Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?
open
Total volume
$450
$1,315 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$21,121
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-14 09:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-14.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $203
vs crowd: 14% YES on $397)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $6 | $51 | $45 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $51 | $289 | $238 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $203 | $203 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | $52 | $51 |
| Median | 3 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| Below median | 7 | $27 | $13 | +$14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $6 | $51 | $45 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | +275 | $203 | $203 | 5 | 05-13 20:12 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | +100 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-11 16:07 |
| Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | +72 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 05-12 18:41 |
| Lazy-Report 0x2510…008d | Yes | +48 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 12:03 |
| Meager-Thyme 0x2e80…0f0e | Yes | +37 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 00:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x4aab…38cc | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 09:14 |
| Imaginary-Porthole 0x1e1f…b832 | Yes | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 22:47 |
| Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-12 16:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x326e…7438 | No | +17 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 00:11 |
| Wasteful-Someplace 0x747c…bfb5 | Yes | +14 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 01:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x1550…a818 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:14 |
| Fatherly-Color 0x84f5…db45 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 22:57 |
| Impish-Quilt 0x60aa…8b01 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:34 |
| 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 23:08 |
| Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 00:11 |
| Buoyant-Wrist 0xfb13…15f5 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 20:04 |
| Ethical-Exploration 0xbcee…4531 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:12 |
| Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x1635…06a0 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 23:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c7e…ddbb | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 09:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x4aab…38cc | No | BUY | 22 | 86¢ | $19 | 0x127a2b… |
| 05-14 09:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x1550…a818 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xdc8017… |
| 05-14 06:34:18 | Impish-Quilt 0x60aa…8b01 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x324dcc… |
| 05-14 00:11:11 | Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xfd2074… |
| 05-14 00:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x326e…7438 | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0x5a5288… |
| 05-14 00:11:01 | Meager-Thyme 0x2e80…0f0e | Yes | BUY | 37 | 16¢ | $6 | 0x46fe54… |
| 05-13 23:08:15 | 0x56f6bf6B793713C050Fd02147a45b563Bb4D8eFa 0xd957…572f | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x87fa4d… |
| 05-13 20:12:43 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0x2a73b3… |
| 05-13 20:04:02 | Buoyant-Wrist 0xfb13…15f5 | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xadc772… |
| 05-13 01:12:34 | Wasteful-Someplace 0x747c…bfb5 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x3eb61c… |
| 05-13 01:12:32 | (anonymous) 0x459d…8194 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x42ec07… |
| 05-13 01:12:31 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xc13fcd… |
| 05-13 00:51:06 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 10 | 70¢ | $7 | 0x46e55a… |
| 05-12 18:41:30 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 32 | 68¢ | $22 | 0x75818a… |
| 05-12 16:57:12 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 23¢ | $2 | 0xf3d0a1… |
| 05-12 16:56:35 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 160 | 78¢ | $125 | 0x67da29… |
| 05-12 12:22:46 | Unsightly-Girlfriend 0x41b4…10da | No | BUY | 89 | 66¢ | $59 | 0xaeb38b… |
| 05-12 06:56:17 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 35 | 62¢ | $22 | 0x5ee411… |
| 05-11 23:56:29 | (anonymous) 0x1635…06a0 | No | BUY | 2 | 55¢ | $1 | 0x2ef523… |
| 05-11 23:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x6b58…49c3 | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0xf64785… |
| 05-11 23:56:22 | (anonymous) 0x6b58…49c3 | No | SELL | 28 | 51¢ | $14 | 0x30a97c… |
| 05-11 22:57:03 | Fatherly-Color 0x84f5…db45 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xc4b7f5… |
| 05-11 20:27:39 | Wasteful-Someplace 0x747c…bfb5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa0c560… |
| 05-11 17:23:54 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xc63b55… |
| 05-11 16:07:38 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | No | BUY | 100 | 51¢ | $51 | 0x1e8380… |
| 05-11 12:03:23 | (anonymous) 0x1c7e…ddbb | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xd8be76… |
| 05-11 12:03:22 | Lazy-Report 0x2510…008d | Yes | BUY | 48 | 42¢ | $20 | 0xb58fec… |
| 05-11 02:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xb0cad2… |
| 05-11 02:40:51 | (anonymous) 0x9103…225b | No | SELL | 26 | 57¢ | $15 | 0xd2a19a… |
| 05-10 22:47:43 | Imaginary-Porthole 0x1e1f…b832 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x755f8f… |
| 05-10 19:46:13 | Ethical-Exploration 0xbcee…4531 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 46¢ | $1 | 0x8c84e9… |
| 05-10 15:46:47 | Flamboyant-Uniform 0x3885…ca77 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 41¢ | $5 | 0x0a4752… |
| 05-10 09:47:20 | Miserly-Windscreen 0x9ede…47fa | No | SELL | 4 | 60¢ | $2 | 0x02e27e… |
| 05-10 04:45:59 | Brilliant-Valley 0x4e7d…e7a0 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0x71fb0e… |