Vain-Scaffold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$404

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

220

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$162.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$499

Open exposure

$454

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-03 23:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 97% +$354

Politics

2% 50% -$59

Sports

1% 30% -$209

Other

0% 11% -$491

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 4?	No	—	+455	$454	100¢	$454	+$0	11-03 23:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 58k on july 8 2026	2	$6.8K	3,382	3,382	+0	Yes	-$7	07-08 10:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	2	$2.6K	2,599	0	+2,599	Yes	+$3	11-03 03:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	1	$2.2K	2,222	0	+2,222	Yes	+$2	10-29 02:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$2.0K	1,045	1,045	+0	Yes	+$21	04-02 08:29
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	3	$2.0K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	+$26	04-30 13:52
bitcoin above 72k on august 23 2026	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$4	08-23 01:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$2.0K	1,135	1,135	+0	Yes	-$79	04-06 03:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$15	04-30 03:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	7	$1.8K	1,818	0	+1,818	open	—	11-03 23:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	1	$1.7K	1,713	0	+1,713	Yes	+$17	10-30 03:45
bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	4	$1.5K	1,235	309	+926	Yes	+$2	07-02 08:23
bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	1	$1.5K	1,499	0	+1,499	Yes	+$3	08-22 04:54
bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	2	$1.3K	1,022	256	+767	Yes	+$1	06-27 06:11
bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	1	$1.2K	1,233	0	+1,233	Yes	+$2	06-30 03:52
bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	1	$1.2K	1,230	0	+1,230	Yes	+$1	06-29 10:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	1	$1.2K	1,156	0	+1,156	No	+$2	06-03 02:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	1	$1.2K	1,154	0	+1,154	Yes	+$1	06-02 03:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	1	$1.2K	1,153	0	+1,153	No	+$2	06-01 03:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 31?	1	$1.1K	1,151	0	+1,151	No	+$1	05-31 00:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	1	$1.1K	1,150	0	+1,150	Yes	+$2	05-30 10:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	1	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	No	+$1	05-28 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	1	$1.1K	1,146	0	+1,146	No	+$3	05-27 02:47
bitcoin above 66k on june 10 2026	1	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	No	+$1	06-10 05:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	1	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	No	+$1	05-29 03:06
bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	1	$1.1K	1,139	0	+1,139	No	+$1	06-09 02:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	5	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	No	+$5	05-26 04:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$1.1K	1,139	0	+1,139	Yes	+$1	05-23 02:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$1.1K	1,137	0	+1,137	No	+$8	05-22 05:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	No	+$2	05-21 04:47
bitcoin above 70k on june 14 2026	2	$1.1K	1,063	64	+999	No	+$1	06-14 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:45:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	430	100¢	$429	0x45b148…
11-03 23:36:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0x6b749f…
11-03 23:36:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa0fcf…
11-03 23:36:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$228	0x3cf74f…
11-03 23:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x4d8f8b…
11-03 23:35:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	470	100¢	$468	0x02e4a1…
11-03 23:35:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	425	100¢	$423	0xa8d5e9…
11-03 23:35:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1f910b…
11-03 23:35:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa3fbf1…
11-03 03:44:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x116f68…
11-03 03:44:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	599	100¢	$598	0xeccc64…
11-02 11:53:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	447	100¢	$445	0x7c7a83…
11-02 11:11:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xbb2402…
11-02 11:11:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xb4ca66…
11-01 05:42:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	906	100¢	$904	0x2beffd…
10-31 05:13:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	666	100¢	$665	0xde3c4f…
10-30 03:45:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	1,713	99¢	$1,696	0xc3f93f…
10-29 02:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2,222	100¢	$2,220	0xc678a4…
10-28 04:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	556	100¢	$555	0x1e5b03…
10-27 04:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x0ace56…
10-27 04:30:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x138866…
10-27 04:28:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xdb6368…
10-27 04:12:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3e3b3…
10-26 06:28:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	194	100¢	$193	0x461a62…
10-26 06:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0xbb5b9d…
10-26 06:28:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb95ed3…
10-26 06:27:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48239f…
10-26 06:27:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x21f45a…
10-26 06:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xd182fc…
10-26 06:27:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x8a4211…
10-26 06:26:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xff032d…
10-25 01:14:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	1,111	100¢	$1,109	0xf227e9…
