on june 29 2026	No	BUY	4,004	100¢	$4,000	0xa36951…
06-29 04:29:14	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xcc7183…
06-28 20:08:41	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,006	0xf5cfe5…
06-28 06:37:32	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	310	65¢	$200	0xa32697…
06-28 06:33:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	BUY	240	0¢	$1	0x39e37b…
06-27 12:47:07	ethereum above 1700 on june 27 2026	No	BUY	4,004	100¢	$4,000	0x6b40b8…
06-27 12:36:46	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x46211f…
06-27 08:22:34	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	609	100¢	$609	0x681e92…
06-26 23:20:49	will trump say mutilation during faith freedom coalition conference 20260626142533762	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x24c67a…
06-26 17:42:07	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xe941c2…
06-25 14:51:23	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	SELL	4,504	100¢	$4,500	0xc4d187…
06-25 10:01:08	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0xc5f781…
06-25 05:40:11	bitcoin above 56k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	4,505	100¢	$4,500	0x631dbb…
06-23 11:41:28	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 spread home 1pt5	Portugal	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x27cc90…
06-23 09:46:26	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 28 2026	No	BUY	81	12¢	$10	0x38a963…
06-23 09:45:43	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 21 2026	No	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x1c03ff…
06-23 09:19:16	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	SELL	200	10¢	$21	0xafa131…
06-23 08:20:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xf4f699…
06-23 08:20:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8a9576…
06-23 08:20:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	67	55¢	$37	0x7f2711…
06-23 08:20:55	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	114	55¢	$63	0x740b66…
06-23 08:18:49	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x2970ab…
06-23 08:07:25	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9df296…
06-23 08:07:22	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	Yes	BUY	195	83¢	$162	0x20accd…
06-23 06:26:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	4,605	100¢	$4,600	0x11f7d3…
06-23 06:10:37	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 23 20260619212504657	No	SELL	150	60¢	$90	0x60384c…
06-23 02:25:52	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on june 23 20260619212504657	No	BUY	150	78¢	$117	0x1c77cb…
06-21 09:25:25	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	4,605	100¢	$4,600	0x94b08f…
06-21 07:01:01	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	4,605	100¢	$4,600	0xecdf8e…
06-20 15:59:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	4,505	100¢	$4,500	0x85a893…
06-20 15:21:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	96¢	$52	0xf140c7…
06-19 18:29:34	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	179	91¢	$163	0xd10a20…
06-18 20:45:41	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xea2d5f…
06-18 17:51:25	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xc01ced…
06-18 11:59:17	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4,705	100¢	$4,700	0x194280…
06-18 08:57:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x9285d8…
06-18 08:51:34	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x10015b…
06-18 07:52:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xef8d29…
06-17 16:55:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0xfaf553…
06-17 14:40:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xd68a16…
06-17 05:18:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa1f8a8…
06-16 19:58:13	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	BUY	179	67¢	$120	0x92520c…
06-16 19:57:50	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	184	64¢	$117	0xaa3f80…
06-16 11:42:25	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	105	78¢	$82	0x07620a…
06-16 11:37:15	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x058929…
06-16 11:37:09	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd20fa0…
06-16 11:27:33	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xb6962d…
06-16 11:27:24	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x67940f…
06-16 11:27:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd8373f…
06-16 11:17:37	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x860a18…
06-16 11:17:31	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x321593…
06-16 11:07:10	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x7e0f03…
06-16 11:07:04	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xe47a5a…
06-16 11:06:58	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xaa2f35…
06-16 10:57:06	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xbf03ca…
06-16 10:47:22	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xc7c687…
06-16 10:47:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x62d898…
06-16 10:14:42	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	95	78¢	$74	0xc305e8…
06-16 05:49:27	ethereum above 2000 on june 16 2026	No	BUY	4,505	100¢	$4,500	0xd3c86b…
06-14 19:05:52	will ethereum reach 1900 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x93a336…
06-14 18:03:03	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 btts	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x0ce3c8…
06-14 07:59:21	ethereum above 1900 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	4,705	100¢	$4,700	0xc15565…
06-13 14:11:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	300	47¢	$141	0xedbe88…