10-24 04:22:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	666	100¢	$665	0x7684c1…
10-23 02:17:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	888	100¢	$887	0x14e83e…
10-22 02:36:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x13e1d1…
10-22 02:36:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x73e840…
10-22 02:36:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xee7488…
10-22 00:13:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x06f3e7…
10-22 00:13:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	294	100¢	$293	0xc03362…
10-21 04:45:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	666	100¢	$664	0x4736ba…
10-20 02:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	285	99¢	$282	0xe24d8a…
10-19 12:48:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x3b476b…
10-18 12:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	427	100¢	$426	0x461076…
10-18 12:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x212171…
10-17 02:18:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 17?	Yes	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xe0f752…
10-16 01:04:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xce8d56…
10-15 02:25:10	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	247	99¢	$246	0xdc4519…
10-15 02:23:41	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x63fb9f…
10-15 01:59:44	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0x522415…
10-14 02:51:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	1,083	100¢	$1,082	0x4e3046…
10-13 05:34:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x6a4cfd…
10-13 02:41:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x02867b…
10-13 02:37:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x3240e7…
10-12 01:26:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	505	100¢	$504	0x2c58a9…
10-11 00:48:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 11?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x148758…
10-10 01:53:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	523	100¢	$523	0x6173f8…
10-09 02:14:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x635ca0…
10-08 03:31:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x64349b…
10-07 02:01:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0x514341…
10-07 01:34:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xdca54e…
10-06 03:39:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6?	Yes	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x77dda3…
10-05 02:07:25	bitcoin above 80k on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	444	100¢	$444	0x4d71f5…
10-04 08:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4?	Yes	BUY	332	100¢	$332	0x19940f…
10-03 07:03:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0x5a0768…
10-02 02:03:12	bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	656	100¢	$655	0x86a0ee…
10-01 03:20:26	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0xa7d7ac…
10-01 03:20:03	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x0be2fb…
10-01 01:22:12	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x7ca72d…
09-30 02:26:27	bitcoin above 78k on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0xb38e98…
09-29 03:21:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x8beb1b…
09-28 02:01:45	bitcoin above 78k on september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	450	100¢	$449	0xac5f90…
09-27 06:41:38	bitcoin above 80k on september 27 2026	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x0b1482…
09-25 03:06:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xe9f42a…
09-24 04:36:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0x5be1d4…
09-23 03:55:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0xfef707…
09-22 01:54:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x2b34ba…
09-20 11:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 20?	Yes	BUY	252	100¢	$252	0x565675…
09-19 05:50:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	824	100¢	$823	0x721e35…
09-18 02:52:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	399	100¢	$398	0x15a1d8…
09-17 02:26:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xb6e67a…
09-16 10:12:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	333	99¢	$331	0xf052b0…
09-15 03:37:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	999	100¢	$998	0xc240dc…
09-14 04:12:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	232	100¢	$231	0xcd9df0…
09-13 04:53:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	333	98¢	$327	0x7dd82c…
09-12 03:05:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x06f583…
09-11 03:40:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xbf4946…
09-10 08:25:03	laptop fdv above 5b one day after launch	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0xf04827…
09-10 08:23:19	laptop fdv above 5b one day after launch	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xbcc7c2…
09-10 03:46:33	laptop fdv above 5b one day after launch	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x92c75a…
09-09 03:52:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xa19ec9…
09-08 08:10:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x4c2aa4…
09-07 05:56:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$333	0x2f5f93…
09-06 03:41:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	444	100¢	$444	0x1a9d10…
09-05 03:38:04	bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xc6fbdb…
09-03 03:47:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?	Yes	BUY	342	100¢	$342	0xbe673c…
09-01 10:11:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 1?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$331	0xb7bc72…
08-30 04:41:30	bitcoin above 74k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	342	100¢	$341	0x16f557…
08-29 05:46:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	255	99¢	$254	0xd3aa11…
08-28 03:17:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	666	100¢	$665	0x62d517…
08-27 02:42:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xa25502…